Choose Your Role DP3

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whiteflame
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@ILikePie5
They have 2 roles. One to help prove their category and one from special category for mafia. So Earth can be a Day Vig and Godfather at the same time? Where’s the confusion. Regardless we lynch Vader today. What are his town tells to you
You specifically said:

Mafia started with two roles each. The first to prove the category they know to be fake one to help prove their fake category, and one every night role from a special selection of roles exclusive to mafia. Even though scum have a total of 4 roles, they can use one role per NP aside from the NK.
Based on that alone, I'd agree with you. It is possible, since it says they have "a special selection of roles exclusive to mafia"... except for two things.

First, that kind of throws a wrench into your whole "they have an every night role" part of this explanation. If scum have a Godfather and a 1X Day Vig, then they have no night roles to select, yet you say they individually "can use one role per NP aside from the NK". Unless you consider a passive role a "role use," that doesn't match.

Second, here's the text from the OP in DP1: "7 of the following 9 Role Categories belong to the town. Mafia will have role options to pick from not on this list however." Specifically, the "list" he's referring to is the Categories, not the list of available roles under them. Maybe that leaves some leeway for certain roles, but it puts Godfather in a tricky spot since it's clearly a Passive role.

Idk why you’re sussing me. You have to assume I chose a non confirmable role at the beginning, knew that everyone would have a confirmable role, and had to WIFOM it. It makes zero sense.
Honestly, I don't know why everyone seems so ready to townread you for this. This entire argument is WIFOM. Claiming you chose a non-confirmable role that looks like the information behind it could be confirmed by flips seems like a genuinely good tactic for scum. I understand that there's value in claiming a confirmable role, but considering your own claim put the spotlight chiefly on confirmable roles, I can see you doing it as scum. Sincerely, why not? Because there's value in being confirmable? Everyone that's been sussed so far has been confirmable. Austin had a confirmable role and was lynched. Savant arguably was confirmable as well. It didn't save them.

whiteflame
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Didn't finish this thought: 

Claiming you chose a non-confirmable role that looks like the information behind it could be confirmed by flips seems like a genuinely good tactic for scum, especially when the only flips that could give you away are your own and your scum partner's. I think a lot of people gave you a pass because they thought this was risky, but I sincerely don't see a huge risk at all if you only tie yourself to one other player's flip.
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@ILikePie5
Grey is not a confirmed town. Obvious I’d assume you say yourself as confirmed townie but you are not confirmed either. You are simply just a town read. Austin is the only confirmed

For someone who is adamant on role =/= affil. You are very ballsy to call GP confirmed town
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@AustinL0926
This is extremely narrow sighted. From your perspective there should be NO ONE that is town confirmed by any means. Ruling out people and saying by POE it’s them is crazy when there’s an equal chance everyone one in here is scum.

But I agree with you on your assessment. I would say my top reads are earth, Casey, WF, Pie, GP
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@Vader
Grey is not a confirmed town. Obvious I’d assume you say yourself as confirmed townie but you are not confirmed either. You are simply just a town read. Austin is the only confirmed

For someone who is adamant on role =/= affil. You are very ballsy to call GP confirmed town
This kind of thing isn't helping your case, dude. I agree he's not fully confirmed, but given that he was the Reviver and the lack of the NK in DP1 (absent your trying to commit the kill and failing due to the RB) can currently only be explained through a role change on GP that either protected him or was used to protect someone else, I'd say GP is as solid town as it gets without absolute confirmation.
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Sincerely, though, I'm stepping off for now otherwise I'm going to be late leaving work. I'll check back in when I'm home.
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Actually the more that I think about Pie and what has transpired. It seems very interesting he chose the non confirmable role. Maybe because he has a better chance at fake claiming a passive role that doesn’t happen. WF has a good point
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@whiteflame
This kind of thing isn't helping your case, dude. I agree he's not fully confirmed, but given that he was the Reviver and the lack of the NK in DP1 (absent your trying to commit the kill and failing due to the RB) can currently only be explained through a role change on GP that either protected him or was used to protect someone else, I'd say GP is as solid town as it gets without absolute confirmation.
I 100% agree, but I think saying he’s confirmed is a bit short sighted when thinking about the endless possibilities. He’s town in my book too but confirmed, yea I don’t think so
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@whiteflame
Based on that alone, I'd agree with you. It is possible, since it says they have "a special selection of roles exclusive to mafia"... except for two things.

