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@oromagi
Oh I thought you were saying the contents of the laptop weren’t real, not that it may have gotten into the hands of the media through some dirty dealings from the Trump campaign. I’m agnostic on that as I’ve never really cared too terribly much about that stuff. Your theory and the idea that he idiotically left the laptop at a store both seem plausible to me
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@oromagi
What exactly is your theory? That it’s all made up?
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@RationalMadman
One thing I’ve thought about with regards to this stuff is history. Regardless of which side wins whatever the current culture war issues are, future historians will want to see/read/watch what we were all talking about during this era, which is extremely online. You can go look at threads on Twitter from 2016 or something and it’s all “this tweet is from a removed account” and YouTube has had several political purges at this point. I think what I resent even more than people getting banned is that when someone gets banned these companies remove every single thing their account has ever done on the platform and not just the offending content. I do truly think that they’re doing the historical record a severe disservice
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@cristo71
True but for the last part— money in investment accounts IS being put to work. If I had to think of ways of making money dormant (other than under the mattress), I would say buying precious metals and crypto.
This is true nothing is ever as clean and simple as activists say. Prying wealth from people is extremely difficult. “wealth” is also a hard concept to grasp because now that it’s not all land, precious metals, and other physical goods a lot of the value depends upon a state that respects property rights. If the government just straight up liquidated Jeff Bezos assets many of them would be worth way less. The desire for a wealth tax is just childish and immature imo
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@badger
thank you! First grand child on both sides so everyone freaked out when we told them lol
thett, I still imagine you as a boy hugging a duck. Crazy shit.
Lol not a cool and masculine pirate?
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@RationalMadman
Well I would agree it certainly isn’t a “liberal” impulse as we would’ve thought of it even ten years. But you can’t be cancelled for expressing left with views that ~33%+ of people agree with like you can with right wing views. The censorship energy goes one way and one way only
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@Bones
I just want to push back on the constant blood libel against white people. Now that I have a child on the way it feels even more important that he isn’t blamed for being born the wrong skin color. But wokeness is the religion of the elites and I was incredibly foolish back on DDO with opsec. I should probably close this account and make a new one. It’s a shame because I do think the arguments laid out by Charles Murray in “Facing Reality” are not refutable
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@Nyxified
Thanks but I’m no longer interested. I thought about it more and it’s not worth the risk of getting cancelled.
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@Incel-chud
This is an example of an emotional reaction. Both the liberal and conservative want good things for poor people, but the liberal is mad at the rich and will make simplistic policies like the following"Derp, poor good rich bad. We need to punish rich through redistribution of wealth and help the poor"Meanwhile your average conservative would do an analysis to see what policies would actually help the poor as opposed to the reaction that merely feels good.
This isn’t totally fair to say but of course their is a kernel of truth there. One of my pet peeves is when people emotionally react to billionaires spending absurd amounts of money on toys. And I do understand the emotional reaction, seeing a mega yacht while so many people struggle does seem kind of sick. But…building that mega yacht cost money. Hiring the crew for it cost money. The helicopter on the helicopter pad, all the other toys those all cost money and spending that money creates lots and lots of jobs. It’s actually way better for billionaires to be blowing their money instead of dressing up in clothes from Walmart and LARPING as an average joe while their money sits in wealth management accounts
Also there isn’t as much wealth in billionaires hands as people think. Liquidate the net worths of every billionaire in the country and somehow do it without totally collapsing the value of the seized assets and you could give everyone about twelve grand. Cool.
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That’s true, and I was tempted to give him a D- because I approve of him resisting the crazies who want escalation with Russia. Having a president old enough to remember the Cuban missile crisis does have some advantages.
Also as bad as he is, he didn’t kill a million people over nothing like Bush did. I’m changing my grade of old Joe to a D-
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@Greyparrot
Bill Clinton has a pretty negative reputation among young people on the left. Because it was the post Reagan era he governed pretty much as a centrist…and he really might be a rapist. The Epstein stuff is a huge problem that’s never been addressed
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Trump would have gotten a B if he could’ve accepted his loss and not landed many of his most gullible followers in federal prison and cost republicans the senate during his tantrum. If he had acted like an adult his entire term he would get an B+ (he would also still be President.) Most of the stuff he actually did I liked, but I was so incredibly tired of doing mental gymnastics to defend the man.
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@bmdrocks21
I think it is a bit difficult to judge Biden already, but I'll do my best.
