Nightless Sensor QF Mafia - Sign-ups

Author: Bullish ,

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  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    This is a quickfire style mafia game with special mechanics.

    Game mechanics

    • 6 players, 4 town vs 2 mafia
    • Nightless - no nights, no night actions, no night kills
    • Sensor - at the beginning of the next day phase, I will state in the OP exactly how many mafia were on the lynch wagon the previous day.
    • Special mechanic - the first mafia to be lynched gets a bomb ability - he chooses 1 person to die with him.
    • No other roles.

    Game rules

    • Normal rules apply, no screenshotting PMs, no outside comms, etc.
    • UNVOTEing is encouraged, not required
    • 24 hour DP cycles; no NP
    • Majority lynch
    • No-lynching results in mafia being awarded a kill

    Game starts 2/17 at the earliest.

    Sign-ups

    1.
    2.
    3.
    4.
    5.
    6.

  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    Oh wait shit there's a QF queue. disregard this thread
  • Speedrace
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    Speedrace
    /in
  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    Sign up for this game is now open again. Game starts when it fills up.
  • Lunatic
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    Lunatic
    /in
  • Lunatic
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    Lunatic
    This set up seems to favor town heavily 
  • Lunatic
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    Lunatic
    Hmm maybe the bomb mechanic helps
  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    --> @Lunatic
    This set up seems to favor town heavily 
    Town loses after staring off with 2 mislynches.

    The probability of the first mislynch: 2/3

    Probability of 2nd mislynch, if neither mafia is on the wagon: 0

    if mafia are split 1-1: 1/2

    if both mafia are on the wagon: 1/2

    It's very unlikely scum will play it catastrophically wrong and both fail to vote the wagon, so I'm assuming 1/2.

    this means the probability of town losing by way of 2 mislynches in a row is (2/3)*(1/2)=1/3.

    If mafia is lynched in either of the first 2 lynches, they'll use the bomb ability and we reach 2:1 LyLo, where mafia has a low chance of winning because 1 or both of the remaining townies could be confirmed. Add this probability to the 1/3 I think this is a fairly balanced game.
  • Lunatic
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    Lunatic
    --> @Discipulus_Didicit @drafterman @oromagi @SupaDudz @Zaradi
    interested?
  • oromagi
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    oromagi
    /in
  • Zaradi
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    Zaradi
    I'm working 2 jobs now. I just don't have the time for quickfires
  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    --> @Speedrace
    you still in?
  • Speedrace
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    --> @Bullish
    Yep
  • SupaDudz
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    SupaDudz
    /out. im a bit busy atm
  • drafterman
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    /in
  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    --> @oromagi
    1. Speedrace
    2. Lunatic
    3. oromagi
    4. drafterman
    5.
    6.

  • Speedrace
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    --> @WaterPhoenix
    Hmm?
  • Ragnar
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    Ragnar
    /in
  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    --> @Lunatic
    You still in?
  • Lunatic
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    Lunatic
    Sure
  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    1. Speedrace
    2. Lunatic
    3. oromagi
    4. drafterman
    5. Ragnar
    6.

    one more.
  • WaterPhoenix
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    WaterPhoenix
    ok /in
  • Bullish
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    Bullish
    1. Speedrace
    2. Lunatic
    3. oromagi
    4. drafterman
    5. Ragnar
    6. WaterPhoenix

    PMs going out soon.

    DP will start tomorrow morning.