First, that kind of throws a wrench into your whole "they have an every night role" part of this explanation. If scum have a Godfather and a 1X Day Vig, then they have no night roles to select, yet you say they individually "can use one role per NP aside from the NK". Unless you consider a passive role a "role use," that doesn't match.
Idk what every night role entails. I received no clarification whether it’s an active or passive role. Regardless, if it’s passive, it could be GF, if it’s active, it could be a Lawyer. 

Second, here's the text from the OP in DP1: "7 of the following 9 Role Categories belong to the town. Mafia will have role options to pick from not on this list however." Specifically, the "list" he's referring to is the Categories, not the list of available roles under them. Maybe that leaves some leeway for certain roles, but it puts Godfather in a tricky spot since it's clearly a Passive role.
Yes, options to pick from not on this list implies the special category for scum. Just cause GF is a passive role doesn’t mean it can’t be in the scum category of roles.

Honestly, I don't know why everyone seems so ready to townread you for this. This entire argument is WIFOM.
I spelled it out. You’d have to assume I chose a non-confirmable role as scum. On top of that, I made up the entire Informed claim information. On top of that, I am WIFOMing this entire argument. Literally that’s a million assumptions to make.

Claiming you chose a non-confirmable role that looks like the information behind it could be confirmed by flips seems like a genuinely good tactic for scum. I understand that there's value in claiming a confirmable role, but considering your own claim put the spotlight chiefly on confirmable roles, I can see you doing it as scum. Sincerely, why not? Because there's value in being confirmable?
Yes? There is clear value in being confirmable. Scum don’t know that I knew that they have 2 roles. If they have confirmable roles, they just POE the non-confirmable roles into oblivion. It’s easy for them to.

Everyone that's been sussed so far has been confirmable. Austin had a confirmable role and was lynched. Savant arguably was confirmable as well. It didn't save them.
You and I are the only ones who have roles that aren’t confirmable based on everyone that has claimed.  I read you as town. I want to lynch to Vader today. Tomorrow we can decide on Earth/Casey. Earth hasn’t played in a townie manner at all. 

I think a lot of people gave you a pass because they thought this was risky, but I sincerely don't see a huge risk at all if you only tie yourself to one other player's flip.
Again. You’re arguing that I would go out of my way to choose a non-confirmable role in the hopes that all the townies got confirmable roles and I can WIFOM the fact that I chose a non-confirmable role. Wym tie it to one player’s flip? 
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@whiteflame
First, that kind of throws a wrench into your whole "they have an every night role" part of this explanation. If scum have a Godfather and a 1X Day Vig, then they have no night roles to select, yet you say they individually "can use one role per NP aside from the NK". Unless you consider a passive role a "role use," that doesn't match.

I don't quite understand this argument. Pie said that the mafia selected from a list of mafia-exclusive roles, so presumably they could have picked something other than what they did. Also, Pie said that they have two roles each. So, one might be a Godfather while the other has an active role.
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@Vader
Grey is not a confirmed town. Obvious I’d assume you say yourself as confirmed townie but you are not confirmed either. You are simply just a town read. Austin is the only confirmed

For someone who is adamant on role =/= affil. You are very ballsy to call GP confirmed town
If you think Austin is town, then GP is town because he revived him. 
AustinL0926
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WF probs town by role because why else did I get options for Miller and Gravedigger.
GF probs town by role, if we lose to that than w/e.

Casey, Earth, Vader, Pie.

I'd probs take Pie out for the check and the mech that Casey is claiming, as well as generalized aggression that I associate with town pie.

I think it's correct just to have Earth place his vote on Casey and shoot Vader, and then we decide from there.

Thoughts?
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@AustinL0926
im ok with that
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@Greyparrot
@AustinL0926
WF probs town by role because why else did I get options for Miller and Gravedigger.
Agreed.

GF probs town by role, if we lose to that than w/e.
I agree.

Casey, Earth, Vader, Pie.

I'd probs take Pie out for the check and the mech that Casey is claiming, as well as generalized aggression that I associate with town pie.

I think it's correct just to have Earth place his vote on Casey and shoot Vader, and then we decide from there.

Thoughts?
I’m fine with Earth shooting Vader, but he can’t vote again after that if he’s alive in future DPs, which would be a problem for us. That’s why I’m saying we should force Earth to shoot Vader, then lynch Earth (just to be safe + utility). If Earth is indeed town it is 3-1 MYLO tomorrow. And then lynch Casey or VTNL for better odds in a 2-1. With one of Pie/Austin/GP alive as town and Casey/Whiteflame.

