Total posts: 17,895
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@Sidewalker
Maybe your tin foil hat is too tight?
0/2. Please make it 0/3
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@IwantRooseveltagain
What are you talking about? What buses were sent to Tennessee? Have you been getting your news from whack job blogs?
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@Greyparrot
My pronouns are officially now Adorable Deplorable
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@IwantRooseveltagain
@Sidewalker
@Shila
Looking for an answer to above response ^
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No one has yet to give me a credible reason as to why it’s bad when Biden drops busses full of illegals in Tennessee, but when Abbott and DeSantis do it in Martha’s Vineyard, it’s okay
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@thett3
The point of the stunt was to change the national conversation from abortion (an extremely weak issue for republicans) to Biden’s border disaster (a very strong issue for republicans.) From that perspective it’s been a wild success
Republicans would benefit from having a few psychologists to tell them inherent biases humans have. The principal being framing
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@RationalMadman
I sure hope you win that debate. I have no shame in admitting that Ragnar is a far better debater than me. He’s still an authoritarian scumbag through
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@oromagi
Hasn't Barney recently challenged you to a debate and you scampered?
I said I could take on the purple dinosaur.
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@Barney
Somewhere in the multiverse, certainly. Within this reality, highly unlikely.
You identify as a purple dinosaur?💀
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@Shila
Here is a quick breakdown of the six Chapter 11 bankruptcy filings by companies owned by Donald Trump. All six of Donald Trump’s bankruptcy filings were prior to him becoming our current U.S. President.1991: Trump’s Taj Mahal1992: First of two Atlantic City casinos owned by Donald Trump.1992: Second of two Atlantic City casinos owned by Donald Trump.1992: Trump’s Plaza Hotel in New York City2004: Trump’s Hotels and Casinos Resorts2009: Trump’s Entertainment ResortsTrump has not paid any taxes for 10 years claiming over a billion in losses.
6 out of over 500 businesses failing is a great rate. And claiming those losses is perfectly legal per the tax code. If you don’t like it, change it.
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@Greyparrot
@Dr.Franklin
I live in MA. Martha's Vineyard is the epitome of old money. Those yuppies could use some diversity
The northeast is literally whiter than the South. I read a funny post the other day: Martha’s Vineyard has a 100% deportation rate 😂😂
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@sadolite
So you hope to achieve this by inundating people with unwarranted unprovoked personal insults and attacks. Sounds like a good plan. Good luck with that.
He’s obviously a troll lol.
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@Shila
I am a Financial Manager and manage peoples money.Now you can see why Trump’s CFO Allen Weisselberg was charged with fraud. He was a crook working for a crook.
Really? It’s interesting that you don’t know the basics of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy. 6 Chapter 11 bankruptcies out of more than 500 separate businesses. I’d call that a massive success.
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@Greyparrot
Pretty sure he is a Marxist in training at a state institution.
Berkeley seems like a good bet
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@Shila
Congress
Makes sense. What part of India are you from?
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@Tejretics
In the only election I've voted in (i.e., the only major election since I became an adult), I voted for the DMK. I’m broadly to the right of their policy views though (they’re more social democrats, and I’m just a liberal).
Very cool. I love Indian politics myself. It would be impossible for a guy named Stalin to win in the United States. It just fascinates me.
At the national level, it’s hard to say. Probably the Indian National Congress, though I guess a case could be made for the Aam Aadmi Party.
That’s what I’d expect honestly if you’re from the South. They’re not really fond of Modi and BJP. AAP and INC should combine imo if they want to have a chance of defeating Modi and the BJP.
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@Greyparrot
Have you seen the European leaders? Who do you think Biden learned how to print money from?
Probably the Chinese. Gotta get money for the coke and hookers from somewhere
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@IwantRooseveltagain
Serious question, what do you do for a living?
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@Shila
Trump believed debt was good. He filed 6 bankruptcies and never had to pay back the loans.Trump believed America being a superpower could also default on its debt and no country could force it to pay.That is Why Americans love Trump. He is tough with other peoples money.
Maybe you should learn a little bit about finance before make such ignorant claims. What do you do for a living?
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@Greyparrot
@thett3
Are you stupid or what? You think Biden “printed” money but Trump merely borrowed money. It’s the same fucking thing dipshit.BTW, Biden, and any other President, has absolutely no say about what the Federal Reserve does.
This guy definitely did not pass highschool economics lol
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@Greyparrot
Is this you Pie?