That’s true, and I was tempted to give him a D- because I approve of him resisting the crazies who want escalation with Russia. Having a president old enough to remember the Cuban missile crisis does have some advantages
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Saw this on Twitter and thought it might be fun here. Here are mine:
Biden: F
Trump: C
Obama: D
Bush: F
Clinton: C-
Bush: D-
Reagan: C
Carter: D
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@oromagi
I do think that if the Supreme Court strikes down Roe v. Wade in the upcoming term that will greatly improve Democrat's odds for retaining both houses of Congress and perhaps incentivize a movement to pass a privacy amendment to the Constitution.
It’s already been effectively struck down imo. Didn’t they allow Texas 6 week abortion ban to remain in place? That’s effectively a ban on abortion…six weeks is like two weeks after a missed period. A lot of women wouldn’t even know they were pregnant at that point
^if they let the Texas law stand on just a technicality like lack of standing or something what I wrote above is wrong. But it’s been chipped away at for decades now.
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@Barney
My preferred standard would largely consist of education, birth control availability, medical care, etc. You know, things that would actually prevent abortions (I know, I keep wrongly acting like that is the goal of the pro-life movement).
I mean it is the GOAL of the pro life movement. Whether or not they’re effective at it is debatable but they aren’t opposing abortion just because they hate women or whatever. I agree that it’s better to prevent unwanted pregnancies in the first place
The relevance of this is fleeting due to rarity, but yes, I would be fine with mandated C-Sections for any viable third trimester fetus... Barring exceptional circumstances, like some crazed cult took over the local government and prevented access until then.
Honest question… when you see this video, how do you feel? https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=d4Nsdm2gKSU
Twelve weeks is pretty early…but there it is, with a head, a heartbeat, little hands and feet and wiggling around. The thought of killing it makes me shudder. And I think that’s the core disagreement. It’s not that pro life people want to enslave women or don’t care about bodily autonomy. It’s that we see that and we think “baby” while pro choice people apparently don’t. If you saw a fetus as a baby you would have the same position we do, unless you were so dedicated to “bodily autonomy” or whatever that you rejected government itself.
I think it’s just fundamentally irreconcilable values. I see that video and I think “baby.” I simply cannot think anything else. I’ve tried. That’s just how it is
Also why the third trimester? What makes the woman’s bodily autonomy no longer important at that point?
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@Barney
Is there any point at which you would oppose abortion? Or would a woman who is 8 months pregnant be permitted to abort the child under your preferred rule set?
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@RationalMadman
I think that stuff has some impact but I believe, and think I could prove, that it doesn’t account for anywhere near the *majority* of differences in life outcomes
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I am interested in debating systemic racism, with the resolution being “Systemic Racism is the cause of the majority of the difference in life outcomes between white and black Americans” as con. Any takers? It would have to begin in about a week and wrap up rather quickly, probably using the old DDO rules of 3 days a round. Three rounds or four if it’s “first round is for acceptance” style
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@TheUnderdog
Taxes on very high incomes should be increased, but 93% is far too high. There’s this thing called the Laffer Curve which basically saying that at some point of income taxes are too high the amount of tax revenue actually declines because there’s no incentive to work past a certain point or to pay your executives above a certain amount. Economists debate at what point tax revenue starts to decline but I think they would universally say that 93% is past the point
When income tax rates were that high super high incomes basically didn’t exist, but instead executives who reached that level had extremely lavish spending spending accounts. Price controls on labor (and that’s what a 93% income tax is in practice) probably aren’t a good idea. In such a globalized economy I would be extremely worried about brain drain if income taxes were that high. I don’t know what you’re defining as “rich” but doctors or top level software engineers can easily make $250k+ a year and their skills are applicable anywhere
On a moral level I don’t feel comfortable taking 93% of what someone earns, even if that’s only a marginal rate after they’ve already earned and received a ton of money post tax.
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@Bones
You might be interested to see that the likely next Supreme Court Justice was asked the same question Walsh asked those activists and she failed to give an answer: https://twitter.com/richardhanania/status/1506457584428937224?s=21
I agree with Hanania (who is no friend to conservatives.) This really does settle the question of which side is more disconnected from reality. People who say things like this understand less about human nature than illiterate medieval peasants did
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@Earth
I always think I am missing something because I constantly wonder why the Republicans don't make relatively minor concessions to the left and basically cuck the Democrats out of solving Healthcare or the housing crisis. The Republicans have to have some skin in the housing issue because "a wife, two kids, a house with a lawn" is the right's Earthly Heaven.
They're too tied up in Zombie Reaganism...that is changing (see how the "Paul Ryan" types are clearly losing power and influence) but it's very slow going. But like I said in the OP there's just zero appetite for most of their economic policies which are so outdated that they need to be retired. I think most of their voters correctly recognize that despite their idiocy they are the lesser of two evils between them and a party increasingly in the grips of a self flagellating death cult.
