Skyrim Mafia DP2

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#241
Lunatic
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@WyIted
Yeah pie said you were doctor in the PM. Probably at least one scum team member picked up on it also. No major loss to claim here. 
Yeah kind of figured scum would, mentioned that earlier, which is why I wasn’t crazy opposed to claiming. 
#242
Mikal
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Want to think more but what I actually think is happening is wylted is not cop. I think Pie is cop and wylted is mason


#243
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Want to think more but what I actually think is happening is wylted is not cop. I think Pie is cop and wylted is mason


#244
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Mason confirms pie - they are gambling to make scum guess who to target. If wylted dies, it would confirm pie regardless and pie is saving his result for that reason
#245
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@Mikal
Want to think more but what I actually think is happening is wylted is not cop. I think Pie is cop and wylted is mason
…. Why would you openly speculate that?
#246
Mikal
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Doubt they will confirm this either way but it heavily limits poe. I think pie got a guilty on casey and shared it with wylted in the mason pm
#247
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@Mikal
that or you both are scum and could have waived to build a doc claim but that would assume you were fed fake claims which the mod says didn't happen. 

Have to buy that. 
Can’t be cause neither of us are on RM’s results
#248
Mikal
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@Lunatic
POE

I think we have enough to end the game if that's actually true. It wont matter. There is a town block of 3 and we have a protect with no CC of the doctor. Game is over if that's the case. Just lynch casey to confirm RMS dream, if he flips scum. I am clear. If not lynch me
#249
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Had this theory from DP 1 but wanted to sit on it, what what you said. I think we have enough of a town block that we can operate off a mass claim. I am just pushing it a long
#250
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@Mikal
POE
I think we have enough to end the game if that's actually true. It wont matter
if that was there actual plan why risk foiling it like that, how does that even help town to do that lol
#251
Mikal
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@Lunatic
Mason - Confirm
Cop - Confirm
Doc - Confirm

Pie has a guilty on casey 

If casey flips guilty it confirms RM, also confirming me

scum is between WF and Ultra. Game is over
#252
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@Lunatic
I don't know then you still get into another WIFOM game. Who is Mason? Who is cop? It's still a mind fuck with open speculation. 
#253
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That was what I meant I could solve DP1. Just wanted to get more information before I said it out loud. Casey flips scum , theme is prob dlc vs no dlc and everyone has soft locked on a claim. Not that it even matters, we the pool is just wf or the afk guy
#254
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Why I was also pissed at earth for not just saying no fake claims and making me drudge to many brain cells on whether he changed it or not. He would have said that, would have dropped the wylted thing ages ago. 
#255
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@Mikal
Pie has a guilty on casey 
Pretty sure they said they have an innocent not a guilty. I think I know who it is also, though I won’t publicly speculate my theory, just seems obvious based on whose being left out of every POE analysis lol. I think they are scum reading Casey based on some other context.
#256
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@Lunatic
that is fair, it's also an innocent on you know who and you have a lynch pool off that result unless he's gf
#257
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@WyIted
I don't know then you still get into another WIFOM game. Who is Mason? Who is cop? It's still a mind fuck with open speculation. 
I mean yeah. But it still isn’t good to theorize like that publicly. Just something that slightly pings me as scummy, but he has a lot of town sh1t going for him to so I’ll just take it all in context.
#258
Mikal
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Either way if Pie confirms. I know I am town, so casey flipping confirms me and RM. Assuming whether he picked RM or Casey

don't matter at this point

If he picked RM, it's casey which is why he is only focusing on that poe. 
#259
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@Lunatic
It's not scummy. If that is true, you full claim, out the results the game is done. Caseys flip confirms two people. 

last scum will stick out between Wf and AFK guy


I sat on this since DP1, just think it's relevant now since you claimed doc and we can actually narrow it down
#260
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I think Casey is probably just scum here and a lot of this is over thinking but yeah literally no reason to rush anything here and it’s good to talk out all the possibilities.

Remember even if Casey flips that doesn’t necessarily mean both scum weren’t in the results. The way RM answered about how his dream works allows for up to both scum to be in the results.
#261
Mikal
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yeah but if theory is correct. Mason would die, so pie is town locked. I just don't think wylted wanted to say that and was making them guess. Game won't go on that long, and I am fine with dieing somewhere in that process as my thoughts are out and I think I solved it. 


#262
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@Mikal
Either way if Pie confirms. I know I am town, so casey flipping confirms me and RM. Assuming whether he picked RM or Casey
don't matter at this point
If he picked RM, it's casey which is why he is only focusing on that poe. 
the fact that you keep missing a big part of something in your analysis here is fvcking with me. It either means your town naive, or this person is your scum partner lol.
#263
Mikal
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like no matter who they target. They have to kill 3 people

you- are the reason there is  no nk. If that theory is true, I don't think you could fabricate and waive a nk
pie would be cop - who is confirmed by mason
mason - would be confirmed by pie


Only way this does not resolve is if there is a scum recruit which earth said there is no TP. So maybe mafia could have a recruit but I doubt it

Likely all 3 of you are town locked and you lynch from poe. 
#264
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My shift is just about to start. All I'll say for now is that I have no reason to doubt Luna's claim. I'm fine with being the lynch today. My role was never going to work after I claimed anyway. FMPOV, however, I still have every reason to sus Mikal. Other scum is Ultra or WF.
#265
Mikal
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@Lunatic
I have no idea what I am missing. I am not considering myself becuase i am town. I am not making a case for myself. If you guys want to lynch me from poe, im fine with that. 

Pie - Cop
Wylted - Mason
you - doc

if this is confirmed

Wylted and pie confirm each other and you are the reason there is no nk

If Pie got a guilty on casey, you lynch casey and I'm confirmed with RM
if he got an innocent on RM. You lynch between Casey or Me. Obviously I want casey as this town locks me and RM


Then you just poe from the last 2

What am I missing?
#266
Mikal
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I think you force a full claim and when casey does flip scum. (I believe the Serena claim) because they softed this

the roles are also intertwined if pie is telling the ruth, like they claimed virgin instead of martry

I think the theme is prob dlc characters vs not. 
#267
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I dont think there is an evil or good split. It could be but my character is basically an assassin in game lol and kinda a dickhead and a thalamor ambassador. That is why I said I don't think scum would find the theme and it's not just like alduin vs (x). 

Serena as scum would mean dawnguard vs x, but there is not enough characters to really do that. So it's likely DLC vs x
#268
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@Mikal
A dreamer has at least 1 scum in the pool of results not "only one scum" so if go strictly off of RMs results the second scum could be in them. 

I think this is what lunatic is referring to and it's not really important to discuss it this DP anyway because it's unlikely to factor into what we do today
#269
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@Mikal
What am I missing?
Whiteflame and ultra are consistently left out of your every analysis. I can get forgetting about ultra based on his low posting but Whiteflame being forgotten is stunning to me lol.
#270
Mikal
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@Lunatic
I am not leaving them out? I am saying it's Casey or Me. I know I am town so when Casey flips it confirms me and RM. Last scum is between those 2. What do I need to analyze at that point?