Global Warming Is Causing Hate Speech - The Lancet Planetary Health

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POTSDAM, Germany — Climate change may be the cause of rising tensions and hate speech online, according to new research. Study authors from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research say incidents soar by more than a fifth when the temperature rises.

Global warming is getting people hot under the collar during conversations on social media in particular. Temperatures above 86°F show a consistent link to this phenomenon. The study authors say this applies to all climate zones irrespective of socioeconomic differences such as income, religious beliefs, or political preferences.

The findings, published in The Lancet Planetary Health, have implications for social cohesion, suggesting there will be more aggression and violence unless greenhouse gas emissions fall dramatically. Scientists used a computer neural network to analyze four billion tweets from users in the United States.

“People tend to show a more aggressive online behavior when it’s either too cold or too hot outside,” says study first author and PIK scientist Annika Stechemesser in a media release.

You can't make this stuff up, folks:

Proof that even scientists fall for the correlation/causation fallacy.

Public-Choice
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FROM THE STUDY:

Findings
The prevalence of hate tweets was lowest at moderate temperatures (12 to 21°C) and marked increases in the number of hate tweets were observed at hotter and colder temperatures, reaching up to 12·5% (95% CI 8·0–16·5) for cold temperature extremes (–6 to –3°C) and up to 22·0% (95% CI 20·5–23·5) for hot temperature extremes (42 to 45°C). Outside of the moderate temperature range, the hate tweets also increased as a proportion of total tweeting activity. The quasi-quadratic shape of the temperature–hate tweet curve was robust across varying climate zones, income quartiles, religious and political beliefs, and both city-level and state-level aggregations. However, temperature ranges with the lowest prevalence of hate tweets were centred around the local temperature mean and the magnitude of the increases in hate tweets for hot and cold temperatures varied across the climate zones.

Interpretation
Our results highlight hate speech online as a potential channel through which temperature alters interpersonal conflict and societal aggression. We provide empirical evidence that hot and cold temperatures can aggravate aggressive tendencies online. The prevalence of the results across climatic and socioeconomic subgroups points to limitations in the ability of humans to adapt to temperature extremes.

Funding
Volkswagen Foundation.

LINK:
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Thanks volkswagen, if it weren't for you I don't think humanity would ever have come to terms with the fact that some temperatures are uncomfortable and cause us to stay inside and stare at a computer screen.
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@ADreamOfLiberty
stare at a computer screen
Not to mention that Twitter purposely shows people extremist statements because it garners engagement ad traffic for advertisers. [1] And the fact that Twitter is, like, at least 20% bots. [2] [3] [4]

Like, honestly, do people really think websites like Facebook and Twitter get billions of unique visitors a year? [5] [6] There aren't even 8 billion people in the world [7] but somehow Facebook gets 20 billion unique visitors??? And Twitter clocks in at almost 7 Billion!

Those two explanations alone can account for the "rise in hate speech" on warm and cold days, when people stay inside more. But the weather, itself, is not causing it, which is what the correlation/causation fallacy shows.

SOURCES:
Shila
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@Public-Choice
FROM THE STUDY:

Findings
The prevalence of hate tweets was lowest at moderate temperatures (12 to 21°C) and marked increases in the number of hate tweets were observed at hotter and colder temperatures, reaching up to 12·5% (95% CI 8·0–16·5) for cold temperature extremes (–6 to –3°C) and up to 22·0% (95% CI 20·5–23·5) for hot temperature extremes (42 to 45°C). Outside of the moderate temperature range, the hate tweets also increased as a proportion of total tweeting activity. The quasi-quadratic shape of the temperature–hate tweet curve was robust across varying climate zones, income quartiles, religious and political beliefs, and both city-level and state-level aggregations. However, temperature ranges with the lowest prevalence of hate tweets were centred around the local temperature mean and the magnitude of the increases in hate tweets for hot and cold temperatures varied across the climate zones.

Interpretation
Our results highlight hate speech online as a potential channel through which temperature alters interpersonal conflict and societal aggression. We provide empirical evidence that hot and cold temperatures can aggravate aggressive tendencies online. The prevalence of the results across climatic and socioeconomic subgroups points to limitations in the ability of humans to adapt to temperature extremes.