Probably the funniest moment in politics over the last decade was the GOP not having a plan to replace Obamacare despite bitching about it for seven years and "repealing" it like 15 times when Obama could veto. Very sad!
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@3RU7AL
it makes me wonder why nobody was flying the syrian flag when those refugees were fleeing from RUSSIAN bombs
A war in Europe obviously feels closer to home for Americans most of whom who have ancestry in Europe, share some cultural similarities, greater economic integration, more history etc than they do with Syria. Many people would be embarrassed to admit that even though it clearly has an impact on their behavior. I'm not, it makes perfect sense. I imagine your average Jordanian or Iraqi knows and cares more about the Syrian civil war than they do the Russo-Ukrainian war
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@coal
Isn't it interesting how white liberals treat the quality of being black as some kind of unique, race-based original sin that only the Democratic party can provide salvation for? The messiah complex they all seem to have is really bizarre. It's tempting to write that off as just performative, but I think it's more than that for them.
It's definitely more than that. I have this weird pet theory--in 2011 this book came out called "Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?" which argued that because secular liberalism was a fertility shredder and the third world has high birth rates the future will be dominated by religious people. I saw a very compelling refutation of it that basically argued (conclusively imo) that the religious have had a higher fertility rate for a really long time, since the advent of the industrial revolution or even early. But society still got more secular almost everywhere. Case closed. Except...the behavior of most "secular" people doesn't really strike me as being very secular AT ALL. Instead it seems like for many politics is religion by other means. Maybe those religiosity genes really did come to dominate. The US being founded by religious fanatics probably doesn't help things either. People should just go to church instead of centering themselves around politics
It's a predictable pattern. Gay boys are especially vulnerable targets for this witchcraft, which is why it's personal for me. Don't like your life as a 7-14 year old? Well, you must have been born in the wrong body! As a therapeutic measure, let's give you the same drugs that the state of Texas uses to chemically castrate violent sex offenders, pump you full of opposite-sex hormones and praise you for overcoming your "struggle" with "gender dysphoria."What people fail to realize is the fact that something is held out as "therapeutic" does not make it so. The approach with hormones and "reassignment surgery" is identical to that taken by psychiatrists who forced lobotomies and involuntary sterilization on the feeble minded, and castration on non-heterosexuals.
It's the kind of thing that even ten years ago would have been in some dystopian body horror fiction. Like I have mentioned earlier, it gives me hope that there will be a backlash because reasonable minds can't disagree on this issue, there's just a right or wrong. If conservatives can't win on this they are unbelievably worthless. Whichever party can get rid of their crazies and run on a platform of center left economics and opposition to post-2010 social liberalism will have the country for a few decades at least. It's a trillion dollar bill lying in the street
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A great example of this is one of my parents neighbors. For the past few years they’ve had a gay pride flag up, which just recently they’ve replaced with a Ukrainian flag (that I’m pretty sure was upside down now that I think about it.) It’s their property so they can fly whatever they want but I can’t help but roll my eyes at the pride flag, and when I saw they had changed it to a Ukrainian flag as I drove by I burst out laughing. It’s just so predictable.
We don’t think enough about how human instincts evolved in a VERY different social environment. I doubt the hunter gatherer ever heard of a conflict that they didn’t have a personal stake in somehow. Signaling support for one side or the other actually bore risks and costs, and siding with the side that ultimately won would be a benefit. I can just imagine that person hanging up the gay pride flag and anxiously awaiting a response that never comes, and swapping it out with a Ukrainian flag and believing that it makes a difference either way. In the ancestral environment publicly signaling support for something probably would
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@coal
Solid post
I think what we currently call "the right" and "the left" correlate to a divide that is grounded in on biological/psychosocial predisposition --- which are prior to any political ideology, or that ideology's embodiment at any particular point in time. The words we use to describe each such embodiment vary as do the meanings associated with those words (for example, "conservative" includes "populist" now whereas it did not before 2016). But the divide hasn't changed.