Hell ya
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@Greyparrot
Lmao, when the Biden administration does it, it’s fine. But when Abbott and DeSantis do it, OH MY GOD. I’ll be so happy to vote for Abbott over Robert in November
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@Greyparrot
Did you know the 19th Amendment is why Democrats win?
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@IwantRooseveltagain
You might be a male but a man? No. A 5 year old boy has a penis, but he’s not a man. You are a young male, and it looks like you may never be a man. Just like Donald Trump.
Cope
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@Vader
The democratic party, destroying the states we live in just for their stupid PC social justice. Don't know how these morons still have a job
It’s all fun and games until you experience it. Rich white liberals don’t care because they have their private security
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@IwantRooseveltagain
Imagine you two morons thinking you are men. Poor, unsuccessful men.
I have a penis. Therefore I am a man. You seem like one of those SJWs who still lives in their parents’ basement
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@Greyparrot
Imagine living in a world where you think someone who was born with just a penis is a girl
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@3RU7AL
higher voter participation, quicker results, also eliminates the need for "primary" electionsit's a win win win
1.) More voters vote with runoff voting because there are more opportunities to vote
2.) RCV is anything but quick. Exhibit A was New York Mayoral and Exhibit B was Alaska.
3.) You are misinformed. Alaska did have a primary election. Same with NY Mayoral.
it's almost impossible to absentee vote in a "run-off" election
False. In my homestate of Texas. You have 2 months to vote by absentee.
and there is no "early voting" in a "run-off" election
False. You can early vote for a run off election in the State of Texas
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@Greyparrot
The only way for them to be comparable is to enforce RCV voters to make choices instead of voting one person. Tell them that 1 choice will result in a null ballot.Many countries have stricter laws compelling every citizen to vote.
Exactly, I don’t have a problem with RCV, but whoever votes should be forced to rank ALL the candidates. Rank your last choice last obviously. If it gets that far, you’re screwed anyways
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@3RU7AL
turn-out for a "run-off" election is ALWAYS lower than the FIRST electionwith this in mind, a "run-off" election DISENFRANCHISES MORE VOTERS BECAUSE ALL OF THE VOTES FROM THE FIRST ELECTION ARE TOSSED OUT
You do not know what disenfranchisement is then. You can still vote during a runoff. Clearly information and campaigning isn’t important to you. Plus there are external factors for why turnout is lower for runoffs
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@3RU7AL
by design, only the candidate with the lowest vote total is eliminated and their votes move to "second choice"
So what? You have yet to explain why RCV is better than runoffs in any aspect.
it seems insane to make EVERYONE take time off of work and schedule volunteer poll workers and coordinate an entire second or third election
You don’t have to take time off of work. There’s early voting, absentee. Not to mention polls close far after 5pm which is the average time people get off of work.
when only maybe 4 or 5% of the voters (or less) need to "revote"
With more information. There is no objective benefit to doing RCV. It has been a disaster wherever it’s been done
everyone else's vote goes to their FIRST CHOICE, and why would anyone change their FIRST CHOICE in a "run-off" (unless they KNEW their candidate was in last place) ?
There’s a lot of reasons why people would want to change their vote during a runoff when they wouldn’t be in RCV. There could be a scandal. Something could be revealed during the campaign. As I mentioned, RCV is an unknown. Someone who doesn’t want to vote Palin or Peltola votes just for Begich. But they’d prefer the Republican. In a runoff they have a known of Palin vs Begich. In RCV they don’t have that known.
My argument here is if you want RCV, Force voters to rank 1.2.3.4
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@ebuc
What this proves --or suggests-- is your fine with white privilege for 100's of years, and then when blacks get a little bit you get a tiddle in you brain and have to make posts like this.Y'll get on back to the plantation where ya'all belong.
Where do you “white” in my statement. This is about Asians vs Blacks.
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@Shila
The Asians are already in control of both parties behind the scenes.Mitch McConnell’’s wife is Chinese and Vice President Kamala Harris is Indian/Jamaican.
False. The Democratic Party is headed by Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, and Chuck Schumer, who are all white. The GOP is run by Donald Trump, Mitch McConnell, and Kevin McCarthy, who are all white. Harris literally does nothing except break ties in the Senate. Elaine Chao doesn’t run the Senate
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@Shila
White privilege is a fact. White superiority is a myth. We just buried a monarch.
Affirmative Action is racist. Discriminating against Asians is okay with Democrats.
