Picks for the Dem candidate. Post your predictions

Author: Greyparrot

Posts

Total: 44
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 22,556
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
I have Kamala and Warren at the top after the first few states thin the herd...with Liz Warren taking it all.
Imabench
Imabench's avatar
Debates: 6
Posts: 934
3
4
9
Imabench's avatar
Imabench
3
4
9
I have this feeling that the older Dem voters will put Biden through the first couple states while Sanders and Warren split the hard-left crowd in two. 

Tulsi, Castro, Booker might be able to pull it off if one of them pulls off a hell of a surprise victory somewhere

Maybe Amy Klobuchar can do well enough to get a possible VP nod, but as much as I like her she wont win

Rest of the field, especially Beto, are fairly fucked 
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 22,556
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
Im predicting also Kamala is going to mercilessly destroy the 2 men in the next debate without hesitation. Afterwards, it will be a slow bleeding drop for Bernie and Joe.

And Obama will endorse Liz at the most opportune time.
Imabench
Imabench's avatar
Debates: 6
Posts: 934
3
4
9
Imabench's avatar
Imabench
3
4
9
-->
@Greyparrot
There's no way in hell Obama will try to ram in his endorsement before the primaries conclude. Hell in 2016 he waited until well after the primary ended before formally endorsing Hillary. 

Biden and Sanders could be taking a lot of fire from the other candidates in the debate, but I doubt Obama will give an endorsement just as much as I doubt he would do so for Warren. 
Imabench
Imabench's avatar
Debates: 6
Posts: 934
3
4
9
Imabench's avatar
Imabench
3
4
9
-->
@Greyparrot
There's no way in hell Obama will try to ram in his endorsement before the primaries conclude. Hell in 2016 he waited until well after the primary ended before formally endorsing Hillary. 

Biden and Sanders could be taking a lot of fire from the other candidates in the debate, but I doubt Obama will give an endorsement just as much as I doubt he would do so for Warren. 
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 22,556
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@Imabench
Oh he definitely will be withholding it until a final deciding moment..but he will be using it to help Liz.
Polytheist-Witch
Polytheist-Witch's avatar
Debates: 1
Posts: 4,188
3
3
6
Polytheist-Witch's avatar
Polytheist-Witch
3
3
6
It will be Warren and Biden ticket I think. 
Swagnarok
Swagnarok's avatar
Debates: 7
Posts: 1,003
3
2
6
Swagnarok's avatar
Swagnarok
3
2
6
Warren was the "media darling" during this debate. When you're the media darling among a demographic that actually trusts the media, you know you've got this thing in the bag. The Republican base might revolt under similar circumstances, but the Democratic base won't. None of the lesser known candidates are going to stand a chance.

I didn't watch the debate, but Tulsi Gabbard is probably the most "authentic" candidate. It's easy to be anti-war for a Democrat when it comes to Iran (the GOP bogeyman since the Bush era), but she's actually been consistent about this in regard to other countries, even Russia (the Democratic bogeyman since 2016). She's even willing to see eye-to-eye with President Donald effing Trump on a few things.
Forget Biden. She's the true moderate in the bunch, even though it basically affords her zero path to the White House.
DapperMack
DapperMack's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 72
0
1
4
DapperMack's avatar
DapperMack
0
1
4
It's Biden's primary to lose. Black voters actually are throwing their support for him FAR more than they are for Harris, Sanders, and Warren combined. He will win the vote of the aforementioned old citizens. Those advantages are too grand and by being a milquetoast candidate, he can avoid as much fire as possible. He would have to fuck up profoundly to lose his edge.

That said, I know the Democrats are gravitating leftward, but I see 2020 as more of a transitional period where nobody knows whether the validated establishment or the progressive path is the way to go, or the way that will come to pass. 

Biden was recently ripped by De Blasio, who has gotten some media attention, but we'll see how long this lasts.

I think that overall, the progressive candidates will all trip over each other trying to get on the spotlight, making Biden the preemptive winner.

