Total posts: 857
One of the saddest things I've come across in my life is the fact that Israel isn't diverse. According to Wikipedia's demographics of Israel, 73.5% of the population is Jewish which is far too high because it only leaves room for Arabs to be 21% of the population, and the (what should be) vaunted "other" group to be 5.5% Demographics of Israel - Wikipedia . If you think Israel is already diverse enough, you are a racist bigot who supports Jewish supremacy.
Diversity is a strength and it's awfully sad Israel hasn't learned this yet. There are many great cuisines that Arabs could offer Israel. For example, Palestinians are known to make Kebab Halabi, which is served with a spicy tomato sauce and Aleppo pepper (so hot it feels like a scimitar through your throat!) Muslim culture must also enter Israel, as we can all see the wisdom in this Quranic verse which talks about dealing with some pest (probably rabbits): "And kill them wherever you find them, and drive them out from whence they drove you out". Very Progressive.
Arabs could offer other cultural diversity as well, such as the cultural understanding that Israeli land actually belongs to the Palestinians -- a unique perspective that could help Israeli Jews to be more open minded.
Israel also needs Black culture. Cultural perspectives on 'who are the true Israelites?' should be taught be Black preachers in Israeli schools to allow diverse thought to flourish (das rite). Blacks should also have quotas to all Israeli schools and high-powered positions, much like they do in the United States, to allow the racial oppression of Blacks to be overcome with tolerance and diversity. There is a serious dearth of Black representation in Israel currently, and they need to start replacing Jews with Blacks as quickly as possible to undo systemic racism against Blacks.
Hispanics should be allowed to freely enter Israel because we simply need more diversity -- Israel is just too Jewish. Asians should come in by the boatload because why not? Whites as well. Just let everyone in to create a more diverse environment for everyone to enjoy.
This is the only way to combat racism and bigotry by the Jewish supremacist state of Israel.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@prefix
I stated "Some UBI "experiments" seemed to make people happier" and you asked "Which ones?".Finland.
Which Finland study?
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@sadolite
"Where does the money come from to pay all these people ?"
Without going into specifics, it comes from running a balanced budget? How do you do that? That's a big question that varies from country to country, and it needs its own thread.
Created:
-->
@TWS1405_2
If you stopped the racial quotas for universities, there would be virtually zero Blacks at university.That’s very true.Have you heard of or read the book “The End of Racism” by Dinesh D’Souza? Great books!! Incredibly well researched, as are all his books. And more to your point, he wrote “Illiberal Education.” Another well researched book of his.
I haven't read either of those, but they sound like great books.
I typically get my arguments from the research papers books like those cite. I'm a science girl so I'm usually good enough to read the papers themselves unless they're heavy in esoteric jargon.
Created:
-->
@TWS1405_2
Blacks do suck at education. IQ correlates highly with educational outcomes.
IQ also is the best predictor of job performance. Blacks also have lower impulse control than any other race in the United States. These two things affect Black educational outcomes as well.
If you stopped the racial quotas for universities, there would be virtually zero Blacks at university.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Best.Korea
It would actually be much better for Germany if Hitler didnt:1) Attack other countries2) Attack Jews2) is what made trade difficult, and it is what increased hate towards Hitler.1) is what brought Germany into unwinnable world war and ended up giving German territory to USSR which is about as bad as it gets because Russians arent famous for treating others well.I did hear arguments that Hitler was acting in self-defense when he attacked all those countries. However, sometimes self-defense turns into self-destruction.
Yes, Hitler attacking countries the way he did wasn't the brightest. For example, his attack on Russia was already shown to be historically a dreadful idea by Napolean and others (few countries have Winters as brutal as Russia's).
Jews have historically caused a lot of problems in a lot of different countries, hence why they've been kicked out so many times. Hitler certainly hated Jews, but I don't think he set out to kill as many as he did. England basically trade-blockaded Germany to the point that Germany experienced a food shortage. So, if Germany didn't have enough to feed its own people, why would it feed the Jews in preference? They didn't, and thus many Jews were killed because Germany didn't have enough food. Was it humane to kill Jews that way, or would it have been better to let them starve to death? It's pretty debatable.
Created:
-->
@Savant
Blacks such at education.*suck
What a petty response lol.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Double_R
So, we do need another explanation for the 76% who aren't committing suicide and having suicidal thoughts due to victimization.Not having an explanation for something simply means we don't have an explanation. The problem is that you do have another explanation - mental illness, hence my point about argument from ignorance and the burden of proof.I get that you posted this point in response to my point about about victimization being the explanation, but that was just an example of me offering an alternative, not an attempt to cite a full study of the underlying issues. You're the one trying to accomplish that.
Yes, I do have another explanation: mental illness, but I address that *after* I use this study to address your original claim (that societal hostility is the reason why transgender suicides are so high). So, this 76% shows your "alternative" isn't correct. I don't use this 76% figure to affirm my positive case of transgenderism being a mental illness.
You're attempting to contest something that isn't contestable.You didn't hear a word I said, or maybe are just pretending you didn't. 76% respondents said what exactly? Do you know? No, because all you're doing is relying on the characterization of what they said by the people who actually talked to them.Like I pointed out earlier, numbers are not always that simple. In one Harvard survey amongst self professed politically engaged individuals, 56% of respondents approved of the Affordable Care Act. Only 33% approved of Obamacare. How you ask a question matters.So again, this doesn't mean we chuck the numbers out the window, but it does (or at least should) raise a red flag to those who draw conclusions from any study that contradict the conclusions of the people who conducted them.
Again, the 76% figure is in response to your "alternative" as to why transgender suicides are so high. Yes, from that figure alone, we don't know why transgender people are killing themselves at such elevated rates. Later in my post, I start to give other, affirmative arguments that attempt to show transgenderism being a mental illness (so as to explain why transgender people have such an elevated risk of suicide).
Again, 24% isn't a "key issue" for most transgender people because 24% isn't a majority. That's why even when the authors say "key issue", this particular issue only affects 24% of transgender people. Perhaps the authors meant something else when they wrote "key issue", but it's certainly not an issue that affects the majority of transgender people.
I didn't call them the same. I argued that they were the same in some regard. That's what an analogy is.In my previous post I went through why these two things are not the same. You responded with:Both transgender people and schizophrenics are humans who have mental illness -- that's apples to apples.You then went on to declare that we could treat them with dignity without pandering to their mental illness. So yes, you absolutely did just call them both mental illnesses and them declare them the same in that regard (apples to apples).
When people use analogies, they never use things that are the same. Otherwise, there wouldn't be a point in an analogy.
