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thett3

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The Political Consequences of Low Birthrates
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@bmdrocks21
And this study finds just that: higher fertility for men with more income and more "child bearing unions" (I'm assuming that means they get remarried/new relationship and having more kids). Also finds lower fertility the more money women make
Makes sense. The family unit of a biological mother and father where the father works and the mother raises the family is increasingly hard to attain but seems to be the ideal situation for most people. Another situation I suspect has high fertility are marriages where the husband works and the wife can make a significant amount of money working part time. Nursing is great for this, a nurse can make like $30k a year working 1 to 2 days a week which is a pretty good balance between being a stay at home mom and working full time 

It really is crazy how education changes peoples expectations so much. I don’t blame women for not wanting to become a house wife at 25 after spending a ton of time and money pursuing a career just to give it up after a few years. I don’t blame women for not wanting to marry a man who makes less money than they do either. But at the same time the biological clock is very real, and with women doing better in school and early careers now than men the amount of suitable men out there dwindles very quickly. In high school I was mostly friends with the striver set of people and I really do not see them having a lot of kids. Most of them are scattered across the country with few social connections, don’t really have that much money despite having impressive jobs because they spend so much on high cost of living and expensive education, are going back to school like 10 years after high school for a masters…I just don’t see it ending well. A lot of these people aren’t gonna have kids at all and it will probably be to societies detriment even if it helps me politically 
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BLM terrorist tries to assassinate Democrat Jew. Blames Trump
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@oromagi
You can make fun of him if you want, but Black Lives Matter actually did bail out someone who attempted to assassinate a mayoral candidate: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/02/17/louisville-mayor-shooting-blm/

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Matt Walsh on Dr Phil.
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@Theweakeredge
Nope, because gender is grounded in biology as well - your mind is as biologic as your junk, thats something that needs to be expressed very clearly. What being a woman is, is how you experience it, it seems to me like you are trying to needlessly narrow it. But I always priortize the brain to the junk, sorry buddy. 
But what is a woman? The traditional definition supported by people like Walsh would have to do with DNA, genitals, secondary sex characteristics…what is your competing definition and why is it better, how do YOU define it?
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The Political Consequences of Low Birthrates
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@bmdrocks21
Here is a 2017 study that found that higher income was strongly correlated with having fewer children. In fact, it was a straight decline from the highest birth rates in the under $10k category to the lowest birthrates in the over $200k income category, with one exception ($10-15k was lower than surrounding) https://www.statista.com/statistics/241530/birth-rate-by-family-income-in-the-us/
Sorry to bump such an old post but I ran into something you'll be interested in...some good news on this. I wouldn't really consider the numbers here to be representative of the true situation. If you download the  source they used for raw data (you need to register a free account) it's from the US government so the numbers are pretty good...but it has an *incredibly* generous and unrealistic definition of "child bearing age"...it goes up to age 50. Since income is so positively correlated with age I would imagine tons of women move into higher income brackets from say age 35, when they could reasonably have kid #3, and age 50 where that's not possible. A lot of higher income households are also probably people who made a conscious decision to pursue career over family, I would have to see how male income correlates with fertility. This gives me a lot more hope that we can make at least some difference with policy, I can't imagine that giving people more money or benefits to have another kid wouldn't make it more likely that they would have another kid
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“everything’s gonna be all white” docuseries
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@SkepticalOne
You've missed the point. I am not advocating for monetary reparations.
But you said that we have a “stolen inheritance.” If that’s the case why wouldn’t we give it back? It doesn’t seem very fair that you get to preach about what a pack of thieves we all are but get to retreat to “well I’m not saying you should be paying black people money…”  when someone challenges you. Am I a thief, or not?
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“everything’s gonna be all white” docuseries
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@SkepticalOne
When we consider factors such as POC being many times more likely to be pulled over, POC being many times more likely to be charged with drug offenses (when blacks and white use and sell illegal drugs at similar rates), POC being more likely to be excused from juries, white defendants being more likely to be offered plea bargains, etc., that statistic unravels and corroborates the existence of an unfair system.
No it’s doesn’t. And you know that. The argument that the white crime rate is just as high and whites just get off is patently absurd. For that to be the case there would have to be quite literally millions of unreported crimes. And the white supremacist justice system would for some reason spare Asians, Hispanics, and native Americans from being caught up in massively disproportionate amounts of crime and only prosecutes black people 

I don’t think anyone is responsible for crimes other than the criminals themselves. If a black person commits a crime, a black person who didn’t commit that crime bears absolutely no responsibility. But it’s curious that when it’s black people committing crimes you obfuscate and make excuses, but the guilt for crimes white people commit not only transfer across generations, but across families as well. Some might call holding whites to an impossibly high standard while holding another group to a very low standard is racist   