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@Avery
Give 'em hell :)
Welcome to the site 😊
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@Greyparrot
Evil thrives when good men do nothing.
I’m back now. Let the counter offensive begin
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@3RU7AL
RCV is also called "instant run-off"it's exactly the same as a "run-off"
No it’s not. Run offs have a separate election process after a certain time period. Two separate elections.
except you don't have to drive to the polls twiceexactly the sameIF you can vote twice for the same office on different days (inarunoff)THEN you can vote twice for the same office on the same day (RCV)
No. There’s two separate elections with run off system. A voter Can make an informed choice after someone has been eliminated for sure. With RCV you cannot make an informed decision based on who has been eliminated. Only a guess.
I can’t believe you think RCV and Runoffs are the same thing. I’m not against RCV. I’m against ballot exhaustion. Because your vote does not count at all. In fact it disenfranchises those who would come and vote in the runoff.
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@Greyparrot
@Shila
Biden was a senator for 36 years. He was Obamas Vice President for 8 years.A LEADER IN THE SENATE
Irrelevant. He’s President now and cannot even talk properly. The Russians invaded Ukraine under his watch. The Border is being flooded under his watch. Inflation has reached a historic high under his watch.
As a Senator from Delaware for 36 years, President Biden established himself as a leader in facing some of our nation’s most important domestic and international challenges. As Chairman or Ranking Member of the Senate Judiciary Committee for 16 years, Biden is widely recognized for his work writing and spearheading the Violence Against Women Act — the landmark legislation that strengthens penalties for violence against women, creates unprecedented resources for survivors of assault, and changes the national dialogue on domestic and sexual assault.
How many Republicans voted for that bill? Convenient of you to leave that out. Also, Joe didn’t even sponsor the bill. He was just on the committee that approved it lol. Wow
As Chairman or Ranking Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee for 12 years, Biden played a pivotal role in shaping U.S. foreign policy. He was at the forefront of issues and legislation related to terrorism, weapons of mass destruction, post-Cold War Europe, the Middle East, Southwest Asia, and ending apartheid
And yet it was Barack Obama who said to not underestimate Joe Bidens ability to f things up. Did you know Biden was the only one against the Bin Laden Raid. Foreign policy has been a disaster under Joe Biden. The Russians are emboldened. Chinese are making moves against China. Iranians are doing whatever they want. Biden allies with terrorist have Pakistan over India. Give me a break.
Trump filed 6 bankruptcies
Another uninformed individual touting this. Corporate bankruptcies are common. Even Bill Gates and Warren Buffet have had corporate bankruptcies. Believe it or not, most business fail. Yet Trump still has an empire and has never declared personal bankruptcy. Try again.
and is being investigated for tax fraud,
By who? Letitia James? The political hack who literally ran on the campaign of politically persecuting Trump. We’ve been hearing about Trump’s tax returns for 7 years now. Still crickets. I wonder why lol.
was twice impeached in his first term as president.
Twice acquitted as well because Democrats are idiots lol. Trump’s approval rating rose during impeachment.
Trump is investigated for obstruction of Justice,
Mueller report found no collusion. No recommendation on obstruction either. Try again.
the Jan 6 committee is investigating Trump’s role in the capitol building riots to overthrow the election results.
Newsflash, Americans don’t care. J6 committee is a sham anyways with zero cross examination and testimony that is obviously false lol.
Now he is investigated for stealing high security confidential material from the National Archives.
As President, he had the authority to declassify and make copies of any records he sees fit. He also had the authority to keep them with private notes.
He might be the first president to go to jail as a criminal.
Keep dreaming. We’ve been hearing that for 7 years now
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@oromagi
It's a good point that new voter registrations might be a misleading statistic if we don't look by districts.I know registered women in Kansas surged right before that abortion vote but I don't know the district breakdown of that 70%.
You’d be surprised how many Republican men and women voted for the abortion amendment in Kansas. They’re not going to be voting Democrat though. How big of an impact could newly registered women have? A big one. The key is coming out to vote though. Young people are disillusioned with Biden. African Americans aren’t as active during midterms. It really depends. I’ve done an Excel model of Nevada using 2020 numbers but probably 2022 turnout. You can shift demographics around by %. Holding everything equal, if Dems win Hispanics only by 14% (poll showing this) from their previous 30%, GOP wins by about 4. It’s really interesting and fun to mess with.
No good pollster would ask this question right now, but the bad pollsters are asking "Biden vs. Trump" and if the election were held today, they claim Biden would win by 6 points.