1000%. I've come to this conclusion as well--its quite obvious that for most people their general affiliation comes from a pre-rational place and their brain comes up with arguments to rationalize their position. At best we can hope to be dispassionate about some policy issues but in terms of our "team" it's pretty tough. Especially since 90% of people don't think about politics all that much. It's why judging people or hating people based on their politics rubs me the wrong way so much
Particularly among millenials and gen-z, because they simultaneously (a) know nothing other than the here and now and (b) incurred no personal costs to creating the universe of good in the status quo, they take it for granted. So, when they experience something they don't like, they understand it as "oppression" and blame the system from which they came. Of course, their current struggle can't be the result of their own life choices. So, by taking on the purported "struggles" of others, they give their lives meaning and orient their ire against the status quo itself.This is important, because of how existentially meaningless life in modernity actually is. If you're a chaotic disaster of a person, you don't have your life in order and you can't even make your bed in the morning, you also probably don't have a family, you likely never will, most likely won't even be able to maintain a committed relationship with another person, much less initiate one, which if you even did you'd probably screw it up and blame it on the other person. Without God, organized religion, community institutions or other meaningful social connections, what even is there? A job, that's probably unenjoyable and unfulfilling, pays a slave wage at best and entails no realistic opportunity for advancement, much less retirement? Why wouldn't you want to distract yourself with some nonsensical pursuit of "social justice" when that's the monster you're trying to make sure stays locked in the closet?People need meaning to their lives. They need a purpose. Social justice and progress supply it. That's why rational conversations with people on the progressive left can't even be had; their advocacy for those objectives is too intertwined with their own sense of themselves for them to be able to consider the possibility that they might be wrong.
On the highlighted bit you see this in the far right types as well, it's easy to sit there and complain about modernity because some people say mean things online or you have student debt or whatever without thinking about stuff like how a minimum wage worker can afford several pounds of rice and beans from only an hours worth of labor, how war has become extremely rare, all this incredible medicine we have, etc.
As for your other bit, yeah, I totally agree. In 2020 in particular it was beyond obvious that many of these people were using Black Lives Matter and other forms of activism to fill the God and community shaped holes in their hearts. The mental relationship many white liberals seem to have with black people is.....extremely toxic. I don't like to really go into the crime rates stuff because it makes me feel uncomfortable but I have a few times and the liberal response to the average black person being ~40x more likely to attack a white person than vice versa is always "whitey made 'em do it!" Just totally denying agency or the ability to make moral decisions to black people. I hate the "dems r the real racists" stuff but as a Christian who believes that everyone has a soul and moral agency it does genuinely disgust me, and makes it clear that no matter what they might say they don't hold blacks and whites to the same standards. Guilt for crimes white people commit not only transfer across generations but across families, whereas contemporary crime from a black person is excused
I don't know what's going to happen because as you note for many this set of beliefs is intertwined in their identities, but many of the beliefs are just plain wrong.
- First, it is irrational to think that by simply doing "something," the situation will improve. Doing nothing is often the better course of action. Careful consideration must be undertaken before acting, and the bigger the action proposed the more carefully it needs to be considered.
- Second, the world is full of problems. The fact that problems are identified does not mean that the system needs to be changed from the top down, or even if it does that progressives are the people to do it. History is replete with examples of catastrophe, brought on unnecessarily by the stupidity of precipitous, myopic action --- however well intended. The gender discussions we currently have as a society will fall into this category, in about twenty years. But it will take a generation to realize how stupid all of that is before it's corrected.
- Third, the right's challenge should be to figure out a way to get the postmodern progressives to have a stake in the system. Expanding opportunities for home ownership would probably be a good place to start. That, and promoting marriage between two people.
Yep, theres a long history of cures worse than the disease. As you note, the cure of blocking puberty and permanently messing up the reproductive and endocrine systems of thousands of children (and surgically operating on the sex organs of some) is vastly worse than the disease of some people feeling uncomfortable about their bodies going through puberty
The highlighted bit is unbelievably true. When you have a stake in the system your mindset totally changes. Suddenly burning it all down isn't revenge against those who wronged you, it represents burning down things you've worked years for.
This brings me back to a point I made above, which is that right-wingers need to give left-wingers a chance to earn a stake in the status quo. That proposition reminds me of Edmund Burke's recommendation that conservatives "change, to conserve." For example, while Burke didn't advocate for gay marriage, David Cameron did based on the fact that if you deny marriage to an entire category of people for whatever reason, at least a cohort of those people are going to question not only the institution of marriage but the very proposition of a family based around it. The greater good is served by preserving the nature of marriage, but changing the form of its composition. In so doing, the institution survives; remaining as the foundational unit of society.
I think we are in agreement here. Like I said in my last post to Double_R, conservatives fought every aspect of the sexual revolution. Having moral panics about increased pre-marital sex, homosexuality, etc...whereas if they wisely realized that change is inevitable and you need to fight the changes that are really really bad they probably could have preserved the social norms of "childbirth = within marriage" and "conceive a child out of marriage = shotgun marriage" and "abandoning your children = worthless deadbeat who should be socially shamed at all opportunities"...it would have made a difference for so many kids and so many families.
