Call of Duty: Black Ops Mafia DP3

Author: ILikePie5

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iamanabanana
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@Moozer325
You realize he's not going to lynch you over Earth, right? This is how you play mafia, you put everything out on the table just in case we missed something. He's doing his due diligence and following every possible lead.
Then why am I the only person he is discussing a scum read on? I've asked him multiple times to elaborate a read on anyone, both in the forums and in the discord chat, and he keeps refocusing it on me lol
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@iamanabanana
Thought I was clear that it was Cerulean, but I think I only posted it once so my bad.  Mharman is coming on too strong to be scum, it's a bit of a WIFOM argument, but he's so scummy there's no way he's scum. Cerulean's role also seems a little inherently scummy too me. It's begging to not be lynched.
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@Moozer325
To put it bluntly, I don't think it's holding. It's not bad reasoning but no detailed analysis is going to convince me more my current Earth scum-read, and the Banana vs. Earth night actions discrepancy.
That’s probably true. If I’m mistaken, I’ll accept that, but I’d be remiss if I didn’t detail my thoughts and explore them as thoroughly as possible.
iamanabanana
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@Moozer325
Mharman is coming on too strong to be scum, it's a bit of a WIFOM argument, but he's so scummy there's no way he's scum.
I am not sure I understand this one.
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@iamanabanana
Then why am I the only person he is discussing a scum read on? I've asked him multiple times to elaborate a read on anyone, both in the forums and in the discord chat, and he keeps refocusing it on me lol
He’s just pursuing the less talked about options. Earth is the obvious lynch so even though it seems like he’s targeting you, he’s just skipping redundancy by talking about Earth.

I am not sure I understand this one.
Some people just naturally act scummy as part of their gameplay. Behavior is a good tool in DP1, but after that it’s less and less helpful. My read is a weird one, so it make sense that it’s hard to understand, but it’s a lot like Scooby Doo in some ways. It’s never who you most expect because scum is going to try to act most like town. I’m just realizing as Im typing this that this is an horrible explanation, sorry.
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@iamanabanana
It’s more about why I sus Cerulean that why I don’t sus Mharman
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@Moozer325
It’s more about why I sus Cerulean that why I don’t sus Mharman
Why couldn't they both be scum?


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@iamanabanana
They could be, but there’s no way that both you and Earth are town.

iamanabanana
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@Moozer325
They could be, but there’s no way that both you and Earth are town.
If I was redirected, it could be. Also why wouldn't earth just say he actually visited Lunatic if he was scum, why go through the risk of making it me vs him when he could say "yeah I visited lunatic, but not as the night kill!" which throws everyone else in the pool.
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@Moozer325
Why is no one claiming to be role blocked? Consider whiteflames role. If no one is claiming to be roleblocked, there either isn't a roleblocker, or whiteflame strengthened correctly twice in a row. If there isn't a roleblocker, what other roles would justify the existence of a town strengthener? This is why we are discussing the possibility of a redirector.
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@iamanabanana
But wouldn't you have been notified when you got redirected? This is what I don't understand about the whole redirection thing, you targeted Luna, right? If you were redirected then you would get a result from someone else, not Luna.
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If enough of us still scumread Earth, then I can fully understand that lynch and will join it, even if I’ve been talking myself out of it. I have a lot of concerns with his play this game, which makes the decision between him and Banana particularly frustrating, but it is what it is.
iamanabanana
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@Moozer325
But wouldn't you have been notified when you got redirected? This is what I don't understand about the whole redirection thing, you targeted Luna, right? If you were redirected then you would get a result from someone else, not Luna.
No I dont think you get notified when you are redirected. For example if I was redirected to whoever carried the night kill, my result would still appear as if earth visited the night kill since I targeted him.
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@whiteflame
@iamanabanana
That's not been my understanding of the role, Whiteflame could you clarify as a more experienced player?
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@Moozer325
That's not been my understanding of the role, Whiteflame could you clarify as a more experienced player?
Taking a break, but I did want to address this. The only redirector I’m familiar with is one that is unannounced to its two targets.
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Okay, DP ends tomorrow at noon and I don’t want to miss a hammer, so…

VTL Earth

If anyone wants me to remove my vote for whatever reason, tag me.
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@ILikePie5
Should prob tag you
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@iamanabanana
Oh, and I found this in mafia universe

In the majority of cases, players are not informed that their Night actions were redirected.

So I guess I was wrong. That’s on me.
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Official Vote Count:

Earth (1/4) - Moozer


“Your turn!!! Come on!!! Step eight, Reznov - Freedom!”

—Alex Mason
Mharman
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@ILikePie5
Just noticed your post count. 16,000 is crazy
Earth
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@Mharman
And 3/4 of it is mafia.
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@Mharman
:p mines all mafia too lmao
Earth
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@Mharman
I think I was given lesser information NP1 bc I’m supposed to be incentivized to stay alive and get more information.

If my current theory about Moozer is correct, there could also be a negative utility /bait aspect, where if I reveal my NP1 information, it helps scum figure out how to get that extra NK, before I get warned that they have said capabilities in NP2.