Are transgender people and schizophrenics precisely the same? No. Do they have shared traits that we analogize? Yes.
To reiterate my point, again, schizophrenia is where an individual contains multiple personalities, while trans people are just telling you that the one person you see is in fact who they are. These are not the same, not even close.
I consider both of these to be mental illnesses. I make the argument for it elsewhere (under the last two subheadings, not including the conclusions: The transgenderism debate (debateart.com) ).
There is nothing about these two conditions that are analogous to each other. You can call them both mental illnesses, but calling something a mental illness is not the same as demonstrating why your characterization matters in any meaningful way.
I have EXTENSIVESLY shown how the characterization is meaningful: elevated suicide rates, more likely to bully other people, 40% incarceration rate, erratic behavior, violent behavior, highest intolerance of speech, far more likely to have other mental illnesses, and highly elevated rates of anti-social personality disorder The transgenderism debate (debateart.com) .
You have ZERO explanation for these extremely elevated rates of detrimental outcomes. You continue to blindly stick your head in the sand to all of this as you say, 'they're just telling you who they are'. You need to address these facts before you defend transgenderism as legitimate.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Greyparrot
There are a lot of people who think CBT is a relic of the past and that ONLY pharmacology and surgical medical science has the solutions, whether it is with hormone replacement or with the surgical knife. Some also believe it's more important and necessary to fundamentally change the systemic framework of a society than engage in the archaic practice of CBT in EVERY case.
Yes, all of that is a massive problem.
There are certainly instances wherein medication or surgery are the best options, but if transgenderism is a mental illness (I think it is), then you're genuinely harming a mentally ill person by allowing their mental illness to dictate serious, irreversible surgeries performed on them. CBT should always be attempted because it's extremely non-intrusive and pretty reversible. I remember reading that roughly 80% of 'transgender' teens simply grow out of it before they reach adulthood. Giving children the ability to allow irreversible surgery on something they might not be sure of is frankly child abuse.
I made a post earlier to Double_R showing how even post surgery, transgender people (living in San Fran -- super Progressive place) still had elevated suicide rates well above the population's The transgenderism debate (debateart.com) . These surgeries don't fix the underlying issue, elsewise transgender people wouldn't be killing themselves at such high rates.
And yes. The whole restructuring of society to accommodate something that people really don't know much about and cannot defend, is pretty wild. I'd respect people far more if they said they didn't know much about transgenderism and didn't have a stance on it, rather assuming that everyone who criticizes transgenderism is transphobic.
Fortunately we have seen a microcosm of such thinking with the recent "defund the police" movements and a societal shift away from behavior correctional facilities. Over the past few years, we have witnessed a growing movement advocating for the defunding of police departments and a shift away from traditional behavior correctional facilities. This has been fueled by concerns over police brutality, racial profiling, and the disproportionate incarceration of minorities. Lots of people believe that traditional law enforcement and correctional institutions are not effective in addressing the root causes of crime, and that a more "modern" approach that addresses social and economic factors is needed. I really think it is important to recognize that CBT will always play an important role in maintaining public safety and providing rehabilitation for offenders. Ultimately, the key to addressing these issues will be to find a balance between traditional law enforcement and correctional institutions and more progressive approaches that address underlying social and economic factors.
This is getting pretty off topic but I agree with everything you said here.
Trying to change society to accommodate aberrant behavior in EVERY case isn't sustainable. If you are interested, you should look into the recent (short lived) formation of CHAZ/CHOP as an example of a society that went full steam in that direction.
I remember that happening. That was a complete disaster and a brilliant case-in-point as to why police are needed.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@IwantRooseveltagain
KaitlynShe’s a self declared white supremacist. So I don’t have to be polite to her.
Incorrect.
I am a self-declared White nationalist.
I've told you this several times already, so at this stage I know you're lying. I think that's block worthy.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@PREZ-HILTON
With other companies for example Gillette they probably get as many new customers as they lose when they go woke. However budlight is primarily for blue collar people.
IIRC, Gillette's stockprice didn't see any change, so if it did receive financial backlash, it was well hidden.
I guess you're right about it being for blue collar workers. That certainly fits the narrative we're seeing unfolding.
Besides that, the woke crowd they are looking to attract are hipsters who drink craft beer, homos that prefer wine coolers and the scummy people who buy those energy drink alcohol mixed drinks.
I suppose.
This is the same reason why nascar is playing with fire when they want to piss on their main demographic, fortunately for nascar they seem to intuitively know exactly where that line is and take it right to the edge. They have a great marketing team
What do you reckon is the line for them?
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Best.Korea
I bet you masturbate to Hitler's speeches.
I'm indifferent to Hitler. I think he did some good things for Germany, but he certainly wasn't perfect and I don't share all of his beliefs. I think right-wing people ironically or seriously glorifying him isn't a good idea at all.
I think the modern conception of him being a cartoon villain is hilariously inaccurate.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@zedvictor4
Deprived of what Kaitlyn.
Your ability to live as a White person.
Ley's be honest [...] Gotta keep those gas guzzlers running at any cost.
None of this has anything to do with the thread or what we are talking about.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Greyparrot
It's interesting that this boycott seems to be generating traction.
Previous boycotts haven't seemed to have made an impact, hence (partly) why companies keep doing the appeals to wokeness. I imagine governmental inferences and CEO personal preferences are the other parts, but I'm just guessing.
I wonder how much rejection of wokeness will be required to stop companies altogether.
And yes, fanchick does drink Bud Light (he mixes it with his boyfriend's semen).
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@sadolite
OK, but with that said every country on earth is up to their eyeballs in debt. So my point still stands. Where does all this magical money come from?
Not every country: List of countries by external debt - Wikipedia . Some literally have zero debt. Some are currently experiencing budget surpluses, too Countries With The Largest Budget Surplus - WorldAtlas .
You being American probably skewers your view because America has the largest debt out of any country.
But to answer your question, you could even go into debt to help these people get back into meaningful work, and hence reap the rewards long-term (but not having them eat welfare).
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@prefix
If UBI makes "poor people work less", then the UBI might be too high.
Maybe.
It was half minimum wage and a fraction of yearly income according to two of the studies. I think half of minimum wage is pretty damn low already.
Some UBI "experiments" seemed to make people happier
Which ones?
Many plans have strict requirements such as abiding by the law as a condition to receive UBI.
This seems to be a good idea. Most crime is committed by a small percentage of the population, and, frankly, you want to be removing those repeat criminals as quickly as possible, rather than financially backing them (they're never going to be productive members of society).
Probably UBI would have to be highly tailored to cultural mind sets.
Yes.
