Yes, well mostly of them should be different, Minnesota should be a tossup.
Last, NC should be Lean Republican and NEw Mexico should be Likely Democratic, bush won it once so it could be competitive
Minnesota should be a tossup.
NC should be Lean Republican
NEw Mexico should be Likely Democratic, bush won it once so it could be competitive
The polling does not suggest that is is a tossup.
In the 2018 election the republicans got 50.39%, the dems got 48.35%. That's a difference of about 2 points.
Trumps approval to disapproval seems to stay at pretty much 50/50.
A 20 point lead for the dems in the latest election and trump being 15% underwater on approval rating seems like solid dem to me.
The polling did not show trump winning in 2016 either, look at the better facts: 1.Hillary barely won,2. GOP gained house seats in minnesota, rare for a midterm
Which is a lean republican
Who cares? Approval meaning doesnt mean anything if the democrats cant provide a democrat
2% is a tiny margin. If you think that should mean that we read that as leans one way, then Arizona should be leans dem, Pennsylvania should be leans dem, and wisconsin should be leans dem. They all had a wider spread than 2% for the dems in the 2018 election. If you want to put 3 more states in leans dem so you can have that one, sure i guess.
The most recent election has the republicans down by 11 points. That isn't a poll. That is an election. Those are solid indisputable numbers of who turned up to vote for each side. The republicans would need to do a fair bit better in this election than in the last one in order to be competitive. That certainly doesn't mean it is a lock for the dems. But the stats show it is leaning that way.
Theyre tossups because of 2016, NC has always been red
How did they flip two house seats then budddodoododd
Dems got the majority of votes in NC in 2008 and in 2012.
The republicans won the 3 lowest population districts. The Dems won the 5 highest population districts.The democrats also flipped 2 for a net change of 0. Meaning the dems control 5 of 8 districts.But the fact that they got 11 points more support is a significant shift in their favor.
I was just highlighting that they are not always red. They have voted majority democrat twice in recent history. But again, historical voting is much less important than recent voting, which is 11 point dem lead.Romney won the state, DUH 2008 was just a landslide, I mean fucking indiana voted blue that year
just the city turnouts, plus in 2020, trump is differenbt
So?I was just highlighting that they are not always red. They have voted majority democrat twice in recent history. But again, historical voting is much less important than recent voting, which is 11 point dem lead.
I agree that trump is different. His approval is in the toilet. He is in the middle of getting impeached. I mean just today we heard from a senior military official who said that he was so concerned about trump's actions on that call that he reported it to his superiors. Trump got alot of support by claiming he would drain the swamp. To alot of people, he has proven that he is just as bad, if not worse, than everyone else in the swamp. To people who love trump this won't matter. But that is only about 35% of the country. To everyone else, it will matter.
Talking about his appeal to blue collar
Trump will be relecetd
Arizona should be Leans Republican instead of Toss up
The state voted 9 points for Romney over Obama in 2012 and 8 points for McCain over Obama in 2008, for there to be an almost 10% demographic shift in favor of the Democrats in under 10 years is just far-fetched for me to believe.
In a previous debate he engaged in a string of ad-hominem attacks. I am happy to debate with him as long as he is remaining civil. For the moment that is the case. If he were to return to his attacks I would stop communicating with him.Why does one block just to still communicate with him??