The Stand Mafia Day Phase 2

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Vader
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The reason why I am voting Drafter is for these reasons.

1. His interaction between Pie

Pie asks Drafter for thoughts on his claim, which I think is weird for him to do.

Drafter says he buys it

Pie says that he did to test him, Drafter agrees despite not being in Pie's shoes

Drafter says he doesn't like blindly believing millers, puts Pie in his town pile

Drafter says that the last time he's said anything about Millers was Dark Crystal.

He changes he belief on Miller, yet he went AWOL from the site for 8months before returning, only to change his mind up.

The interaction part is where I see the most red flags. Why is Pie pointing out something drafterman said a year ago and looking at him to test his reaction? How does he know what drafterman is thinking at the time this is going. What would be the motive for Pie to focus in on something from a year ago just to ask for Drafter's opinion on something. To me, it doesn't add up in anyway. The only reason that post would've been brought up if drafter told Pie about the post, which leads me to believe they have some form of communication with each other. Drafter even says it wasn't recently where he said Miller claims. Why would Pie remember this info at all? These don't add in anyway

2. Tunneling

Drafter votes Elm 

Reasoning is because Mikal is being aggressive 

Reads Pie as town and just tunnels Mikal
Tunneling on one person when there's no concrete evidence of whether or not he's scum is extremely rash and reactionary versus him last game, where while he voted Water, he was much more cautious of his vote versus now, where he is voting Elm off of less information. Water had bad plays and sus moves constantly, and it didn't take Drafter til page 6 to vote him, where he didn't even go through with the vote because of Elm. This tunneling where he disregards the case on Pie and only focuses on one character is anti town, and anti town is usually scum. I maintained the position that bad town and anti town are different in various definitions and regards. The fact he is willing to throw Pie in the pile after he did not claim Dp1 in the time he had. He isn't considering any options, versus town drafter, where in the last game, he considered Elm an option as well. Why isn't he doing the same here

3. Contradictory Behavior

I've made a big case about this but drafter left the site in March this year. He then states his belief of Millers are confirmed town because of the site and shouldn't be trusted. Yet  when he left the site and came back, he is now suddenly changing his opinion on claimed Millers, even when they don't claim right away? What changed about his behavior since? He didn't participate in any mafia games during this time? He rage quit another mafia game, why is he suddenly having this drastic change of heart? To me, his reads are not consistent of his play. Drafter is not someone to change based on a meta or belief or wave, yet he decides to drastically change the style he preached. It's out of character, and would coorelate with drafter forcing a potential mislynch on Elm and then when it's MYLO, he goes an attacks me for being aggressive and gets enough of town validation to get a mislynch since it is the funny trend to hate on Supa and just push the narrative that Supa is an idiot and should be lynched cuz idiots are scummy.

These are my top 3 reasons. 
ILikePie5
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@Elminster
Disagree fully with this for all the reasons I told drafter. 

Christ man, not you as well 
If you’re basing your chances on “odds” we have the same odds of lynching scum tomorrow as in two days + the 33% we have today. It only helps mafia if we VTNL today because the 33% chance goes to 0 if we VTNL
Vader
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@whiteflame
 He's definitely more involved this round than I think I've ever seen him
In defense, you've really only played 1 game with me where I was a confirmed townie, to which is my fault, I felt very lazy. After getting a wake up call, I was much more active, especially in later DP's
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@ILikePie5
What makes you think scum couldn’t do that? It’s literally likely that we have a CC tomorrow if a cop does exist and at that point we have no room for error
Woof

wdym "scum couldn't do that"?
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@Elminster
The difference is there will be a lot more information out. Look at the roles that are dead and look at the flips. Mafia can't cc every role. More information betters the chance of accuracy on the lynch. 
You’re assuming that information will be substantial or won’t be messed with, plus you’re assuming that tomorrow we’re going to have results. Results aren’t town confirming.

2 people will die either way. Do you want the mafia selecting both or the town being put on the record selecting both?
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@whiteflame
Agree largely with literally everything there.

