I did give some idea of my thoughts earlier, though given that the NL is on the table, the new info from warren, and the discussion on Ragnar, I'll throw in my thoughts.
I don't have enough information on warren to make a solid call, but I read him as slight town based on his justification. It's not so much that I agree with it (honestly, it's a pretty weak reason to give Uraraka a vanilla role), but that's part of what's leaning me this way. I find it difficult to believe that scum would engineer this kind of justification to slip under the radar, especially with a vanilla role. I don't have enough behavioral info to say anything, so this is a pretty weak read.
So, the main question becomes whether I'm willing to lynch either Draft or Ragnar based on the information I have right now. I'd like to see some direct responses to the points we've been making over the last few posts about Ragnar's choice of target, which still doesn't make a lot of sense to me. It smacks of weak reasoning, and makes me think he was actively seeking someone who likely would not have a role to motivate. However, if he is scum, I don't know why he would choose not to pretend that he'd targeted his partner, and have them validate the claim. It would have also made more sense to target Speed and claim that he wanted to get another round of reads, but was stopped by the NK. Both would have given him better cover than this, though I think I would have been suspicious of the claim regardless. To me, his decision doesn't really make sense regardless of the side he's on, which may just be a function of his late work hours. In general, though, I think the behavior makes less sense as town than it does as mafia, especially as there were other more town-confirmed players with either claimed or suggested power roles to choose.
Long story short, I would be willing to lynch Ragnar at this stage on the basis of the given information. I don't think the NL is the better choice.