Nationally? Maybe. In terms of states and the EC, I don’t think so. As always, polls are a snapshot in time. Like a Balance Sheet. We’re more interested in the Income Statement
Generic democrat in Congress has gone from -4 points two months ago to +4- an 8 point swing in two months, just two months before the election.
Not really. RCP average right now is D+0.5 with the average at 44/44. Before, the Democrat number was lower. Around 40ish on average with GOP still around 44-45. Why did the Dem number go up? Because Democrats came home like they always were going to in both Biden approvals and Generic Ballot. My personal hypothesis is the nation is 45-45 GOP/Dem. The 10% will decide the vote. They are overwhelmingly independent and overwhelmingly disapprove of Joe Biden. We’ll see how they break in November. Going with trends, they break hard for the GOP. Just my personal take
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@Shila
Unlessyou are comfortable competing with blacks and latinos for minimum wage jobs, college is the way to go.
Racist
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@Shila
New AD tells Trump supporters they are being scammed.
At least Trump can talk properly.
It’s a running theme among Dems to put up people who shouldn’t be running. Joe Biden, John Fetterman, etc
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@oromagi
Also, the GOP national is out of cash two months before the election. Democrats have outraised Republicans the last four months running.
Money doesn’t mean as much as you think. Beto O’Rourke had over 100 million, which was a record at the time I think. He had a D+8 environment. He was running against Ted Cruz, who no one likes. He still lost by 3 points. Take a look at Jaime Harrison or Amy McGrath in 2020.
Party polarization is something money cannot overcome
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@oromagi
Experts say you should ignore everything before labor day. Right now, all the betting houses predict Dems hold the Senate, lose the House by 10-15 but the momentum has swung crazily toward Democrats in recent weeks.
Polls before Labor Day are pretty useless. All the major sites and markets run on the polls. I agree with you that it’s a snapshot in time. If the election were help today I would say GOP gains 20 seats and 51-49 GOP Senate.
Think about it, what is the GOP even running on these day? " Hate blacks, hate gays, give Europe to Putin, love Trump". That's it. They criticize inflation but what's their plan? Conservatives plans in UK and Brazil are handling inflation far, far worse that the US.
It’s a framing issue. I agree that McCarthy and McConnell aren’t doing their jobs by creating an effective platform for candidates to run on. But it really is effective to talk about the Democratic spending spree which is causing the inflation. Talking about crime and the end to cash bail which people like Fetterman and Barnes likely support.
The top issues for voters preserving democracy, abortion, economy, and guns. Dems dominate three of those issues are rapidly improving on the fourth. 70% of all new voter registrations are women- that bad for GOP. Turnouts are rivaling record 2018 turnouts- bad for GOP.
I disagree with you on the top issues. They are and are going going to be Inflation/Economy, Abortion, Crime, come Election Day. Where are the 70% coming from? California? New York?
By Nov, Trump may very well be under indictment for selling US secrets and running for President in 2024. I think at this point he has no choice but to run as his best legal argument for slowing down court proceedings.
He’s going to announce after Election Day. But it’s really funny to see the political attacks on Trump. You and I both know he’s an anomaly. Everyone thought Access Hollywood would end him. He’d win against Biden
A lot can happen between now and Nov but it certainly looks possible that MAGA is going to kill the GOP's easy pickup, just as McConnell predicted.
What’s the cause of MAGA though? What led to a Donald Trump victory? Establishment Republicans like McConnell and Paul Ryan created Donald Trump by not upholding their promises to voters. Just a month ago we saw 10 Republicans cave on guns. Trump won because of his rhetoric. He acted and campaigned like a fighter. That’s what the people like me want. My leftist government Professor always asks why people are choosing MAGA over establishment Republicans. If you asked me, I’d tell you exactly why: establishment Republicans cave on every issue to the Democrats. Who’s the reason why McConnell may not win the Senate? Mitch McConnell
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@Greyparrot
When’d so many Biden lovers show up on the site. It can’t have been that long that I’ve been AWOL
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@Shila
Asian Americans are the highest-income, best-educated and fastest-growing racial group in the U.S, with Asians now making up the largest share of recent immigrants. A Pew Research survey finds Asian Americans are more satisfied than the general public with their lives, finances and the direction of the country, and they place a greater value on marriage, parenthood, hard work and career success.
Read my sentence again.
Higher education. Also I wonder by Asians are so well off
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