The miller claim currently scares me as well.  I'm willing to buy it off balance. Especially in this large if a game. Pie reads town to me behaviorally but I'm never right about pie 

Supa sticks out to me as well


Same boat with drafter


This compared to that theme shit in mcu is good content. 
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@Speedrace
wdym "scum couldn't do that"?
Claim cop or any other power role at the beginning of the DP
whiteflame
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As for lynching this round, I'd say more information is needed. I think we stand to lose more by mislynching at this stage, since we're already down 3 town. I can understand that people want to reduce the scum pool, but I don't think we can risk a 4-3 situation just for the possibility of getting 5-2. I'm absolutely willing to wait out the full 72 hr. to get more information and if we have a solid reason to believe someone is scum, then I might change my mind, but for now I'm siding with a VTNL.
ILikePie5
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@Vader
The interaction part is where I see the most red flags. Why is Pie pointing out something drafterman said a year ago and looking at him to test his reaction? How does he know what drafterman is thinking at the time this is going. What would be the motive for Pie to focus in on something from a year ago just to ask for Drafter's opinion on something. To me, it doesn't add up in anyway. The only reason that post would've been brought up if drafter told Pie about the post, which leads me to believe they have some form of communication with each other. Drafter even says it wasn't recently where he said Miller claims. Why would Pie remember this info at all? These don't add in anyway
Cause I invented policy lynching Miller’s and Drafter disagreed with it?
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@Elminster
I guess thanks for the backhanded compliment?
Speedrace
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@whiteflame
Usually, I would be posting quite a bit more, but it seems as though there's a few tiffs being worked out in the posts here that I'd rather not get involved with. That being said, I'll at least provide my two cents on what's happened so far.
Woof +1

The bickering is just stupid so far.

I also agree that drafter seems to scumread Elm for personal reasons and his tunneling of him is not helpful. I don't remember ever seeing him as scum tho so I don't know his meta as scum
Elminster
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@ILikePie5
I think it's better to have results when we pick the lynch.  Results could get fucked with but with the size of this game , not all of them can be. Again look at the graveyard

We are likely going to have something that helps better our odds. We also can opt into an additional np to analyze. 

Let's take what you are saying and there are going to be "ccs". That will happen even if lynch and get it wrong. The difference is we still have to solve tomorrow with the same thing happening and be correct or lose 

Nl gives us an extra phase of results that can help solve the game 





whiteflame
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@Speedrace
Right there with you. Never seen him as scum, and the only game I've ever played with him was the last one, so I haven't even seen much of his play period. He's the most uncertain of my scum reads.
drafterman
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@Vader
The interaction part is where I see the most red flags. Why is Pie pointing out something drafterman said a year ago and looking at him to test his reaction? How does he know what drafterman is thinking at the time this is going. What would be the motive for Pie to focus in on something from a year ago just to ask for Drafter's opinion on something. To me, it doesn't add up in anyway. The only reason that post would've been brought up if drafter told Pie about the post, which leads me to believe they have some form of communication with each other. Drafter even says it wasn't recently where he said Miller claims. Why would Pie remember this info at all? These don't add in anyway
It doesn't add up if you posit us both as scum, either. Does it make sense that a scum-pair would do that?

Tunneling on one person when there's no concrete evidence of whether or not he's scum is extremely rash and reactionary versus him last game, where while he voted Water, he was much more cautious of his vote versus now, where he is voting Elm off of less information. Water had bad plays and sus moves constantly, and it didn't take Drafter til page 6 to vote him, where he didn't even go through with the vote because of Elm. This tunneling where he disregards the case on Pie and only focuses on one character is anti town, and anti town is usually scum. I maintained the position that bad town and anti town are different in various definitions and regards. The fact he is willing to throw Pie in the pile after he did not claim Dp1 in the time he had. He isn't considering any options, versus town drafter, where in the last game, he considered Elm an option as well. Why isn't he doing the same here
It's not anti-town to tunnel on scum and get scum lynched.

I've made a big case about this but drafter left the site in March this year. He then states his belief of Millers are confirmed town because of the site and shouldn't be trusted. Yet  when he left the site and came back, he is now suddenly changing his opinion on claimed Millers, even when they don't claim right away?
YOU said many things change in a year. Now you're saying things can't change in a year. (Also you said things may or may not change in a year). Which is it. Can you preface each post with the specific mutually exclusive position you're artbirarily picking for that point in time? It'll make things easier.