Dr.Franklin
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Debates: 32
Posts: 10,555
4
7
11
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Dr.Franklin
4
7
11
I swear if Pocahontas wins 
Dr.Franklin
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Debates: 32
Posts: 10,555
4
7
11
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Dr.Franklin
4
7
11
In the current world of Politics only Bernie and Warren can survive
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,430
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
Betos gotta go. He looked like he was gonna cry
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,430
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
I liked Warren and Castro alot
DapperMack
DapperMack's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 72
0
1
4
DapperMack's avatar
DapperMack
0
1
4
-->
@Dr.Franklin
In the MeToo era, Biden will be under an extent of scrutiny for grabbing little girls. Still, I don't think it matters in. the grand scheme of things.
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,430
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
Its gonna be Bernie, Warren, and Biden at the top
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,430
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
Todays left will be very good. Capitalist Biden vs Socialist Bernie.
DapperMack
DapperMack's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 72
0
1
4
DapperMack's avatar
DapperMack
0
1
4
-->
@Vader
Not a Castro fan myself, but I agree about Warren.
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,430
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
-->
@DapperMack
Castro had a great night. Really charismatic and I felt him in a way. He had an amazing night, but Warren took the take due to her already popular

1/2 of the people need to drop out
DapperMack
DapperMack's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 72
0
1
4
DapperMack's avatar
DapperMack
0
1
4
-->
@Vader
Beto is a pathetic candidate lol. Almost beating Cruz is the Tee-ball award of being part of the establishment, unlike Biden who was actually the VP.

Dr.Franklin
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Debates: 32
Posts: 10,555
4
7
11
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Dr.Franklin
4
7
11
-->
@DapperMack
He doesn't have enough energy in the first place,he's too soft, he can't survive in 2020 political world. 
DapperMack
DapperMack's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 72
0
1
4
DapperMack's avatar
DapperMack
0
1
4
-->
@Vader
As I mentioned in another forum, I didn't like his virtue signaling and attempts to look like part of the crowd. There was an awkward lull with him that many didn't mention. 

DapperMack
DapperMack's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 72
0
1
4
DapperMack's avatar
DapperMack
0
1
4
-->
@Dr.Franklin
Biden is WAY ahead and everybody knows this about him already. 
Dr.Franklin
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Debates: 32
Posts: 10,555
4
7
11
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Dr.Franklin
4
7
11
-->
@DapperMack
He ain't gonna get the millennials
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,430
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
-->
@DapperMack
He nearly cried during the debate. If he gets elected, he will lose to Trump. He nearly cried during the debate and imagine him getting insults from Trump
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,430
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
-->
@Dr.Franklin
Millenials are not gonna vote. They will endorse their candidate, not vote, and then bitch and scream at the sky when they lose
DapperMack
DapperMack's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 72
0
1
4
DapperMack's avatar
DapperMack
0
1
4
-->
@Dr.Franklin
Old white people still decide elections, and unless absolutely zero millenials voted for him, Joe will probably win. He does have black voters, which includes a lot of millenials.
DapperMack
DapperMack's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 72
0
1
4
DapperMack's avatar
DapperMack
0
1
4
-->
@Vader
Beto cannot feasibly get elected lol

Dr.Franklin
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Debates: 32
Posts: 10,555
4
7
11
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Dr.Franklin
4
7
11
-->
@Vader
Hah
Dr.Franklin
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Debates: 32
Posts: 10,555
4
7
11
Dr.Franklin's avatar
Dr.Franklin
4
7
11
-->
@DapperMack
Old people tend to be the silent majority for GOP
Outplayz
Outplayz's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 2,193
3
3
5
Outplayz's avatar
Outplayz
3
3
5
-->
@DapperMack
Old white people still decide elections, and unless absolutely zero millenials voted for him, Joe will probably win. He does have black voters, which includes a lot of millenials.
Way too early to know. Tonight will be a good preview however. I'll hold my predictions until i see tonight's performances, but i think it's still way too early to make a prediction. A lot can still happen.