---Celebrity Mafia: DP4---

Author: bsh1 ,

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  • bsh1
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    LYNCHED LAST DP

    Supa - You are ANDERSON COOPER. You are a silver fox; time is typically the enemy of beauty, beauty being a sadly ephemeral condition. Yet, you have more than weathered the tests of time. Therefore, you are the 1-shot BULLETPROOF. The first time you are targeted for death at night, you will survive. You will not be notified if/when your shot is used. You win with the town.

    DIED IN THE NIGHT

    Mhar - You are RUPERT BROOKE. Prepossessing in a boyish kind of way, your youthful and philosophical idealism permeates your poetry, which strikes the reader as somewhere between the aestheticism of Keats and the music of Hopkins. You expressed a yearning so many of us feel, yet so few of us can convey. Therefore, you are the DREAMER. At the end of each night, you will be provided the names of three players. At least one of those players will be scum, and at least one of those players will be town. You will not dream if disturbed in the night. You win with the town.

    GRAVEYARD

    Press - Sean O'Pry, Vanilla - Town
    Speed 1 - Shawn Mendes, Visitor - Town
    Pie - Cate Blanchett, Ninja - Mafia
    Wylted - James Dean, Vanilla - Town
    Supa - Anderson Cooper, Bulletproof - Town
    Mhar - Rupert Brooke, Dreamer - Town


    LIVING PLAYERS

    Warren
    Cogent
    Club
    Grey
    Disc
    Speed 2 (Oro)

    With 6 players, it takes 4 votes to lynch.
    The DP ends at 1:00pm, EST, on 9/3/19.

    Good luck! And let the day phase begin!


  • Greyparrot
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    VTL warren
  • Greyparrot
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    VTL warren
  • Speedrace
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    VTL Warren

    Also, I apparently watched Wylted NP1, Cogent visited him
  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    --> @Speedrace @warren42
    Results or gtfo.
  • Speedrace
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    --> @Discipulus_Didicit
    I watched Cog and you and Club visited him
  • Speedrace
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    --> @Cogent_Cognizer
     Results?
  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    I was rereading the DPs. I am willing to say grey and club are town for sure at this point.

    Also noticed during the reread that speed accused me of being drunk near the end of DP 1, something I did not notice before lol. So basically the conversation went like this:

    DD: Do you think oro is town or scum? (post 475)

    Speed: *Doesn't answer DD's question*

    DD: *Points out that Speed didn't answer DD's question* (post 487)

    Speed: DD must be drunk.

    Classic. If DART had signatures I would sig this for sure.
  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    Anyway I think speed is town. Behavior did not change much after replacing oro and oro seemed town to me in the first place.
  • Speedrace
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    --> @Discipulus_Didicit
    I was sick and super frustrated that y'all kept making me think I was crazy dude, sorry I wasn't thinking straight
  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    Actually not so sure about grey... lets see...

  • Speedrace
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    --> @Discipulus_Didicit
     That was super wrong of me and I apologise dude :/
  • Speedrace
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    --> @Discipulus_Didicit
    I was gonna say Grey simply by process of elimination, I'm 100% for CC and I believe you and Club's claims plus I've seen y'all visit lol so it couldn't be anyone else, only thing is that I have yet to see him use any real scum behavior so I'm not jumping on that wagon just yet
  • bsh1
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    Vote Count

    Warren (2/4) - Grey, Speed
  • Greyparrot
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    --> @Speedrace
    It's ok, I didn't shower today.
  • Speedrace
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    --> @Greyparrot
    ? Lol

  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    Let's make some assumptions...

    1) There are 2 mafiosos remaining

    2) Either warren or speed is scum

    Now check the list...

    Warren - Dichotomy with Speed
    Cogent - Town confirmed (details available upon request)
    Club - Town confirmed (details available upon request)
    Grey - Scum by POE
    Disc - I know I am town
    Speed - Dichotomy with Warren

    So assuming I am right about my two assumptions above and I am right about CC and Club then Grey is 100% scum from my POV and from everyone elses POV it should be obvious that either I or GP is scum and the other is town.

    Therefore since we are in MyLo and not LyLo this is my  proposal... read carefully! (This proposal also subject to change depending on revealed NP 3 actions).

    Vote To Not Lynch

    Warren should target Club and Speed should target CC for NP 4. CC should target anyone but Club.

    Club should choose randomly between visiting anyone but CC.

    DD should choose randomly between visiting anyone but CC.

    Scenario One:

    Either DD, Grey, Speed, or Warren is killed tonight. If this happens then the person paired with them (Grey vs. DD and Speed vs. Warren) should be lynched tomorrow due to above analysis.

    Scenario Two:

    Either Club or CC is killed tonight. We use NP 4 action results to further narrow scum pool.
  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    We have role claims from all surviving players. Someone get together a list of claimed actions, please.

    I visited CC every night so far and got 'no result' every time.
  • Greyparrot
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    --> @Discipulus_Didicit
    Assuming I am town, how likely is speed to be scum?
  • Greyparrot
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    --> @Discipulus_Didicit
    Regardless of your poe analysis, I am going to vote warren as most likely scum.
  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    --> @Greyparrot
    Assuming I am town, how likely is speed to be scum?

    Based purely on the math there is no relation between your affiliation and the probability that Speed is scum.

    My turn to ask a question. Why are you asking about Speed specifically?
  • Greyparrot
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    --> @Discipulus_Didicit
    Also probably going to vote whatever you vote.
  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    Regardless of your poe analysis, I am going to vote warren as most likely scum.

    Time for my second question then.

    Based on my analysis if you are town then there is a 100% chance that I am scum. If you know I am scum then you should either VTNL or vote for me. Why are you doing neither of these things?
  • Discipulus_Didicit
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    Grey-Speed scum team, I am calling it now.
  • Greyparrot
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    --> @Discipulus_Didicit
    I just dont see the dichotomy between you and me