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@Best.Korea
Abortion reduces crime rates, improves quality of life, reduces prison population, increases equality, increases liberty, increases body rights.
It seems unlikely that a Harris presidency would make a substantial difference to abortion. Trump seems to want to moderate on abortion, and Dobbs isn’t about to be overturned anytime soon (even with enough Supreme Court vacancies).
Regardless, the Donohue–Levitt hypothesis (that legalised abortion significantly reduced crime in America) is almost certainly false. As The Economist notes, “It was, however, wrong. Later researchers found a coding error and pointed out that Mr Levitt had used the total number of arrests, which depends on the size of a population, and not the arrest rate, which does not. Others pointed out that the fall in homicide started among women. No-fault divorce, rather than legalised abortion, may have played a bigger role.”
Migrants have lower crime rate than general population. Migrants reduce crime rate, increase workforce, help low birth rates.
They lower the crime rate by increasing the population. But the US should prioritise the interests of Americans, so that’s simply an illusion in the data. Additionally, current migrants are less likely to commit crimes, but this is potentially endogenous to current levels of migration.
Anyway, I’m pretty uncertain about immigration. On the one hand, it likely helps the economy. At the same time, there is compelling evidence that it reduces social cohesion and trust, and makes societies less politically stable. I’m happy to be convinced in either direction on this question.
Reducing debt is crucial to save economy and reduce inflation, and to reduce poverty, and solve trade deficit.
It is not obvious to me that Trump would be better at deficit reduction. Republicans like cutting taxes and Democrats like increasing spending. I doubt either Harris or Trump is going to deviate from the recent trend of running high deficits year-on-year.
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