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@Double_R
I just don’t think that’s it. The simple fact is that it’s always easier to give something than to take it away. Conservatism is about conservation, so it will always be the position on the losing end of change.
I missed this part. Sadly this is a pretty accurate description of American conservatism. But the niche for a healthy right wing is to successfully push back on cultural change when necessary while recognizing that change is necessary and getting out of the way in other times.
As a basic example, we now know incontrovertibly that the situation best for children is to be in the same household as both their biological mother and father. Think about all those ideas that came out of the sexual revolution such as free love, encouraging no fault divorce or not getting married at all, abolishing the nuclear family, de-stigmatizing premarital or extramarital sex, radical feminism, etc…
A healthy conservative movement would have recognized that the birth control pill had permanently changed sexual relations and adapted. They would have fought the most dangerous ideas on the list above instead of trying to fight them all and turn the clock back. The horrible impact that the decline in marriage and fatherhood has had on many poorer communities after the social expectation of “childbearing = within marriage” changed can’t be overstated. But conservatives failed to do anything to mitigate this disaster. Instead, they easily succumbed to moral panic. Think things like abstinence only education or freaking out about a gay Boy Scout in the 1990s that just totally destroyed credibility with a lot of people and expended so much energy over basically nothing.
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@ebuc
Animal farming culture children have lived with animals all of their lives over last 1000's of years.Dude, you are a prude and need awaken and smell the truth about life, as all children of any age need to.
Yeah except the vast majority don’t live with animals now. For better or for worse knowledge about sex and mating is not going to come from organic observations from a farm or nature, it will be taught to children either by their parents or by the schools. Or they will learn about it through porn, which is even worse. You can’t just avoid the question by saying things were different for peasant farmers in preindustrial times.
Why do kindergartners need to learn about anal sex?
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@ebuc
Florida's governor may take action to stop children and adults from using word ' gay ' on school property.
I'm not a Florida lawmaker so my opinion on the bill doesn't matter, so I haven't looked into it much. Maybe there are some poison pills in there that I don't know about. But the general idea, that Kindergarteners through third graders shouldn't be taught about sex, gay sex or transgenderism is something I support. Do you want sex education to start that young?
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@Double_R
That sense of ownership comes from a place of trust in the system itself, or at least the idea that you’re supposed to be able to trust it. It’s why the stolen election narrative is such a big thing on the right. To them the system is supposed to work, so invoking a sense of threat is very effective. On the left the notion tends to be that the system never worked, so claiming the election was stolen really wouldn’t have an impact. Liberals instead tend to focus on the people, which is why cancel culture is more prevalent there.
Republicans certainly are more likely to have a naive belief about what society is really like, or was in like in the past, although thats clearly fading. I wouldn't be shocked if Republicans have lower social trust/faith in the institutions than Dems do now. Trump lost a lot of upper middle class suburbanites, who the system is working quite well for, in exchange for a lot more lower socioeconomic status voters who tend to be more cynical. Like I wrote earlier in the thread the coalitions in the Obama/Romney election are actually quite different than what we have now. But yeah I agree with what you're saying broadly
Take background checks for instance; it has something like 93% support. But if democrats put a bill on the floor what happens? Here come the conspiracy theories about democrats trying to take everyone’s guns. By the time the fear mongers are done every conservative in America is standing by with an ak47 in their hand declaring war on the imaginary gun snatchers. Ok I’m exaggerating, but not really. It’s just easier to rile people up than to inspire them, so change is difficult to say the least.
This is exactly what I meant though, about polling vs. actual results. In 2016, a referendum regarding universal background checks for all firearms purchases failed in Maine (https://ballotpedia.org/Maine_Background_Checks_for_Gun_Sales,_Question_3_(2016) ) and one in Nevada passed by less than 1 point (https://ballotpedia.org/Nevada_Background_Checks_for_Gun_Purchases,_Question_1_(2016) ) These are both light blue states...it's very easy to get Americans (probably people in general? But IDK enough about other countries to say) to say they support something but once its explained to them in practice sometimes they go the other way. A great example is how a solid majority support "No fly zones" in Ukraine, as if we have some magic switch to flip. Once it's explained that this means directly engaging the Russian Air Force in combat a solid majority says no. So while it might seem like Dems in congress are super cautious about pushing progressive policies when you look at polling data, they are a lot more intimately familiar with elections than either of us are. The situation is more complicated than it appears
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@bmdrocks21
I'm a little confused. Could you expand a little more on what you mean with conservatives being tactical and why you think that doesn't incrementally change things the way that a 'strategic' style does?