If we leave Earth alive and he shoots Supa and Earth is a townie, we’re permanently down a vote. We cannot win at MYLO with a Townie Earth alive. So the option is make Earth shoot Vader and then lynch Earth. Or just lynch Vader right now. I like the former option because I townread WF and it would leave Casey as confirmed scum in 2-1.
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@Greyparrot
@AustinL0926
If the 3 of us agree that there’s 2 scum in Casey, Earth, Supa, we’ve already won the game. 

1.) Have Earth shoot Supa 5-2 —> 5-1
2.) Lynch Earth today (Win or 5-1 —> 4-1)
3.) NK on Pie/GP/Austin (4-1 —> 3-1)
4.) Lynch Casey (Win)

Alternatively, we can just lynch Vader today.

1.) Lynch Vader 5-2 —> 5-1
2.) NK on Pie/GP/Austin (5-1 —> 4-1)
3.) Earth shoot Casey (4-1 —> 3-1) + Earth Self votes
4.) 2 out of Pie/GP/Austin vote Earth
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@AustinL0926
Your plan works as well now that I think about it cause we’re say there’s 2 scum in Casey, Vader, Earth
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@ILikePie5
I want to have him use the vig, it will poe and solve the game.
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@ILikePie5
If he refuses to vig, then we just lynch earth and gg
Earth
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I read the last page. I'm okay with vigging Vader.
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@Earth
I read the last page. I'm okay with vigging Vader.
Okay, vote for Casey and then shoot
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@ILikePie5
Idk what every night role entails. I received no clarification whether it’s an active or passive role. Regardless, if it’s passive, it could be GF, if it’s active, it could be a Lawyer. 
If Earth has a passive role, then he is effectively entirely unlimited in his usage of both roles. If Luna went through the trouble of specifying that scum individually have a pair of choices they can select from, which is what you stated in your clarification of your role, but then went on to give them two roles that are never on a trade-off, then that is pretty bastard, especially since your role is literally only a source of what should be completely accurate information.

Yes, it's possible that he has the Lawyer. That runs into the same problem, since his Day Vig does not incur any kind of trade-off.

Yes, options to pick from not on this list implies the special category for scum. Just cause GF is a passive role doesn’t mean it can’t be in the scum category of roles.
I think it's plausible for scum to have access to a Godfather, I agree. I just don't think that Earth has that role, at least with the information you've given us.

I spelled it out. You’d have to assume I chose a non-confirmable role as scum. On top of that, I made up the entire Informed claim information. On top of that, I am WIFOMing this entire argument. Literally that’s a million assumptions to make.
You listed 3 assumptions, let's not be hyperbolic. Yes, you would have to WIFOM your entire argument. You're doing that whether you're town or scum, so that's irrelevant. You would have to choose a non-confirmable role as both scum and town as well. Again, that's a non-unique argument. So really the only thing you've listed here that's specific to you being scum is that you'd have to make up the Informed claim, and... yeah, I absolutely believe you could do that. I didn't like how it was written from the outset, and I made a couple of long posts explaining why it stood out to me in DP1. It's entirely possible that Luna wrote it, but do you sincerely expect me to believe you would never do this? It's a gambit, but not a huge one, and it makes a lot of sense given the argument I was presenting back in DP1 about scum claims and confirmability.

Yes? There is clear value in being confirmable. Scum don’t know that I knew that they have 2 roles. If they have confirmable roles, they just POE the non-confirmable roles into oblivion. It’s easy for them to.
Non-unique argument for scum and town. Again, there's clear value to both scum and town to have a confirmable role. That doesn't mean there's no value to having an unconfirmable one, and yours has clearly shown its value 2 DPs in a row. Hell, it becomes a very convenient excuse for why you wouldn't get NK'd as well, since your role is done with at this point.

You and I are the only ones who have roles that aren’t confirmable based on everyone that has claimed.  I read you as town. I want to lynch to Vader today. Tomorrow we can decide on Earth/Casey. Earth hasn’t played in a townie manner at all. 
I don't like your position on this, but I'll bring that up in response to where you spelled it out more thoroughly.