One of the studies talked about how UBI was great for super poor countries (all the studies tested 1st world countries). Countries vary in their collectivist-individualism, too.
A UBI made for every country is made for none.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Double_R
The large majority of transgender people are not committing suicide, thinking about suicide or feeling bad due to victimization -- you need another explanation for the 76%.Actually I don't. This is a classic argument from ignorance fallacy. It is not my responsibility to come up with alternative explanations for why they commit suicide, it is your responsibility as the person making this claim to demonstrate that their "mental illness" is the culprit.Cite the part of the study saying this, because I just looked again and it says this:"Evidence demonstrated high prevalence of victimisation (36%) and mental health difficulties (39%) within these populations. Our review shows that these experiences were respectively 3.74 times and 2.67 times higher among young LGBTQ+ people than their cisgender, heterosexual counterparts."
Originally, this study was one of many studies that I cited to make a case against victimization being the cause of transgender suicides (as well as a larger case for transgenderism being a mental illness: The transgenderism debate (debateart.com) ). It's essentially a counter-argument to your original argument that was something along the lines of 'transgender people are very poorly treated by society, hence the suicide rate'.
Again, just to be super clear: this particular argument I made (and the study you're referring to) is not proof that transgender people are mentally ill. Rather, it's only arguing against your idea that victimization explains transgender suicide rates.
So, we do need another explanation for the 76% who aren't committing suicide and having suicidal thoughts due to victimization.
Later in my post I've referenced, I wrote the title "Transgender people have many, many indications of mental illness". That's where I mostly make an affirmative case for transgenderism being a mental disorder.
Thus, it's not an argument from ignorance because I am making an affirmative case elsewhere.
At the end of the day, the arguments I'm making are either right or wrong.Actually, let's be a bit more precise; the arguments you're making are either valid or invalid. That matters in how we go about assessing this because validity is merely the result of the conclusion following from the premises, but that's meaningless when it's the premises that I'm challenging you on in the first place.Again, the point I brought up here is that the authors who actually conducted the studies are in a much better position to explain the take away because they understand the full extent of what methods and controls were used to get to their results.So either you fully understand the controls and methods or you don't. Which is it? If I were to challenge you on any random study you cited and ask you about them would you, without having to cheat, be able to explain it?
This isn't a matter for debate.
76% isn't a majority. The authors can say whatever they want, but 76% isn't a majority. The majority of transgender people aren't committing suicide due to victimization. It's only a "key factor" for 24%. It's not a "key factor" for 76%.
You're attempting to contest something that isn't contestable.
Both transgender people and schizophrenics are humans who have mental illness -- that's apples to apples.Taking two entirely different things and calling them the same doesn't make them the same.I already explained the fundamental difference between these two things and why it matters here. Do you have a response to that, or are you just going to pretend I didn't explain it?
I didn't call them the same. I argued that they were the same in some regard. That's what an analogy is.
I've re-read it and I still think my response responds to your response, so I'm just going to copy-paste it. If you don't want to respond to it, oh well:
Both transgender people and schizophrenics are humans who have mental illness -- that's apples to apples. If we're able to afford one dignity and respect, even to a limited degree, we should be able to proffer the same to the other. You can treat a person with dignity without appeasing products of their mental illness -- we don't have to embrace schizophrenic's multiple personalities as real in order to treat them with dignity for being a human being.
I have already covered the research demonstrating that transgender people have far higher intolerance rates, criminality and impulses to bully -- I consider those to be indications of being a danger to others. Transgender people are also dangerous to themselves because their mental illness makes them want to cut themselves into the opposite gender, and they have far higher suicidal rates than the general population *even after* all their wishes to transition, have certain pronouns etc. are appeased. All the sources can be found here under the appropriate argument heading: The transgenderism debate (debateart.com)
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@zedvictor4
You just don't get it, do you?
The issue is that other races don't hold that same sentiment (that it's not your land). They'll gladly take the land and not let you live there, if you allow it. You're off in the world of forms whilst the other races are smashing you to bits.
I mean what would it take for you to see what is happening? How much do these people need to deprive you before you understand that people are racially tribal and those who are not get destroyed? Are you even capable of understanding? Do White groups need to be outlawed before you see? Do countries need to have White only taxes? Do countries need to start deporting White people? What would it take?
Created:
-->
@IwantRooseveltagain
How will the wack jobs blame this shooting on the Democrats this time?A gunman shoots his neighbors, including an 8 year old boy because they asked him to stop shooting his rifle in his front yard. 5 killed 3 injured.He was a good guy with a gun, a law abiding citizen until he killed his neighbors.
'Muh anecdote from a (((news outlet))) means all red states are violent and need their guns taken.'
Created:
Posted in:
Spot on. It's so fucking daft to have these clowns crying intolerance at you for impeding their intolerance.
Imagine agreeing with a troll lolol.
FYI you still didn't tell us how you'd deal with Muslims not integrating into your country. Kicking a ball around with Brazilians or calling someone a rAcIsT doesn't deal with that problem: Ireland is an international disgrace (debateart.com)
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@sadolite
The US is 31 trillion in debt with 287 trillion in unfunded mandates years into the future. Where will these magical dollars come from to pay all theses people? And will the current welfare system be abolished or will this just be added to it?
This thread isn't trying to solve the USA's debt issues. This thread just shows UBI doesn't work unless it's conditionally given.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@sadolite
"None of the studies I read suggested giving them free money with no strings attached." That will immediately be shot down using the race card.
We don't know that for sure, and in any case, the studies show it's the best course of action (if you can get it passed).
The poor and minorities cant do what you ask. Just like they cant get an ID to vote.
I don't care about the 70 I.Q. inbreds who can't figure out how to attain ID, let alone a voting booth.
This is to help people who are unlucky but could prosper with a helping hand.
Some people are poor because they were born into unfortunate circumstances. Some people are poor because their genetics are trash. The studies show helping the former is a good idea.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@zedvictor4
Human genetics exist, diverse genetics is the basis of species diversity.We know that.Skin tone and anatomical variations are a reality relative to genetics and species development.We know that.Europeans Africans Americans, Asians are people who reside/resided within certain continental land areas.Though migration from the epicentre of humanity has resulted in a diversely populated planet.A planet where all humans are related, but vary as dictated by genetic variability relative to human migration and tribal segregation over a period of some 300000 years.
Yes. This is all correct.
How do you not believe human races exist, if you believe all of the above?