What changed about his behavior since? He didn't participate in any mafia games during this time? He rage quit another mafia game,
No I didn't.

why is he suddenly having this drastic change of heart? To me, his reads are not consistent of his play. Drafter is not someone to change based on a meta or belief or wave, yet he decides to drastically change the style he preached. It's out of character, and would coorelate with drafter forcing a potential mislynch on Elm and then when it's MYLO, he goes an attacks me for being aggressive and gets enough of town validation to get a mislynch since it is the funny trend to hate on Supa and just push the narrative that Supa is an idiot and should be lynched cuz idiots are scummy.
The funny thing is all of this is based ONLY on stuff I've told you about myself. You haven't done any of your own thinking on the subject, it's based on what I've told you, here in this game, about my own past behavior. You haven't independently verified any off it.

All the more amusing because - as I said - the behavior you are alleging I've changed from IS FROM WHEN I WAS SCUM. So you're entire argument is:

"Drafter is scum now because he has drastically changed from his behavior when he was scum in a game a year ago. I know this because he told me this now and I trust what he is telling me now even though I think he's scum."
ILikePie5
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@Speedrace
The bickering is just stupid so far.

I also agree that drafter seems to scumread Elm for personal reasons and his tunneling of him is not helpful. I don't remember ever seeing him as scum tho so I don't know his meta as scum
I frankly don’t care about those two. I’m voting to lynch Supa today. I’ll take the 33% and 43% and putting people on the record today about their votes than let scum choose the two people to NK
Elminster
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@Speedrace
I don't think he's scum. He's just tunneling me illogically because he disagrees with my play and personality 

Took me a bit to arrive here but if he's tunneling this hard as scum. It's a total 5 head. 

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@whiteflame
I love you lol 
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@Elminster
Let's take what you are saying and there are going to be "ccs". That will happen even if lynch and get it wrong. The difference is we still have to solve tomorrow with the same thing happening and be correct or lose 
Sure, but we put people on the record with their votes today. It’s easier to believe people’s actions if we have a core standard on their votes today. 
Vader
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@ILikePie5
Please don't take this to offense, but you did not fucking invent policy lynching Millers
Speedrace
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@ILikePie5
I frankly don’t care about those two. I’m voting to lynch Supa today. I’ll take the 33% and 43% and putting people on the record today about their votes than let scum choose the two people to NK
Woof

We have cop + whatever other possible investigative roles and a solid POE to use that on, plus scum could hit a possible protective role. I think it's much safer to get those results than to possibly lynch town
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@Vader
Please don't take this to offense, but you did not fucking invent policy lynching Millers
Woof

He practically did lol
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Mafia are more at risk with being lynched today if we lynch. VTNL eliminates this risk today and just leaves the 43% on LYLO 
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@Vader
Please don't take this to offense, but you did not fucking invent policy lynching Millers
You drunk dude?
Speedrace
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Woof

I've successfully guessed WF and Ragnar both were not town before so I'm am fully willing to town read them both for now
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@Elminster
Love you too, bud.
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@ILikePie5
I'm beating a dead horse 

The trade is 

2 shots vs 1

But implies second shot has to be accurate if we miss 1


---------------
1 shot but with the option of 2nps of results to analyze


I prefer the latter. 
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@Speedrace
We have cop + whatever other possible investigative roles and a solid POE to use that on, plus scum could hit a possible protective role. I think it's much safer to get those results than to possibly lynch town
That’s inherent in the risk of lynching any day but a 33% chance is better than a 0% chance. We’d have the same odds tomorrow as LYLO with 43%. Not lynching today only benefits Mafia 
drafterman
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I don't even know Elminster well enough to have an opinion on his playstyle or personality.

The only thing that sticks out was his behavior last game.
Vader
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@ILikePie5
@Speedrace
Policy lynching millers was not created by Pie. I'm sure if you look at any other person they'd policy lynch millers too. You are just the first person on DART who uses the meta, you didn't invent it. 
Vader
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@Elminster
You are making the assumption there's a role that forces 2 nps