Libs always fight for incremental change, and have a vague understanding of how to get there. And will take temporary concessions to help get there. For a very basic example think about how many political careers got ruined in order to pass Obamacare. For something more serious, think about how illegal immigration deeply harms Democrats whenever they are in power but they are nonetheless lenient about it every time. Why? Because they seem to correctly realize that the demographic change is more important for them in the long run than the few marginal seat that will be lost in the next election. I just don't see that from the other side. They had seven years of prep time and didn't have a plan ready to repeal Obamacare. Again Obamacare is a really banal example but I think it demonstrates how hapless the GOP is. The only issue from my lifetime I can think of off the top of my head where it seems that the right wing has essentially won is guns, and in that case there was a powerful interest group that took the lead in that fight, not the party. The NRA fought like the left, and they won
If you try to tear down all traditional forms of identity like the three Rs (race, religion, and region) you are going to have people coming up with increasingly weirder forms of identity like these wacky 100s of sexualities they have now. When you try to minimize the inherent qualities of gender and that your identity is what you choose, you will have people denying biological realities and thinking they can be whatever gender they want- including those more than just the mentally ill. Even supporting a structure of glorifying victims/pushing affirmative action (benefits for supposedly oppressed) you create a system where there are going to be more made up identities to get the favor of this system.
Yea I still don't think liberalism as a whole as really grappled with the reality that much of your identity is just chosen for you, and that it's actually healthy for that to happen. Teenagers have always tried to identify themselves in some way as they grapple with their identities as they come into man/womanhood but man do I miss the classic teenage rebellion instead of thinking too much about gender. I wonder if some of what these kids are saying comes from something real, though. I have a theory that processed foods and endocrine disrupters have basically poisoned American kids. IDK how anyone can see pictures or videos of high school students from the 80s or before and not think they look unbelievably stronger and healthier, more present. Maybe a lot of these kids don't feel like men or women, feel so far off of the paragons of man and womanhood that they don't even wanna try. The smartphone didn't help either imo.
The highlighted bit is particularly dangerous imo. I think convincing people that they are victims or oppressed pretty much just makes them assholes. I know I have dabbled in the white victimhood thing a bit (look at these mean things people I dont know are saying online :(((((((( ) and it's just not good. So immature and bad for you, can't imagine focusing my entire identity around that sort of thing.
That was super rambly, sorry
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@Double_R
Liberals tend to focus their activism on platforms and through spaces like the Oscar’s or through sports. Conservatives focus their energy at the voting booth and also things like school board meetings.
I think there's some recency bias in the highlighted bit here. Conservatives spent DECADES ignoring school issues, thinking that meeting the person who will be spending 8 hours a day with your child all year one time at parent-teacher night is good enough--which sounds kinda insane in hindsight even disregarding the politics aspect. Something happened, either covid making parents see what the kids are actually being taught in schools or the insanity of 2020 caused teachers to overplay their hand and start teaching some truly crazy stuff, but something shook them out of their malaise.
I do agree that conservatives tend to vote more, mostly because old people vote more
It’s why despite the fact that most liberal policies enjoy overwhelming support nationally, national elections are still so close.If liberals treated politics the way conservatives do, either the parties would shift dramatically left or the republicans would be an insignificant minority.
Well sort of. I agree that liberal economic policies are generally popular. But in states that have referendums there's always this weird thing where something that polls really well (like enhanced background checks for guns, or gay marriage throughout the 2010s) underperforms its polling performance by quite a bit. I think theres a polling phenomenon going on of, basically:
"Do you support X?" 65% yes, 30% no
"Do you support doing the things required to get to X?" 52% no, 41% yes etc etc
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@RationalMadman
So, could you give me an example of INTPs that identify as right-wing?
I always got INTP or INTJ on those things but I haven’t taken on in a very long time. And I would consistently get INTP or INTJ but every letter was marginal. I’ll see if I can take one again later
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@RationalMadman
you ever interacted with or live in western europe to say that?
No, it doesn’t come from experience so if I was proven wrong I would be willing to admit that. But just in terms of the numbers they speak for themselves: https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/us-gdp-per-capita-by-state-vs-european-countries-and-japan-korea-mexico-and-china-and-some-lessons-for-the-donald/
I don’t speak another language so I dont know what it’s like in other countries but when I’ve looked into what housing prices are like in the UK and what people get for the amount they pay, what you get in the US is heads and shoulders better.
I think a lot of the stuff about the US being a hellscape for the common man is just ignorance, with the exception of the US healthcare system which really is a complete disaster and about as bad as they say. It’s worse to be poor in the US but every other economic class probably has it better
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If they had left well enough alone holding onto the Obama coalition which included massive numbers of working class whites would have put republicans in the political wilderness for decades.