All that you are doing is showing yourself up to be a bit of a White Supremacist/Isolationist.And if the basis of your defence relies upon ignoring the reality of the human condition, then you will inevitably dismiss the truth as vague word salad.
wHiTe SuPrEmAcIsT
Come to the UK and you will find that we have very little room in which to isolate communities.Which is not to say that communities do not still segregate relative to inherited conditioning and genetic variation.Nonetheless the UK as a Nation is wholly multi-cultural and integrating steadily.A reality that I have become accustomed to and not afraid of.
You're just a cuck. You bend right over and let the hordes come in and take your land.
I said it to the violent Irish criminal earlier in the thread -- Muslims don't integrate. They want Sharia and mosques. They want homosexuals dead and vegans ignored. These people just want to take your land and you're letting them under the principle of 'multi-cultural'.
This isn't even to mention the Asians and Africans who come across but are less aggressive with their invasion and takeover of your land. At least Asians have the I.Q. required to function properly in a civilized society, but you're picking your poison at that point.
But that's what people of your kind deserve: invasion and dispossession. You don't think in terms of proper nouns, like Asian, White, Black, when it comes to politics. You think in terms of airy-fairy ideals and principles like "multi-cultural" and "isolate", whilst the other races are already invading your lands because they don't think for a second who is in their army and who they are fighting. You don't deserve to hold your own land and prosper. You deserve to be bred out of existence to make way for superior genes whom understand what is going on.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Double_R
In other words, this "largely ostracized" group doesn't appear to be killing itself because of the ostracization -- this contradicts your argument.Except that as I have already pointed out to you, your own source disagrees...Victimisation and mental health were key risk factors across the dimension self-harm and suicide identified through all analyses.
From the same study, roughly 76% of transgender people did not cite "victimization" as a reason for their suicidal thoughts or attempted suicides. The large majority of transgender people are not affected by victimization to any noticeable degree. The large majority of transgender people are not committing suicide, thinking about suicide or feeling bad due to victimization -- you need another explanation for the 76%.
We're not talking about medical advice which I don't know a whole lot about, wherein I have to trust others because I don't understand much. We're talking about the highly politicized topic of transgenderism and the fact that I think the narrative from the "experts" doesn't fit the data.If you know anything about how data works you know it can be interpreted many different ways based on many different factors. Think of a poll where 80% of respondents answer a certain way, but then they ask the same question differently and suddenly it's a 50/50 split. You need to understand the full extent of the experiment to understand the take away.This doesn't mean we should blindly trust the conclusions of the experiments authors, but unless you have a complete understanding of what questions were asked and what methods of control were established, you're in a pretty weak position to claim you understand the data better than they do, and based on your ignorance of what the authors were even concluding, I have no reason to believe you've done any of that. And even if you did, that might be worse, because seriously, do you really have nothing better to do with yourself?
At the end of the day, the arguments I'm making are either right or wrong. The science on transgender people isn't that complicated and thus we can pretty easily assess when someone is right or wrong on the topic. If you don't think I'm doing a good job, that's your opinion, but all that matters is whether my arguments are right or wrong.
It's possible to treat schizophrenics with dignity without appeasing their impulses that extend from mental disorder. Therefore, it should be possible to treat transgender people with dignity without appeasing their impulses that extend from mental disorder.You're comparing apples to oranges."Transgenderism" is where a person says "this is who I am". Schizophrenia is where one person creates two or more "different people" within their own mind.Treating a schizophrenic with dignity would mean embracing each personality as a legitimate person. The parallel to that with transgender people use to do just that which you are vehemently arguing against.We treat schizophrenia as a serious condition because those suffering from it are either a danger to themselves or others, or because the patient does not wish to continue being subjected to their condition.None of this applies to transgendered people. There is no evidence they are a danger to others any more than the average person regardless of how much manufactured nonsense the political right concocts, and they clearly do not wish to be treated.
Both transgender people and schizophrenics are humans who have mental illness -- that's apples to apples. If we're able to afford one dignity and respect, even to a limited degree, we should be able to proffer the same to the other. You can treat a person with dignity without appeasing products of their mental illness -- we don't have to embrace schizophrenic's multiple personalities as real in order to treat them with dignity for being a human being.
I have already covered the research demonstrating that transgender people have far higher intolerance rates, criminality and impulses to bully -- I consider those to be indications of being a danger to others. Transgender people are also dangerous to themselves because their mental illness makes them want to cut themselves into the opposite gender, and they have far higher suicidal rates than the general population *even after* all their wishes to transition, have certain pronouns etc. are appeased. All the sources can be found here under the appropriate argument heading: The transgenderism debate (debateart.com)
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@sadolite
Of course they would be better off if you give them money, any one would. The point is permanent ever increasing unsustainable dependence on govt. They will never be satisfied and will demand more and more money. Old as time itself. The US Govt welfare system as exhibit A.
Not just giving them money, but giving them money under the proviso that they attend mandatory mentoring sessions to help them invest and be gainfully employed. The studies in the OP are suggesting that conditional welfare checks may help some of these people out of poverty.
None of the studies I read suggested giving them free money with no strings attached.
Created:
Posted in:
I'll tell you what we have in Ireland. We have a whole bunch of Polish, highest employment rate in Ireland, they look like a dangerous bunch of bastards but I never had any trouble with them. Few fine women. Whole bunch of Brazilians, fine women there too. Lived with one for a while till she caught me in bed with another woman. That's a story. Play soccer with a bunch of Brazilian lads everything Thursday night. They are an absolutely sound bunch of lads. Been drinking with them many a night. Would probably count one of them among my closest friends, at least he texts me way too much. His girlfriend's a cute thing too. I work with a bunch of Indians, you couldn't meet a nicer bunch of lads, having to fend off invites to dinner daily because I can't deal with spicy food.
'Some of my friends aren't the same race as me, therefore it's fine to let other races in by the millions'.
If the Muslims try to bring Sharia law to Ireland, I'll join the IRA.
You already can't have anti-Muslim material on your electronic devices, nor can you make any anti-Muslim material (thanks to this new law you're completely oblivious to). You're already a sitting duck because you failed to fight against the totalitarian laws that destroy your freedom of speech.
Enjoy your future of being called a racist, Islamophobe, White supremacist and all the other loaded, nonsense terms whilst you get thrown in jail for 'hate speech' against Muslims. IRA won't do anything against a state-backed bunch of police and libtards seeing you as a bigot that needs to go.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@zedvictor4
Sub-races are a concept relative to human social development.
...and genetics. The two are intertwined in a genetic mesh. Evolution happened to humans as well, hence we have human races that are genetically distinct.
To pretend that human racial genetics doesn't exist is wrong.
But even within that context "white" is not a sub-race.
Same wrong argument, same correct response.
