Instigator / Pro
21
1309
rating
269
debates
40.71%
won
Topic
#5331
Divination: You ask five "yes or no" questions, and I give you correct answers using tarot and divination.
Status
Finished
The debate is finished. The distribution of the voting points and the winner are presented below.
Winner & statistics
After 3 votes and with 9 points ahead, the winner is...
Best.Korea
Parameters
- Publication date
- Last updated date
- Type
- Standard
- Number of rounds
- 2
- Time for argument
- Two days
- Max argument characters
- 10,000
- Voting period
- Two weeks
- Point system
- Multiple criterions
- Voting system
- Open
Contender / Con
12
1510
rating
62
debates
54.03%
won
Description
Questions can be about past, present and future.
Remember, only ask questions that are answered with "yes" or "no".
In round 1, you ask questions.
In round 2, I answer them.
Nothing too offensive please, or tarot could get angry at us.
In round 2, you say if you think tarot answered questions correctly and if it did, I win, and if not, you win.
Round 1
Ask your five questions.
The first two questions are about the future so that I can know the answer if tarot turns out to be valid, which I will test with the last three questions which are about the past and that I already know the answer to.
1: Will my life span be shorter than average?
2: Will me and my gf break up?
3: Did I hit another kid with a stick when I was a kid?
4: Did I ever rap battle RM on a different site from Debate Art?
5: Was I eating chicken, sweet potato and green beans while writing this question?
1: Will my life span be shorter than average?
2: Will me and my gf break up?
3: Did I hit another kid with a stick when I was a kid?
4: Did I ever rap battle RM on a different site from Debate Art?
5: Was I eating chicken, sweet potato and green beans while writing this question?
Round 2
We ask tarot to give us correct answers to your questions.
1: Will my life span be shorter than average?
Yes.
Certainty of answer: 80%
2: Will me and my gf break up?
No.
Certainty of answer: 100%
3: Did I hit another kid with a stick when I was a kid?
Yes.
Certainty of answer: 100%
4: Did I ever rap battle RM on a different site from Debate Art?
Yes.
Certainty of answer: 60%
5: Was I eating chicken, sweet potato and green beans while writing this question?
Yes.
Certainty of answer: 100%
Interesting, it got every single one that I already knew correct. How do you determine the certainty %, just by running it multiple times through multiple different divination methods?
Even if it gets all 5 it doesn't prove divination really works, because it's possible it could get 5 consecutive questions right by chance but it actually does increase the odds that divination is legit.
Even if it gets all 5 it doesn't prove divination really works, because it's possible it could get 5 consecutive questions right by chance but it actually does increase the odds that divination is legit.
How did you get your tarot cards
"just by running it multiple times through multiple different divination methods?"
You can do that too.
There are multiple tarot spreads, and its possible to do 5 spreads on a question to see how many say yes and how many say no.
"How do you determine the certainty %"
I do it by number of cards saying yes/no.
I draw 5 cards. If 3 out of 5 say yes, its 60% yes because 3 out of 5 is like 6 out of 10, which is 60%.
People often doubt tarot, but pro tarot is right about 70% of the time, so its like science.
Tarot is correct about 50% of the time on questions that have 50% chance to be "yes" and 50% chance to be "no".
Now, I could use a more advanced tarot which relies on assumption that over 70% of questions have "yes" as correct answer, as people do tend to ask if something will happen when it most likely will.