Probably the best pre-2016 piece written on American elections:
“The larger number of white working-class voters implies that Democrats are far more dependent on winning white working-class voters, and therefore more vulnerable to a populist candidate like Mr. Trump.
Over all, 34 percent of Mr. Obama’s supporters were white voters without a college degree, compared with 25 percent in the exit polls, according to an Upshot statistical model that integrated census data, actual results and 15,000 interviews from various pre-election surveys…The data implies that demographic shifts played a somewhat smaller role in Mr. Obama’s re-election than the postelection narrative suggested. Even if the electorate were as old and as white as it was in 2004, Mr. Obama would have won, because of the gains he made among white voters in states like New Mexico, Colorado and Iowa.
Hispanic voters played only a modest role in Mr. Romney’s defeat. They cost him Florida — a must-win state for Republicans, but also the closest contest. Elsewhere, Mr. Obama would have easily survived even if Mr. Romney had equaled George W. Bush’s 2004 share of Hispanic voters.”
Working class whites shifted Republican by double digits in 2016 and working class Hispanics did the same in 2020. Biden won because he managed to win back a lot of whites who were tired of Trump and were duped into believing he was a moderate and would govern like Obama did. If Hillary Clinton had the politics of her husband when he was President she would’ve won easily and it would’ve been a knock out blow for republicans for a long time.
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@bmdrocks21
Just to expand on this, I think another issue with the right-wing in this country as opposed to the left-wing is that we often don't seem to have something that we aspire to. If you ask a liberal what they want, they will often have a pretty specific answer for you. It will often be some egalitarian utopia that won't be ever possible to achieve. So, they will forever have this end goal to aspire to, not unlike religion.
Yes, I have noticed that myself. I don’t have a perfect answer myself for what I would like society to be like, but in a country where at least 50% of people disagree with the liberal project I shouldn’t have to come up with it all by myself. But here we are. I think part of the problem is that the conservative generally understands that utopia is impossible and therefore has no grand vision because you’ll never get to a perfect society. So he fights a tactical battle. Meanwhile the liberal, especially with religiosity waning and politics acting as a substitute, does believe in Utopianism. Or at least acts as if they do, which is what matters. So they fight strategically, pushing incremental change towards and ideal.
This has been going on for an extremely long time. While Harvard professors or NYT columnists 80 years ago couldn’t have foreseen (and wouldn’t have supported) things like CRT or transgender children the basic structure of the world—a globalized, liberal economic order backed up by a hegemonic United States is absolutely something they would’ve supported. You can see the seeds for this planted long long ago if you read old stuff.
However, if you ask most conservatives what they want, you'll not get some great vision. You'll generally get a response like wanting the 1950s back or back in the prime of [insert name of some world empire]- something that has come and gone. We are willing to settle for a civilization too easily. The most prevalent statement for what conservatives want is related to be against something rather than for something. For example, we don't like CRT, we don't want sex changes for mentally ill children, we don't like how the welfare state is currently set up- we just look at things and want them to be different than they are. We are only really united by the feeling that things aren't as they should be.
Part of the “problem” with this is that things are just so incredibly comfortable. Americans don’t realize how good they have it, even most of Western Europe is quite poor compared to American living standards. So the impetus for radical change isn’t really there. Liberals really are playing with fire by pushing the envelope on erasing all identity and the defenestration of white people. If they had left well enough alone holding onto the Obama coalition which included massive numbers of working class whites would have put republicans in the political wilderness for decades.
I do have some hope because the leftist ideas I’m most opposed to are just incredibly contrary to reality. Giving mentally ill children life altering hormones for example isn’t something that rational minds can debate, it’s just fucking monstrous and insane and the consequences cannot be covered up. The cracks are already beginning to show: https://old.reddit.com/r/detrans/
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@ebuc
Yes, tho apparrently not to you. Win a few loose a few. Your not much of loss ---too me-- when it comes to truth about conservatives.When you want to step outside of conservative bubble of comfort, watch the movie.
What you said didn’t engage the OP at all lol. But that’s okay. If I have time I’ll watch it at some point. If I recall correctly you’re the one who was calling people “Trumpanzees” which admittedly is pretty funny
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@cristo71
I take it you’re not talking 2022/2024 elections but thinking long term?
Yeh I mean long term. I think dems over played their hand and republicans will dominate the 2020s but will be in deep trouble when the boomers start dying
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@ebuc
Do you honestly feel that the post you made in this thread was interesting, insightful, or productive?