White is an assumption relative to a perceivable difference........Skin tone and certain facial features at the lighter end of the colour range.
White is a genetic reality.
Skin tone is the result of a hormone which is genetic. That's why parents who are Black have Black kids -- the genetics are inherited.
Facial features are phenotypic as a result of evolving in different environments. That's how forensic scientists can work out the race of people who are dead by looking at their skulls.
You continue to say wrong, bad arguments that are easily disproven with little thought.
Europeanism is broad spectrum of sub-races exhibiting a broad range of facial features, and formerly Britishness was no more than a development of Europeanism as was Americanism. Though ongoing migration and development has further changed what it is to be British or American....For ever.
Europeans are still White.
So, human social development has not ceased, neither here nor in the USA. Nor did it not occur prior to the establishment of Europeanism.
Black people do not become White because they live in the USA for a couple years. White people in Mauritania don't turn into Africans after 3 days. Human genetic development is incredibly slow.
In fact human social development migrated outwards from the singular establishment of the Human Race, and from there on in, we anatomically and physiologically sub-divided.
Some humans got more Neanderthal DNA than others. They were even genetically distinct back then.
Your white Americanism really is just a very recent cherry picked bit of human history relative to social development, human migration and human distribution.
White Europeans who emigrated to America are still White Europeans. It's not hard to understand.
And also your inbuilt concerns relative to your formative conditioning.
No.
Humans are naturally racially biased towards their own race. Again, it's conditioning that gets them away from that.
If we teach our kids that they are different and special, that is what they will grow up believing.
But they are different though, at least racially. I'm not arguing over "special" at all.
And of course the same principle applies to all human sub-groups who teach the same misleading stuff to their kids. Which as we are patently aware, leads to all sorts of problems in terms of how we do or don't interact within our local communities and the wider global community.
So, divergent human evolution is now "misleading?" Lol.
All you're doing is teaching White people not to form groups or have group interest, whilst you let Black, Hispanic, Asian etc. people form groups and smash Whites at elections. Whites continue to lose power in their own countries, and you continue to ignore Black, Hispanic, Asian etc. power in their own countries. Whites slowly get replaced in their own countries.
Your ideology turns White people into helpless victims -- thoroughly toxic.
And for sure, along the way we can attribute specific aspects of material development to specific sub-groups, which will obviously also relate to a certain temporary slowing down of genetic diversification
Word salad. Far too vague to make any sense.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@sadolite
Looking to govt to solve this issue would be the first step into abject failure and even more poverty. But then again isn't that the plan, equal suffering.
The data and analysis shows that conditional income seemed to be helping these people get back on their feet. You don't have to be a socialist to agree with that.
Created:
-->
@ADreamOfLiberty
You only need experimental/statistical data if you use that as a premise in an argument. If your premises are axiomatic
Yes, and I've already discussed this with him. Yes, there are some types of arguments that don't need to be sourced/have data/whatever.
universally observable there is no need
This is where you and IlDiavolo start to go wrong. Many of things he has argued aren't universally observable because they require some level of induction. How is it "universally observable" that Blacks have the most stamina? Can a child look at a Black person and say, "he/she has the most stamina out of any race?"
Universally observable things do exist. Things like fire are universally observable. But IlDiavolo isn't talking about those things. He's presenting inductive arguments as if they are axiomatic.
Created:
Posted in:
We don't have a huge Muslim presence in Ireland - there's your start.
That's true but why do you need any in the first place? What good does it bring your country? They're not going to assimilate (Muslims drinking? hello?). They're not going to care about Irish history. They're going to balkanize and form enclaves like they did in England. They're going to bring Sharia to their parts of your country.
What good is it doing your country by letting them in?
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@zedvictor4
I personally have no race other than the human race.
You keep making some bad arguments over and over, and this is certainly one of them.
And I suppose that I have what might be described as pride in modern British multi-culturalism.I'm also fully aware of how modern Britishness was arrived at.And also fully aware that the USA was arrived at in exactly the same way.
White genes built the British empire, not random cultures bunched together.
Multi-culturalism only ever weakens countries by, at best, having them balkanize into their cultural/racial groups, or at worst, having them fight against each other.
Being proud of weakness is embarrassing.
And so why do you continue to refer to your whiteness when you know that it doesn't actually represent whiteness.Especially when there is a wide spectrum of skin tone relative your European Heredity.An heredity that was thousands of years in the making, rather than the few hundred years of the USA.
It's not hard to understand.
People with European ancestry = White. Yes, the skin tone will vary within the group of White. This is all backed by SNP/loci analysis which you have repeatedly refused to engage with Bamshad et al. 2003 Am J Hum Genet.pdf (lsu.edu). No, people aren't suddenly confusing all Africans for White people because in very rare instances, it is harder to tell the race of someone.
You keep failing to understand this rather basic point over and over.
I would suggest that you pride in your whiteness is just a temporary psychological prop in response to the oppressive reality of change.Fortunately the USA is big enough to still afford you the isolationism that your fearfulness craves.And of course you've also got all those lovely guns....But so has Blackie.
It's the complete opposite: people are naturally tribal to their own race. It takes propaganda and social conditioning to lessen that natural inclination.
You're pathologizing natural human behavior.
Do you think it's okay for Black to be Black nationalists?
Created:
-->
@IlDiavolo
Insightful observations are nearly useless until they are verified. The best they can do is give us an idea of what to test/study. Any conclusion you draw from observations is inductive in nature and isn't reliable.Saying that black people dominate certain sports doesnt need any kind of evidence, it's just a matter of observation.
I don't think there's any point in continuing a conversation with someone who doesn't think he needs to provide evidence to support his claims.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@ADreamOfLiberty
I don't see the point in arguing chicken vs egg. Suffice to say that it hardly matters where it started because the system has had plenty of time to occupy any possible state ten times over.
It's not analogous to chicken vs egg, because saying history came first literally defies definition.
It is literally impossible.
Would you not agree that humans create culture?I would agree to that.Would you agree that human genes create this culture?Human genes created the biology which granted the capacity to think which allowed for the development of culture.All those degrees of separation mean full decoupling except on the most foundational of terms. e.g. every human culture will involve concepts of food, friends, family, sexual reproduction, etc...
This is true and I agree with it.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@IwantRooseveltagain
You keep dropping 85% of the arguments I make, and I have to point them out to have a chance at you defending what you said, so you're not worth my time anymore.
Created:
-->
@IlDiavolo
Observations can spark you to test something, but they should never be the conclusion.I don't think Charles Darwin would agree with you, but it's right that most of the time thoughtful observations lead to further research with controlled variables.
