Game Show Mafia DP3

Author: Lunatic

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Savant
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My role doesn't end the dp but I really don't see a reason to use it.
Mikal
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If you used it, it would make more sense to use it on earth but then we have a very high chance of a 50/50 the game ends if he comes up town, I think assuming 2 mafia. If my math is right.  


If he comes up scum we just likely auto win but don’t think it’s worth the risk 



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@Mikal
it would make more sense to use it on earth
So I use it on Earth, Earth flips guilty, we lynch him. Then we're in final 4 and we don't know whether to lynch Mharman or banana.
Mikal
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@Savant
That’s my point. 

I don’t think it’s worth 

Cus I think that just ends the game if we get the 50 50 wrong if there are 2 scum. 
Earth
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@Savant
Please use that on someone like Mharman or something like that?
Savant
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@Earth
Please use that on someone like Mharman or something like that?
So I use it on Mharman, he flips guilty, we lynch him. Then it's down to the final 4, and we don't know whether to lynch you or banana.
Mikal
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Kinda sus on the people wanting you to use it tbh 
Earth
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@Savant
Have you considered town winning the trivia sensor, Savant?
Savant
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@Earth
Have you considered town winning the trivia sensor, Savant
That helps us regardless. I think the move is to eliminate you with Austin, Moozer, banana, and you hammer yourself. That tells us if banana is scum.
Savant
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@Earth
@Mharman
@Mikal
@AustinL0926
@iamanabanana
Are all of you on board with the above?
Savant
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Also has everyone come up with like five challenges to do in a random order so scum can't guess your hidden agenda?
Savant
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Actually, maybe everyone should do ten. That makes it basically impossible for scum to guess and also gives us some leeway if they can do better than random chance.
Mharman
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@Savant
I prefer Earth but sure go ahead. Since it doesn’t end the DP.
Savant
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@Mharman
I prefer Earth but sure go ahead
I'm not using my role, it takes away a lynch.
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@Savant
Okay then.
Mikal
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@Savant
Yeah this makes sense from what I can see. Should be home soon to type up shit 
Mikal
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Hedges bets 
Savant
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Here's the issue even with the sensor:

If I use it on Earth and he's innocent, then we lynch Mharman while using the sensor to check banana. If Earth is guilty, we lynch him while using the sensor to check Mharman.

Except in the case that Earth is innocent, that doesn't actually do anything, we could have just lynched Earth. If Earth is guilty, we could have checked Mharman anyway and if Mharman was innocent we would still have two lynches remaining, not just one. So unless everyone really needs me to confirm myself, I think using my role is a net loss for town.
Mikal
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@Savant
I think it makes no sense with the math. I think earth is the safest lynch and I still have an item. 

They can’t kill me or they lose a night phase and I can narrow down even more Poe tomorrow with tracking tonight. 
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@Mikal
So why doesn’t that lead to a banana/Mharman scum team? Why is Earth still in your PoE?
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@Moozer325
just because he said he copped you, doesn’t mean he copped you. I think with certainty there is 1/2 between Mharm and banana. That leaves the question who would be the third in that scenario. It has to be earth unless savant is playing out of his mind 


And if he is scum, he has the vote thing. So you leave him alive and he is scum they just win when the numbers get low. If he flips town those two by default are the scum team. And even on some odd chance some fuckery is going on, I can 50/50 them with the tracker. 
Mikal
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realistically we have the lynch order and doing him first just makes sure they don’t have the item but by Poe we win unless savant is a god and I just can’t see him as scum. 

Savant
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@Mikal
if he is scum, he has the vote thing
Well if he's scum, scum have the vote thing, so even if we lynch him they'll still have it. But it does hedge our bets.
Savant
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@Mikal
Wait did you actually confirm Moozer? Bcause it's possible Moozer was scum and didn't visit anyone. Not saying that's likely, just technically possible.
Mikal
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@Savant
Yes he's confirmed 

popular townie - that is an exclusive town role 
Savant
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@Mikal
Oh you copped him, thought you tracked him.

Wait so you are both the beloved princess and a rolecop/tracker?
Mikal
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@Savant
wait do you know something I don't? My assumption was a player got it and if they died, it went down with them. Are you saying, their team will still have it even if he dies?
Savant
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@Mikal
Are you saying, their team will still have it even if he dies?
Mafia submitted as a group I think. And even if they didn't, it could be Earth's partner that got it.
Mikal
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@Savant
I am the beloved princess. 

But part of my role is I can play double jeopardy on one night phase. I went all in on np1. Got to pick from 2 categories and if I got the question right, I got to pick between a doc and a role cop. Doc didnt make sense cus me dying helps (confirmed I could self doc), and i'd be guessing who they could kill. Took a role cop to confirm someone at some point in the game after they claimed. Moozer made the most sense since he also locks austin. If i got the question wrong, I would convert to vanilla. Was like a risk it all thing  
Mikal
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was half hoping they would come after me last night and was trying to bait the kill, but I guess i did actually scare them when I said I had a plan for that.