Again. You’re arguing that I would go out of my way to choose a non-confirmable role in the hopes that all the townies got confirmable roles and I can WIFOM the fact that I chose a non-confirmable role. Wym tie it to one player’s flip? 
Already addressed the first part. As for the second, my point was that if you are scum, you tie yourself to the flip of your scum partner. If your scum partner is lynched, your information would be disproven and you would become the obvious lynch. That's the extent of the risk you took in having your information be discovered as false if you are scum, so I don't see this as a particularly risky move if you are scum.
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VTL Casey
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@whiteflame
We’re arguing for zero reason. If you think the team is Casey/Vader, we’ve already won the game.
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@Casey_Risk
I don't quite understand this argument. Pie said that the mafia selected from a list of mafia-exclusive roles, so presumably they could have picked something other than what they did. Also, Pie said that they have two roles each. So, one might be a Godfather while the other has an active role.
See my responses to Pie. My point is not that scum could not possibly have picked Godfather as a role. My point was that it makes part of his information suspect if Earth specifically did, since it creates a non-choice between using his roles, whereas Pie's info strongly suggests a requirement exists for each scum player to choose.

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@whiteflame
See my responses to Pie. My point is not that scum could not possibly have picked Godfather as a role. My point was that it makes part of his information suspect if Earth specifically did, since it creates a non-choice between using his roles, whereas Pie's info strongly suggests a requirement exists for each scum player to choose.
I still don’t understand what your point is. I’ve said that scum can have 2 roles each. If they have 2 active roles, they can use only one per DP/NP cycle. 
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@ILikePie5
We’re arguing for zero reason. If you think the team is Casey/Vader, we’ve already won the game.
At this point, I'm not believing that because I think you're putting us in a place where Vader and Earth get killed first and then Casey. At least one person between Vader and Casey are scum. That's my position. If that's true, then we should absolutely not lynch Earth under any circumstances this DP, and when you argue this:

I’m fine with Earth shooting Vader, but he can’t vote again after that if he’s alive in future DPs, which would be a problem for us. That’s why I’m saying we should force Earth to shoot Vader, then lynch Earth (just to be safe + utility). If Earth is indeed town it is 3-1 MYLO tomorrow. And then lynch Casey or VTNL for better odds in a 2-1. With one of Pie/Austin/GP alive as town and Casey/Whiteflame.

If we leave Earth alive and he shoots Supa and Earth is a townie, we’re permanently down a vote. We cannot win at MYLO with a Townie Earth alive. So the option is make Earth shoot Vader and then lynch Earth. Or just lynch Vader right now. I like the former option because I townread WF and it would leave Casey as confirmed scum in 2-1.
I'm entirely baffled. This argument relies on there being one scum between Vader and Earth. That's possible, but I'd say we're guaranteed to hit scum if we shoot Vader and lynch Casey (or vice versa, which right now, is what I'm supporting), since they cover all possible scum pairs, whereas this is a gamble based on one possible scum pair. 
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@whiteflame
At this point, I'm not believing that because I think you're putting us in a place where Vader and Earth get killed first and then Casey. At least one person between Vader and Casey are scum. That's my position. If that's true, then we should absolutely not lynch Earth under any circumstances this DP, and when you argue this:
Okay so you want to lynch Casey today? Fine with me.

I'm entirely baffled. This argument relies on there being one scum between Vader and Earth. That's possible, but I'd say we're guaranteed to hit scum if we shoot Vader and lynch Casey (or vice versa, which right now, is what I'm supporting), since they cover all possible scum pairs, whereas this is a gamble based on one possible scum pair.
That’s fine with me. It’s POE either way. Cause there’s 2 scum in Earth, Casey, Supa. If you townread Earth and Vader flips scum, we can lynch Casey. 
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@Earth
Did you message Luna to shoot Vader?
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@ILikePie5
I still don’t understand what your point is. I’ve said that scum can have 2 roles each. If they have 2 active roles, they can use only one per DP/NP cycle. 
Now you're just modifying what you said initially. The message said:

Even though scum have a total of 4 roles, they can use one role per NP aside from the NK.
I don't see anything about limiting what can happen during a DP/NP cycle, and that information would have been super relevant since it would have hinted at the existence of a DP-use role on the scum team.



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@ILikePie5
Okay so you want to lynch Casey today? Fine with me.

That’s fine with me. It’s POE either way. Cause there’s 2 scum in Earth, Casey, Supa. If you townread Earth and Vader flips scum, we can lynch Casey. 
I said I'd prefer to shoot Casey, hence that whole "vice versa" in the parenthesis. I'd like to see Casey's flip before we decide the lynch, but right now, my default is to lynch Vader.