Funding
Volkswagen Foundation.

LINK:
No mention of Trump’s banning on Twitter that set off a public uproar as tempers exploded.

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@Shila
Yup. Tooooootally not relevant at alllllllllll
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@Public-Choice

No mention of Trump’s banning on Twitter that set off a public uproar as tempers exploded.
->
@Shila
Yup. Tooooootally not relevant at alllllllllll

'Massive rise' in hate speech on Twitter during presidential election

Tempers cooled down after Trump  announced Truth Social his new Trump media.
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The entire point of machine learning is turning correlations into predictions. It's very legitimate science that produces seriously impressive things. There's no fallacy here, you're just dumb. I don't even know why you'd be so indignant about this. Colder the country, the more suicides too. 
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Maybe you take some Christian angst in this. That'd be fun.

Personally, I'm sick of the rain. 
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@badger

The entire point of machine learning is turning correlations into predictions. It's very legitimate science that produces seriously impressive things. There's no fallacy here, you're just dumb. I don't even know why you'd be so indignant about this. Colder the country, the more suicides too.
You are turning poor comprehension into predictions.

JULY 23, 2018
Stanford researchers find warming temperatures could increase suicide rates across the U.S. and Mexico
By comparing historical temperature and suicide data, researchers found a strong correlation between warm weather and increased suicides. They estimate climate change could lead to suicide rate increases across the U.S. and Mexico.
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I mean. The study didn't find it cooled off. The study didn't find that at all. In fact, it found it persisted. I think this is because many Twitter accounts are bots.

Also, ICYMI, liberals are just as hateful as conservatives on average. [1]

Liberals tend to want to silence everyone who disagrees with them just as much as Conservatives do. [2]

Personally, I try not to do that. And that is one of the reasons I have decided to stick to this site even though it is very close to a liberal/center-left echo chamber lol.

I also have liberal friends, and I welcome their comments. The thing I have tended to notice, though, is they often do not welcome mine. Some do. But most don't. 

The same thing is true with my conservative friends. Some welcome it. Some don't. 

SOURCES:

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@badger
There's no fallacy here, you're just dumb

Let me ask you, did the study prove hot temperatures CAUSED hateful tweets? No. No it did not. It found a correlation, and it wrongly assumed causation.

The study authors claim, without evidence, that humans cannot adjust to hotter temperatures, even though they found hateful tweets in colder temperatures as well at an equal amount as in hotter temperatures. 

But even so, they didn't prove this. There is nothing whatsoever in this line of reasoning that equals a cause-effect.

To assert otherwise is "just dumb." The rest of us over here will continue to let logic and reason, not fallacies and emotions, determine our opinions.
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When does something shift from correlation to cause? Actually I'm not even replying to you right now. Have not read your posts even. I'm just typing and posting completely at random. 

Some things are obvious. Be careful with that fallacy. It makes a person look a dumbass more often than it's useful I'd bet. 
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I mean. The study didn't find it cooled off. The study didn't find that at all. In fact, it found it persisted. I think this is because many Twitter accounts are bots.

Also, ICYMI, liberals are just as hateful as conservatives on average. [1]

Liberals tend to want to silence everyone who disagrees with them just as much as Conservatives do. [2]

Personally, I try not to do that. And that is one of the reasons I have decided to stick to this site even though it is very close to a liberal/center-left echo chamber lol.

I also have liberal friends, and I welcome their comments. The thing I have tended to notice, though, is they often do not welcome mine. Some do. But most don't. 

The same thing is true with my conservative friends. Some welcome it. Some don't. 

SOURCES:
So you are equally ignored by both liberal and conservative friend. Why don’t you take the hint your comments are not appreciated?
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When does something shift from correlation to cause?
Never. All causation produces correlation. Not all correlation is causation.

Correlation can be a clue that causation exists. Causation can be confirmed if the variables are independently controllable. Causation can be concluded in the absence of control given a verifiable theory of causation.
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Your laptop is a bigger scandal than Hunter BIden's. 
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If I had the money coming in that he did I would not be spending my time posting here, I would be making my own decentralized system.

Besides my porn is very encrypted, not even Giuliani in all his great cyberpower could break it.

BTW just because I took the bait this time does not mean I can't help myself. I'm just feeling playful.