Yes. Good.
So, me asking for studies/data for the points you make is an "argument trap". We should just believe whatever you think you observe.For the millionth time, you don't need evidence to make your point. If you can't stand it, it's because you're clueless about how to refute a logical argument based on simple observations. It's very simplistic to say "you have no evidence so your argument is invalid". Many famous people in the past were mocked to show their insighful observations that saved the world later, like Pasteur for example.
Jesus man.
You do need evidence to make your points, otherwise there is no difference between you and someone saying the complete opposite.
Insightful observations are nearly useless until they are verified. The best they can do is give us an idea of what to test/study. Any conclusion you draw from observations is inductive in nature and isn't reliable.
I honestly don't know what is wrong with you. You keep saying that you don't need evidence to make your points, then you provide evidence to make your point, then you go back to saying you don't need evidence to make your point.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@ADreamOfLiberty
What do you think of this statistical finding?That it's identifying a culture, not a race.What do you think produces culture?The extraordinarily chaotic system whose general study is known as "history"You're reversing cause and effect. History isn't creating culture. Culture creates history.Causality can flow both ways and form a feedback loop. It's a profoundly common and important class of phenomenon. You may have heard of differential equations?
Yes but culture create history first, and then there is a feedback loop. We can't have history first -- that defies definition.
Would you not agree that humans create culture?I would agree to that.
Would you agree that human genes create this culture?
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@TWS1405_2
You don't really have to respond to me like that. I do really find you very uninteresting.Oh boo who 😢I'll just take up your racist points as I like.typical libtard emotive response when they know they cannot beat you in the debate/discussion. They cry/scream “racist” at you.
I know lol.
I ripped his dreadful argues to shreds so badly he had to have a big cry ;*(
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@zedvictor4
As I see it there is nothing nationally white about the USA.
Perhaps not anymore, but the USA was founded in White nationalism, hence why it was so successful and lasted so long.
There's still a large group of Whites who reside in the USA, and in particular parts, there is still a White majority (and all the benefits that come with it).
Not that in any real sense is anyone white...Albino's maybe, but this would include "black" albino's.
Why do you keep saying this? I've corrected you like 4 times on this.
We can sort people into racial groups really easily for the most part. For the vast majority of people, merely looking at them is enough to sort them into racial groups. Those mere observations are backed by studies that actually looked at the genetic ancestry. Even at low amounts of SNP/loci analysis, and even with super basic divisions of 'African', 'European' and 'Asian', Whites are still clearly genetically distinct as 'European' Bamshad et al. 2003 Am J Hum Genet.pdf (lsu.edu).
You're wrong every time you say this and will never be right, so stop saying it.
So you're pride is probably relative to an ambiguous European heredity. In so much as Europe was and is a mish mash of all sorts, divided by ever changing borders.
Pride for your own race is natural and healthy. Europeans have also contributed the most to humanity out of any race: Was the Wealth of Nations Determined in 1000 B.C.? | NBER Excerpt from the book "Human Accomplishment" By Charles Murray - Imgur
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@IwantRooseveltagain
So, do you think all human races are perfectly the same?[ignored by IWantRooseveltAgain]
That's why we have notions like 'non-practicing Jew'.No, it’s not. If that were true, what is a non- practicing Christian or non-practicing Catholic. It’s someone who claims a certain religion but doesn’t put any time into it. You are not smart Kaitlyn.[completely dropped by IWantRooseveltAgain]
Only in relation to some activities, such as sport.Ya, women are physically inferior in relation to activities that are physical in nature.Not all activities. For example, women can see more colors than men: The Science of Color: Do Women See More Colors Than Men? - Color Meanings (color-meanings.com)[completely dropped by IWantRooseveltAgain]
Do you have any evidence?Does it have to be real evidence or can it be the kind of pseudoscience you use to claim as evidence?Math and investing, both academically and professionally are fields dominated by men.Forbes, Bloomberg, JP Morgan, Peter Lynch, Archimedes, Euclid. All menProve it.[completely dropped by IWantRooseveltAgain]
So why don't they have that civil right?For the same reason women are allowed on golf courses. Progress.If non-marginalized groups were allowed to create segregation laws it would be a mechanism to keep marginalized people marginalized.The well off would keep all the good stuff for themselves and leave the crumbs for the marginalized.What good stuff you ask? The good real estate, schools, water, air, police protection, hospitals, sidewalks, streets, power grid etc…I understand your what you're saying.White people should have their own segregated spaces in Nigeria, Chad and the Central African Republic, seeing that they are the marginalized minority group there. White people should have good real estate, schools, water, air, police protection, hospitals, sidewalks, streets, power grid etc. White people should be granted quotas to that they have equal representation in Black country parliaments, as well as quotas for all jobs. White people should be granted land in those countries to build White only churches. White people should be able to build White only neighborhoods.If you disagree with this, you are a bigot and racist supporting Black supremacy.[completely dropped by IWantRooseveltAgain]
You don’t know a whole lot about Transgenderism either. You just think you do.
You completely dropped my arguments against transgenderism about 90 posts ago The transgenderism debate (debateart.com):
Roosevelt won't address all of my argument I made here The transgenderism debate (debateart.com) .
I don't think there is a point in responding to him on this topic anymore.
If I don't know a whole lot about transgenderism and you're failing to respond to what I say, what does that say about you?
Your data is garbage. Your ability to understand real data if you had some, is questionable at best.
You either attack my authors or completely drop points where I present data. The most recent example is wherein you dropped points about measuring skull size (by attacking the author and never the data), and you completely dropped a data point I made about human races and differences in attitudes to political ideas: The transgenderism debate (debateart.com) . I point this out and you still ignore it.
You do the same thing on race. You find these quack, pseudoscience reports, skim them, and declare, “ya I agree with that”. You fail to exercise critical thinking skills because you don’t examine the credibility of the data or the people offering it. Conservatives are notorious for this. They accept opinions on climate science from people who are not climate scientists.
Again, you don't do anything to disprove them. You either attack the author or ignore the research completely.
You admit here there are experts in medicine whose advice you would accept if you were ill. The only difference on Transgenderism is you want a different answer than the experts are giving you.
Firstly, you haven't proven "expert" consensus on this at all.
Secondly, even if you did, the arguments are still wrong. A lot of American anthropologists still believe that human races don't exist. Experts used to think that the Earth was flat. Lots of "experts" thinking the same thing doesn't prove it right.
Created:
Posted in:
You don't seem so proud. You seem perennially bothered.
I'm a White nationalist. I love being White and proud of it <3
Or is a catfish your animal?
I don't own any catfish. Is that what you Irish degenerates eat?
