Alright, I’m at the airport and I don’t have long to post thoughts, so I’ll see what I can do.
Regarding FT, the fact that he’s claiming Erza means he’s most likely town. In this series, she’s one of the main 4 characters. She’d be a very risky fake claim to give this early. She’s almost definitely not the day cop (...seriously RM? I wasn’t buying that before the character claim), though I can think of a few fitting roles for her.
RM has me on edge. On the one hand, he claimed cop, which would be a ballsy fake claim for scum. On the other hand, his character claim stands out. Erza Scarlet and Mirajane Strauss are both the actual names of their characters. Doranbolt is an alias for a character actually named Mest Gryder. He’s not one of the more central characters of the guild, either, though he does do some important stuff. It doesn’t help that he’s the only claim that flies in the face of my interpretation of that first hint. I’m reticent in general about lynching in DP1, much less for a claimed cop, but so much about this claim seems fishy.
I’m not convinced that anyone else merits much attention so far. Pie’s behavior seems in line with his usual (if anything, I think he’d play tighter than this if he was scum), and I don’t buy Oro as scum based on anything he’s done (he’s normally rather neutral about the majority of us this early). Too little from Earth, nothing from Speed (likely at a debate tournament) or Luna (likely at work). Still trying to read Coal (usually have trouble there), already said I town read MC.