I base this on the idea that I was told scum doesn’t know their method, not that they don’t know they can get an extra night kill.
You might have already answered, but Pie said mafia get an extra night kill, not just a kill in general?
Earth
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I fudged up that above post a bit.
whiteflame
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Doesn't look like there's anything new to address. If everyone else wants to lynch Earth, I'll go along despite my misgivings. I'll post my vote tomorrow regardless.
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I am bouncing back and forth on who I should vote for, but I will steel myself and vote for Cerulean. 

VTL Cerulean
Mharman
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@Earth
Yes, an extra NK.
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@iamanabanana
Why would mafias ability to have an extra night kill be affected by their knowledge of another plays hidden ability?
It's possible the two pieces of information I got aren't related; I simply theorized that they were. My theory is that interacting with a certain player in a certain way (most likely a NK) grants an extra kill, via whatever is hidden about their role. It's based on mod psyche as well, because I'm predicting all three pieces of information I can get are related (yes, I did talk with Pie- he confirmed I don't gain anything NP4+... somewhat obvious but it was worth asking).

I think it's totally possible that could be a reason, there could be a plethora of reasons, you just happened to use that as an example, being overly defensive like that could suggest that is the actual answer. Either way there could be a different one too, but seeing as you had the luxury of being able to claim when you want, last, and under no pressure, I have every reason to believe you prepared the fake claim last second, as if waiting to build your claim around what everyone else claimed. The behavior in question is about responses to cerulean that occured before you divulged the information about your night 1 action, you could tailor that information however you wanted based on ceruleans claim and responses to your role.
1. Last DP I had told everyone else could claim after Cerulean and I. I would've been willing to go first if it weren't for the fact that I wanted more to read Cerulean off of, as well as the off chance he claims my character or someone else's. The only reason I was the last person to full claim is because no one listened to me.

2. Even before Cerulean full claimed, I did hint at my information before Cerulean full claimed.

3. Go ahead, list another reason for your theorized scum Mharman to hold off on information like that. I was refuting what I felt was the likely argument coming from you. I'm decent at the game, I'm not going to draw an extra sus by withholding information like that as scum. I'd have it up front and ready to go.

This reads like a threat "If you keep on this route of suspecting me I might turn this around on you. so watch yourself". Why would you be threatening me with a read, you either do or you don't scum read me. It's convenient that the reads suddenly strengthens when I start asking you some light questions. You are getting very defensive  :)
Once again, I will defend myself from mislynches lol.

As for your perceived threat, no. I just said I was becoming more willing to bet that you don't know what's going on, as opposed to the idea that you were pretending to so. Yes, I will continue to have some level of sus on you as long as you are in my POE (Earth Cerulean Banana), but it's not at the level of what I have on Earth.

"It seems you have your mind made up, which is strange you aren't considering much of mharman but whatever." -Banana to Whiteflame

But since we're having a discussion about threats, could I reasonably consider this a threat? A "start sussing Mharman or I start to sus you" kind of thing? Rhetorical question btw

There's been a lot of discussions about most or a lot of these roles having shaky justifications. Im not too familiar with this game  to really dig deep into that stuff anyway. Right now I am more focused on people's behavior.
You can focus on both lol


They have no reason to hit outside of those targets.

First things first, you are the only player in this game who had not revealed their role while claiming an active role.

They have plenty of reason to hit outside those targets.

1. Again, the threat of a doctor being one. If your saying those three targets are "obvious" wouldn't scum want to try and hit outside of the group of people most likely to prevent their kill?
If anything the notion of a doctor encourages scum to try to find and target the doctor. AKA someone with an active role. AKA not me.


2. There was three unclaimed individuals, me you and cerulean. Just because I claimed an active role didn't neccesarily mean my role was a threat to them. Also you could have been lying about being a passive role, and secretly BEEN the doctor. Same with cerulean. Unclaimed townies seem like a pretty big threat. Look at the role you have. If your role is true it could be a huge negative for mafia, they have no reason to assume your role isn't a threat because you claimed it was passive.
Sure passive roles can be threatening, but active ones are usually more threatening. A passive role could be negative utility, or a weaker investigative/protective, like oracle or bulletproof, or even something like commuter. A passive role could be negative utility for town, at which point it's valuable to keep them alive. Passive roles can also be a major landmine for scum. 

Meanwhile active roles are your doctors, your cops, your tracker/watchers, strengtheners, confirmables, masonizers, even vigilantes (although vigilantes almost never exist in 9-player games). Especially late in the game, they can cause havoc to a scum team if they don't spend time dealing with them.

To suggest that you KNEW you weren't a viable target enough to risk allowing game changing information to not be revealed, also suggests you have inside information, and knew you wouldn't be targeted, as if you were the one with the ability to direct the night kill...
Or I just had the game sense to shoot for more information with my role, while understanding that with the way mafia teams tend to think, I wasn't their likely NK.
Mharman
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@iamanabanana
btw, when I refer to passive landmines, I'm referring to passives that are threatening, but only if scum visits. Just wanted to clarify
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@ILikePie5
time check upon next vote count?