Created:
Posted in:
I really am as proud as an Irishman can be.
Yeah and I'm sure pigs are proud of the muddy filth they roll around in
Created:
Posted in:
Guns create too much distance between people
Guns are a necessary part of a free nation to fight tyranny, discourage invasion, and help self-defense in domestic affairs.
The bill that is about to be passed in Ireland is tyrannical and strips the Irish of the ability to live freely, and is precisely what a firearm can help to prevent.
Ireland's politics is made in close quarters.
Ireland has become an international disgrace. Your 3rd world politics are putrid.
Keep away from us.
Created:
Posted in:
Freedom of speech is not about opinions, it's about people. It affords us an ownership in our own circumstances. No person will be denied that in Ireland. Where your speech encroaches on that same ownership of others, then you can get a kick in the head.
This is what you 3rd world, violent degenerates don't understand about speech: speech isn't violence. It's just speech. If you don't like it, walk away or criticize it.
People getting violent, over speech protected by freedom of speech, don't belong in a 1st world country.
Your country has drifted that much closer to the 3rd world and it is disgusting, as are you.
Created:
Posted in:
We here in Ireland have a culture of knocking obnoxious fucks in the head.
You are a violent, unstable person.
Freedom of speech doesn't mean what it used to. The detestable American right have picked it up as a shield.
Freedom of speech means protection of speech that people don't agree with. People of your kind are precisely the people that freedom of speech needs protection from, because you are intolerant.
Your intolerance of speech that you personally don't agree with is a 3rd world trait and belongs there, as does your criminal tendency to violence.
Created:
Posted in:
Freedom of speech is dead in Ireland. It has been murdered by the typical libtard 'hate speech' nonsense that allows corrupt governments and malicious people to destroy others for disagreeing with them. Not only that, but a reversal of the golden criminal justice principle of 'innocent until proven guilty' is about to take effect, too, wherein people need to explain why they have material on their devices, else they are assumed guilty. FuzJqkqX0AEbXtR (1080×1137) (twimg.com)
Ireland is about to pass a law that prevents people from having "material that is likely to incite violence or hatred against a person or group of person". What that means in practice is that if you have something that is political that refers to controversial issues on your phone or laptop, those are illegal and could be used to criminally prosecute you, because the standard for inciting violence/hatred is vague and assumes you're guilty.
If you have a picture of Hitler on your laptop or phone, perhaps used for a research project at school, you'll need to explain yourself before a judge. If you have a meme about Asians not driving well, you'll need to explain yourself before a judge. If you have a video of some African Muslims bashing people, you'll need to explain yourself in front of a judge.
Say what you want about America and its failings, but at least it has robust freedom of speech and criminal justice laws.
Created:
Posted in:
>Calls someone a "weak-minded little child abuser"
>Uses multiple swear words in front of suspected children
The tolerant, respectful left, everybody!
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Double_R
If the issue with transgender people was merely that they were bullied/harassed, we would expect 100%, not sub-50%.We would never expect 100% of anything.The claim was never that bullying is the only difference, the point is that there's nothing odd about the fact that a group which has been largely ostracized by society (which the bullying statistics support) would have a higher suicide rate. It would be absurd to expect any other result.
Yes, it's not only not the "only difference", but it's not even the big difference (seeing that most transgender people don't cite bullying/harassment for suicide ideation/attempts).
In other words, this "largely ostracized" group doesn't appear to be killing itself because of the ostracization -- this contradicts your argument.
I'm not interested in appeals to authority. Authority used to think that the Earth was flat.I'm interested in data and interpretation of it. That's how good, logically valid arguments are constructed.If it's not an appeal to authority fallacy (appealing to something that's not an authority) then dismissing it out of hand is the opposite of being rational.If you go to a doctor and he tells you that you need surgery to live, then unless you have expertise in the field yourself you are being irrational to dismiss his assessment. If you go to 9 other doctors and they all tell you that you will live without it, you are on clear solid grounds to reject the first doctor's assessment.Appeal to authority is not about validity, it's about strength. When you disagree with the majority of experts in a field, that weakens your case.
We're not talking about medical advice which I don't know a whole lot about, wherein I have to trust others because I don't understand much. We're talking about the highly politicized topic of transgenderism and the fact that I think the narrative from the "experts" doesn't fit the data. We don't need to go into who said what. We can just look at the arguments and data to decide for ourselves. We don't need "authorities" to make our thoughts for us when we can look at and understand the data/arguments.
I'm certainly not an expert on schizophrenia, but from what I'm reading, a lot of schizophrenics seem to be able to live normal lives 10 Facts You Should Know About Schizophrenia | Mental Floss . Would you not consider that dignified?I don't see how any of this matters with regards to the topic we are addressing.You asked me if we should treat trans people liked schizophrenics, now you're showing me extremely mild cases that have no harmful impact. If there's no harm involved or not enough harm to warrant intervention then I fail to see your point.
The issue was of dignity and whether we treat people with mental illness with dignity, to which I showed you that it was possible.
I don't see why there is a impactful different between the harm schizophrenics experience due to mental illness, and the harm transgender people experience due to mental illness.
Analogically, both schizophrenia and transgenderism are mental illness. It's possible to treat schizophrenics with dignity without appeasing their impulses that extend from mental disorder. Therefore, it should be possible to treat transgender people with dignity without appeasing their impulses that extend from mental disorder.
We only had some data to establish that they were the most bullied in post #287. You were making a lot of unsupported claims until then.Have you never heard of hyperboli?
I don't believe this for a second lol. You got caught out and are trying the whole 'my argument was intentionally bad'.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@IwantRooseveltagain
So, do you think all human races are perfectly the same?Yes. All races are human. Cranial shapes and politics do not vary by race. Nobody, not even you, is born a stupid racist right winger.Cranial volumetric capacity varies from race to race Brain size, IQ, and racial-group differences: Evidence from musculoskeletal traits - ScienceDirect . Craniometry uses the phenotypic traits of racial skulls to determine someone's race (often used in forensic science) Racial variations in different skulls (researchgate.net)Politics vary by race. The proportion to which a race is individualistic/collectivistic can be accounted for by a great deal of the allele frequencies at A118Gand MAOA-uVNTR gene locations (see Figure 1 and 2) Wayback Machine (archive.org)I could provide plenty more data/examples for both. All of this proves that divergent human evolution is happened and that humans races exist.You just have no idea what you are talking about and are completely wrong.[ad hom attacks of *some* of the study's authors; other study/argument I presented was dropped by IWantRooseveltAgain]
Do you want to try again to address this properly?