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@cristo71
Liberals: “Don’t just sit there; do SOMETHING!”Conservatives: “Don’t just DO something; make sure it’s BETTER than doing nothing or nothing new.”Here’s a funny twist on that generalization: Sweden, normally viewed as the liberal’s dream realized on earth, decided not to institute lockdowns during COVID. Well, the US press— one of the institutions overrun by the left— did a complete 180 on Sweden and published only negative articles on its failure to do SOMETHING. I’ve never seen a welfare state so demonized in media. It was as if the press felt betrayed.
The Nordic countries are interesting. They seem to be governed pretty effectively, including having the most sane and rational Covid policies almost anywhere and (other than Sweden) having immigration and assimilation policies that US leftists absolutely would not tolerate. I think early 2000s libs we’re on to something when they were admiring these countries…sadly they have long since moved past that point
Liberals just seem to have the will to power in general. I don’t know how to go about changing that but we really need to if we want them to stop winning
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@RationalMadman
Thanks, and no offense intended about the profile pic thing lol
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@badger
Do you think I'm left or right, thett?
I assume your politics lean left but not absurdly so. But you’re too fundamentally rooted (growing up on a farm etc) to be fully assimilated into the neoliberal project which wants people to be cogs in a machine.
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For the past year or so, I have been investigating the causes of political ideology, and why it is that the left seems to have more will to power than the right. I think we can chalk yet another point to the idea that most ideological differences come from personality differences that lead to differences in worldview. One such difference is how groups react to problems in the world.
Right wingers often mock the left for so easily going over to what ever narrative is popular in "the current year." And while much of the advocacy is indeed worthy of criticism (like changing your Facebook profile picture to support whatever is on TV, as if that makes a difference) they mock this at their own peril. Because ultimately this kind of behavior comes from an ever present feeling among many liberals that they must DO SOMETHING! And while this sometimes results in things that make you roll your eyes, it can also result in politically effective activities like pressuring major institutions when they step out of line, or ruining a persons life when they express an idea ~40% of the population believes in. We can see quite clearly, in the United States at least, how much more impact leftists have on almost all important institutions. They have even captured the upper echelons of the military at this point.
Whereas the conservative when confronted with the negatively of the world turns inward, or attempts to address things locally. While this is personally beneficial--conservatives have far lower incident of mental illness than liberals do, have higher self reported levels of happiness, have more children, etc--this is a severe detriment in the marketplace of ideas. It's all well and good to be a positive role model and live a good life but when the overwhelming majority of the people who feel a constantly oppressive need to DO SOMETHING (and therefore have far more influence over major institutions than those who don't really care) disagree with you...good luck preserving your values. That conservatives have as much success as they do in the United States owes mostly to the truly insane ideas coming from the top 5% most progressive members of the left successfully used as rallying points such as cutting off mentally ill fifteen year olds breasts, forcing two year olds to wear masks for eight hours a day, or decrying all white people as evil. Conservatives own ideas about how the culture ought to be are scattered and were mostly defeated decades ago, and its difficult to imagine a less popular economic platform than cutting entitlements in such a fantastically wealthy (and unequal) country.
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@RationalMadman
Oh yeah they did get a lot of high quality equipment from other countries. That’s about as far as I would go. I don’t like what’s happening but can’t fight Russia over it. I also heard that the Ukrainian government isn’t letting men leave the country and are basically conscripting them all
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@SirAnonymous
Yep. I’m not used to not being able to dig into things to find information, it’s just a wait and see type thing. Still can’t believe it’s actually happening
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It’s impossible for me to tell if Ukraine is actually fighting back successfully or if that’s just western propaganda. Does anyone know? I expected them to fold within 24 hours which seems very unlikely to happen now
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I probably have more cultural and ideological ties to the average Russian than the average American. Which is why I am supporting Russia.
dont let your anger towards our disgusting ruling class turn pathological. Putin has started a war and because of that many many people are going to die. Russia is not a beacon of traditionalism, it’s a pathetic shithole ruled by oligarchs even more corrupt than ours, and while we obviously shouldn’t get involved militarily this isn’t something to celebrate
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@bmdrocks21
I'm assuming that it would still show the same trend of people making more having less children, just because that anecdotally has seemed to be the case.
I think the modern system certainly selects for low fertility among high income earners in our age bracket. The more willing you are to move across the country, work jobs that require extremely long hours and are mentally taxing, and constantly put in extra time to keep learning skills, get more education and credentials the higher income you’re likely to have. Which obviously results in extremely low fertility relative to normal people in their mid 20s. But few people stick with that lifestyle past their mid-20s, and a lot of those people by 30 have transitioned to cushy six figure sinecures. I think prestigious career = higher fertility for men, lower for women is probably accurate
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