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My opponent's sole point is we should focus on Europe and Asia because that's where ww3 is happening. I have 6 main responses:
1. First, both Asia and Europe have territory within the Arctic circle, therefore my opponent is actually arguing for my point. According to
Intredpid, countries inside the arctic circle include those of "Denmark (Greenland), Norway, Sweden, Finland, Russia, Canada, Iceland and the USA." As Russia is a major Arctic power as well as global superpower, the only way to gain any foothold in this supposed WW3 would be to increase military presence around countries (such as Russia) that are the reasons we are even discussing a third world war.
2. That brings me to my second point which is that putting military in the arctic actually defuses war. As the US military is seen as dominant and largely recognized as one of the largest military powers, by placing that power near trade routes, Russia, and other countries, the US presents its self as a deterrent defusing the war before it begins. However, if the US does not go into the Arctic, Russia might claim the war for themselves as currently they have 13 nuclear icebreakers in the arctic. Not only this but
Zysk 22 writes, "Russian capabilities include nuclear weapons and long-range capabilities, and Russia has conducted operations that qualify as threatening." The only way they'd consider using them is if the US wasn't there to stop them. In a world where you negate the resolution, Russia can take over these trade routes (as stated in case), grow their economy, and even fire nukes from their vantage point, that the US wouldn't have access to.
3. Then, I'd tell you that you don't need to prioritize one spending over the other. While infrastructure in the arctic would likely only cost $1.1 billion to build in the arctic according to
Dodds 23, the US military had a surplus of $1 trillion (
DoD). Due to this surplus, not only could the US build in the Arctic and increase its military there, they'd still have close to 1 trillion dollars, more than enough to allocate troops and weapons towards other European and Asian countries not in the arctic.
4. Moving on, I think it's pretty clear and obvious that any world war that would be started would be due to tensions between the three great powers, Russia, China, and the US. However, we can see that with important treaties and agreements through the Arctic Council, which the US can only stay in and uphold if they are in the Arctic are actually keeping the peace.
USDoS states that indeed "Canada, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, the Russian Federation, and the United States" all inhabitants of the Arctic region are a part of the Arctic Council. As
Widakuswara 23 corroborates, "Ties are warming between Moscow and Beijing as Arctic Council seeks to re-establish technical cooperation with Russia." This means this Arctic presence and cooperation is solely what is keeping relations alive and war from happening in these countries.
5. My opponent also gives no sources for information, and for that reason alone, they should be dropped, but even still, their lack of information provided in case means I have very little to go off of when constructing a counterargument. Since there is not enough detail or sources saying ww3 would happen mainly in Europe and Asia, I would argue that since the Arctic ice is melting, it has a plethora of materials, and there are fewer inhabitants, if anywhere that's where the war would start. An expansionist power such as Russia will do whatever they can to obtain the materials they need. Without a dominant power in those places, others will just squabble and fight leading directly to war. However, we can see that the US is the sole person that stands in the way of Russia. When Putin invaded Ukraine, the Ukrainians were able to withstand the attack to US aide and help.
Stepaneko 23 states, "Ukraine’s only lifeline [is] that of foreign [US] military assistance." As Ukraine was able to rely on the US withstanding an attack, it is proven that only the US can counter Russian power.
6. Just to spike a response, remember no country is going to turn to nuclear weapons if another more powerful country is there due to mutually assured destruction.
Moving on to the weighing; you are voting for me in 4 key places:
1. First probability. To win this point, they must prove that this war is actually going to happen, and unless they do so their argument is nullified. While a third world war is unlikely has cannot be quantified, as soon as you affirm, we see a betting of the climate and increased shipping routes ultimately helping poverty and saving lives.
2. This leads to number 2. Prioritize us on timeframe. Although they cannot tell you when this war might happen, we tell you as soon as you put more troops Russia backs off. They see the power signal from the US and since they are depleted from the Ukrainian war and the sanctions that ensued they do not attack. However, by negating you are pushing for the status quo is which Russia is not stopped taking over the arctic. Essentially they are creating the problem they are claiming to solve.
3. You are voting for me on scope. Whereas they cannot even tell you if this war is actually going to happen, we can tell you we are making the final push towards solving for the climate crisis. At the end of the day prioritize saving the world, because although we have survived two world wars as a human race (with devastating issues yes but still alive) scientists predict we would not survive a full dip into the depths of global warming, which would create temperatures so extreme they would even push the entirety of costal cities underwater.
4. And finally you are voting for us on uniqueness. As I proved earlier on, the spending and military for these other places will happen either way, only if you affirm can you uniquely solve for the climate, poverty, and ww3, all in one go.
Thus, I urge a pro ballot.