That's why we have notions like 'non-practicing Jew'.No, it’s not. If that were true, what is a non- practicing Christian or non-practicing Catholic. It’s someone who claims a certain religion but doesn’t put any time into it. You are not smart Kaitlyn.
You're being very silly.No, just calling out a racist for her stupid ideas.
There's nothing racially hateful in what I wrote.
Only in relation to some activities, such as sport.Ya, women are physically inferior in relation to activities that are physical in nature.
Not all activities. For example, women can see more colors than men: The Science of Color: Do Women See More Colors Than Men? - Color Meanings (color-meanings.com)
Do you have any evidence?Does it have to be real evidence or can it be the kind of pseudoscience you use to claim as evidence?Math and investing, both academically and professionally are fields dominated by men.Forbes, Bloomberg, JP Morgan, Peter Lynch, Archimedes, Euclid. All men
Prove it.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@oromagi
Why are you comparing 21st century nation data to 20th century black crime data? What is relevant about black homicide rates from 1965-1995 compared to the 28 years after 1995? Almost nothing.
Why was the homicide rate so high then? I'm pretty sure it was relevant to the people murdered by African Americans.
Profound decreases in homicide rates took place over that time which you ignore because using those 21st century numbers falsifies your comparisons.
Feel free to demonstrate it.
- Using different standards in order to dramatically exagerate the undeniable problem of black homicide is poor conduct and by itself, quite racist.
There's no racial hatred in citing statistics.
Created:
Posted in:
-->
@Savant
You've changed your argument from causation to mere correlation, so my argument here doesn't apply anymore.No, it's causation with low elasticity.
Whether intentionally or not, you're equivocating pretty hard on this point.
First you argued that it was causation, "The causes have been known for quite some time. Homicide correlates strongly with poverty and fatherlessness". Then you immediately demoted that to correlation, "Homicide correlates strongly with poverty and fatherlessness".
Then you argued that it was merely a predictor, "Fatherlessness is a consistent predictor of violence. Poverty is a consistent predictor of crime".
Now you're back to causation but with the caveat of "low elasticity".
Do you even know what you want to argue?
U.S. public opinion actually negatively correlates with U.S. policyUm, no. Policy positively correlates with the interests of the wealthy, but people voting for a law does not make that law less likely to get passed. People don't support rape, and rape is illegal, to give one example.
Policy *both* positively correlates with the interests of the wealthy *AND* negatively correlates with the people's vote. So yes, it does mean that if people vote for a law, it is LESS likely to get passed, but that doesn't mean all policy won't get passed if the people's vote supports it. Your example doesn't contradict what I said.
Your original argued was that if the general population were to support a policy, it would be more likely to get passed -- I've shown that to be not true with the study I cited.
Poverty is a consistent predictor of crime: https://hilo.hawaii.edu/campuscenter/hohonu/volumes/documents/Vol07x03TheCauseofCrime.pdfHow much are you claiming? What correlation effect are you referring to?[dropped by Savant]
What effect size are you arguing for? You are claiming that "poverty is a consistent predictor of crime". How do you know this?
You also still haven't addressed how race is a better predictor of poverty than crimeI gave the most likely explanations for why race correlates with crime. You seem to be arguing for a "criminal gene" for which there's no evidence (essentially, God of the gaps). The factors I listed are known to be the strongest predictors of crime.
I'm not arguing for a singular "criminal gene" at all. I'm arguing that race is a better predictor of crime than poverty to counter the fact you argued that poverty was better. So that you don't accuse me of arguing for a "criminal gene", I'll just copy-paste the argument so that other people can see I'm not (I bolded and underlined the easy to understand, slam-dunk arguments):
Race vs Economics as Predictors of Crime
Land, McCall, and Cohen collected data on the homicide rates of cities, standard metropolitan statistical areas (SMSAs), and states for the years 1960, 1970, and 1980. In each year they included all 50 states and every city and SMSA included in the census. They then looked at how well the following 11 variables predicted crime variation between these areas: population size, population density, percent black, percentage aged between 15 and 29, percent divorced, percent of kids without two parents, median family income, the poverty rate, income inequality, the unemployment rate, and whether or not the city/SMSA/State was in the south. All of these variables were entered into a single regression model, meaning that the estimated effect size for each variable held all other 10 variables constant. This analysis thus produced 9 total models explaining crime variation in cities, SMSAs, and states, across 3 decades. Across these 9 models, race was a better predictor of homicide than unemployment, poverty, and median income, in 7, or 78%, cases, and a better predictor than income inequality in 8, or 89%, cases. Thus, over 3 decades of very large data sets, race was pretty consistently a better predictor of homicide rates than economic variables were.
Another relevant analysis was carried out by Unz.com owner Ron Unz. Unz 2013 looked at how well median income, population density, poverty, and % black, correlated with the crime rates of large American cities between 2006 and 2011. He found that the size of the black population of a substantially better predictor than any of the other variables tested.
Similarly, the New Century Foundation’s report “The Color of Crime” analyzed the violent crime rates of the 50 U.S. states and D.C for the year 2005. The analysis found that state violent crime rates correlated at .81 with the percentage of the population that was Black or Hispanic, 0.37 with the state’s percentage of high-school drop outs, 0.36 with the states poverty rate, and 0.35 with the state’s unemployment rate.
Templer and Rushton 2011 significantly replicated the New Century Foundation’s results. They analyzed crime variation across the 50 U.S. states and found that the percent of the population that was black was a stronger correlate than average income for murder rates (0.84 v -0.40), robbery rates (0.77 v 0.06) and assault rates (0.54 vs -0.23) The paper did find that income was a stronger predictor than black population size for rape rates (-0.16 v -0.22), but neither of these correlates were statistically significant or large.
Kposowa, Breault, and Harrison 1995 analyzed crime variation across 2,078 U.S counties. As can be seen below (standardized beta coefficients are under the “beta” column), the percent of the population that is black was a stronger explanatory variable than poverty, income inequality (gini), and unemployment, for explaining variation in both property and violent crime.
Relevant table for the above study's claims: 2-5.png (456×300) (thealternativehypothesis.org)
Also a relevant table for the above study's claims: 3-4.png (447×299) (thealternativehypothesis.org)
Finally, we have Rushton and Templer 2009 which looked at national variation in crime. They found that skin color, a proxy for race, was more strongly correlated than national income with homicide (0.25 vs 0.17), rape (0.24 vs 0.10), and serious assault (0.20 vs 0.09).
Thus, across a large range a literature analyzing crime variations across cities, counties, states, and nations, we see that race is a better predictor of crime than economic variables are.
Created: