ILikePie5

The republicans have been packing the courts with hard right wing judges so they can use the courts to bypass congress. IE if you get the courts to interpret the constitution in a far right wing way, then congress can do little about it and republicans can get their way by subverting democracy. He somehow has twisted it to pretend that the democrats are trying to do this, when republicans have been doing it for years. 

How does anyone take this seriously?

I'll take my chances, and I'd say the odds are looking pretty good right now. PA's the key state in all the models, and even Trafalgar group's polling has Biden in the lead there.

a handful of people on here say that. That is a very long way from being an important trend that could affect an election. How would you determine this except via polling? Or are you just making this up?

recent polling shows biden pretty close, if not leading, in this category now. As well as winning in literally every other category.

having a small group of very enthusiastic supporters is good. But when the bulk of the population is sick of him and wants him gone, those enthusiastic supporters matter for less. No one is excited by Biden, ALOT of people are excited to be rid of trump.

so all those college kids will be voting in their home towns. What is your point?

You have the conviction that Biden does not have a chance, so I wished to know where this conviction comes from if not polls. If from simple hope, all well and good. If from some other measure, even better.

2 AWOL users, one already had a vote to begin with, the other didn't. I realized this and moved to the one that didn't have one. 

so despite the fact that I have provided stats (in our other conversation) showing that the polls in 2016 were quite accurate in most states, you just continue to repeat the mantra that they were wrong, even though they weren't. I cannot understand this cult mentality of just repeating the same lie to yourself over and over when the facts prove it isn't true. 

alright, i give up. The top is a chart that shows numbers for months. 

there were cases that were more off, that is true. But i'm not getting into the nitty gritty of polling with someone who straight up lies that 6% is the same as 10%

whatever. Feel free to be surprised as trump goes down in flames. Don't say you weren't warned. But I'm sure you will scream and whine that it was rigged after trump loses.

I literally showed you how the polling was a 6% difference in 2016. You then repeat over and over and over that it was 10. Even though your own stats disprove your point. 

There were isolated cases that were further off than 2%. I said 2% was the general trend.

But why would I engage with you on a break down of statistics when you can look at a 6% difference and straight up lie that it was 10%? You are deluding yourself and will say and believe whatever reinforces your worldview. You want to believe that trump will win, so even though he is losing pretty much everywhere that matters, you insist that all the available evidence is wrong and your own extremely biased opinions are the only things that matter.

lol, some polling was off by 2%,

Generally speaking, trump overperformed his polls by about 2% in critical areas.

Lol, polls only skew one way since 2016. The left isn't afraid to virtue signal with polls.

it was off by a couple points in critical states,

I provided links to exactly what I was using. Did you not look at the evidence I provided?

Again, no. I am looking at the link you provided. Some of them show her up by as much as 10 points. some show a tie or trump winning. some show 5 point lead. The average of these polls is about a 6 point lead. The polls show biden winning by an average of 10 points. in some of them he is up by 16 points. In absolutely none of them is trump winning or even close to winning. Biden is much further ahead than hilary ever was.

This statement says alot more about you than the election. Basically, you refuse to believe reality because you don't want it to be true. Biden doesn't need to win Missouri to be president. If he gets Pennsylvania (which the average of polls gives him a 7 point lead in) then he is very likely to win the election. Why waste resources in an area where that will be a tough fight if you don't need to win it? You put your resources into the areas you are more likely to win that are critically important.

People are genuinely afraid to poll, especially with all the unreported violence against Trump supporters.

nope. The access Hollywood tape came out october 7th 2016. on that day they were 5 points apart. a week later they were 6 points apart, which is as far as the spread between them ever really got. certainly from that point on it only got closer. 

Both of you mentioned you are busy for the weekend. What if I wait til Monday or Tuesday, you are good to sign up then?

i'm not really sure what this sentence is supposed to mean. What spread are you talking about? what about access hollywood? I'm guessing whatever this is is well known in right wing circles, but i don't know what you mean. 

hilary was only a couple points ahead at this point in 2016. And i'm not going to try to defend hilary. She wasn't a good candidate. Biden isn't either. But they are both much better than trump. And it is looking more and more likely that Biden will be the next president. 

Side shifter dense ass piece of fuck

Lol you get mad when someone calls you a cunt?

Part of the main reason I like playing mafia is that you can be aggressive with people and clean slate it going into the next game.

The MafiaScum wiki is IMO the most authoritative database on definitions related to forum mafia on the internet. My modding practices come from there. Any game where a majority of the players have a role is by definition rolemad. 

No one in this game had the same 2 actions, but that doesn't mean they can't.

Pie was right in the end that one of the claimed JOATs was scum, but I have made a game with 2 JOATs for a live mafia game before.

There's no literature out there, certainly not on MafiaScum, that no 2 town roles can be the same.

Your lynch was pretty goofy, because dp3 it was either you or intel, and it was found intel was scum. I mean if they thought it was a bus that its one thing, but I don't think anyone mentioned a bussing theory. Your lynch was a bit random lol

Welp lol

Hope Pie doesn't mind me putting this out. We already thought you guys were scum.

Just be useful and vote skittlez next round

Why would I hammer Intel last DP instead of convincing town to hammer Supa since he was gonna die anyway 

I am the ENABLER and a 1x BP. I didn't claim that for OBVIOUS reasons. A number of people, who I don't know, depend on me. If I die, those people become vanillas. That's why I said the game wasn't town favored last DP. It's also why I kept asking everyone a couple of DPs ago to fully explain their PM justifications because I think any PM that mentions the word Internet depends on me.

And I say Pie because he was only role confirmed, not town confirmed. I'm more on Chris though

If Supa is suicidal then there might actually be 4 scum

I’m not indicating anything: I think your analysis was short. Goodnight. Fuck everything right noe