Given the obstacles systemic racism provides, it would be no surprise (and not unreasonable) if there was a greater need for help in black communities. However, as it stands now, blacks are the not the prime welfare beneficiaries. For instance, ~37 % of SNAP participants are white as compared to ~26 % black. Whites burden the system moreso than blacks.
So whites are represented around 61% of their share of their population while blacks are represented around 200% of their population. This proves my point. And I’m not saying this as a way to attack black people, I am happy to help the poor and wish our society did more of it. But if you’re going to say that we as a race “owe” them something, surely what amounts to a massive wealth transfer between races over decades is a relevant consideration, no? 

If you go back and look at the post you responded to, you'll see listed quite a few ways society has benefitted from the labor, resources, and stolen potential of the black community.
you’re supposed to be a skeptical, empirical minded person. So why don’t you tell me? Exactly what portion of my net worth was “stolen” from black people? And how? How much do I owe? How can I absolve this debt? 
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“everything’s gonna be all white” docuseries
If you feel guilty being told white people have been responsible for a multitude of evils from which they still benefit and from which POC still struggle, all I can say is the truth hurts. We need to own up to transgressions (past and present) as well as our  stolen inheritance, and start being part of the solution for a change.
I don’t feel guilty about it, I feel annoyed because pushing back against this narrative can cause you to lose your job. I don’t think that talking about racial groups that comprise of tens of millions of individuals as being “guilty” or having “stolen” anything is a productive conversation to have. I want peace and friendship between racial groups and the type of rhetoric in that video and your post is clearly counter productive to that goal. 

The fact is that black people certainly had a rough go of it in this country. The fact also is that for the last half century they have been committing wildly disproportionate amounts of crime, to the point that in 90% of black-white crimes white people are the victims despite whites outnumbering blacks 5 to 1. In addition, the welfare state that has existed since the 1960s has disproportionately benefited black people and has disproportionately been paid for by white people. Then there are affirmative action policies, preferential hiring and contracts…etc. A full and honest accounting of things, which takes into account the fact that crime and injustice against living people has more moral weight than crime and injustice that occurred against people who are now dead probably wouldn’t come out the way you would want it to.

I don’t think anyone owes anyone else anything other than the people who have actually committed crimes or benefited from someone else’s labor, but you clearly do. If you’re going to say that I, because of the color of my skin, am indebted to some other group because of the color of THEIR skin…I’m going to push back. 
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Truckers fight Facism.
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@Ramshutu
The federal guidance is not likely to change, and at the provincial level most of the reopening was going to happen anyway. Reopening in Ontario specifically has been planned for a while: the west has been pretty gung-ho about opening up at varying points throughout the whole pandemic.
Maybe…but there sure seems to be a sudden preference cascade in the Anglosphere in favor of removing remaining restrictions. Maybe it’s totally unrelated to the trucker strike. But maybe not. The timing is pretty weird and truckers do have significant power if they choose to wield it this way. I wish I could know what was going on in the backrooms 
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Where do you see the US in a 100 years?
I'm probably more bullish on the USA remaining dominant than most people here due to it's dominance in technology, although 100 years is such a long time that it's hard to tell. I'm a little skeptical of China becoming a super power. It's possible that they'll pull it off this time, but China has an extremely long history of being a paper tiger and they'll be facing a crippling demographic crisis in 25-30 years if they don't get their birthrate up soon. I'm mostly okay with the US losing it's super power status if it happens, with the caveat of what you're changing to is much more important than what you're changing from. But I don't think the USA has done a very good or responsible job of "leading" the world, at least not in my lifetime. It's been one embarrassment after another, few if any of which actually benefited the American people. 



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Truckers fight Facism.
Are the truckers getting results? I keep seeing stuff about various provinces lifting COVID restrictions and vaccine mandates but I don't know if that was going to happen anyway
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Where do you get your information from?
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@Double_R
I agree with everything you listed for both sides, but I don’t know what you mean by this one and am curious.

It comes from the work of Jonathan Haidt, who did some very interesting studies on political affiliation and tried to model peoples values over 5 different axis. Basically in surveys on moral questions self identified conservatives were able to accurately predict what an average liberal would answer, but self identified liberals generally failed to predict what an average conservative would answer:  https://theindependentwhig.com/haidt-passages/haidt/conservatives-understand-liberals-better-than-liberals-understand-conservatives/

One study but it tracks with my experience extremely well. My theory for why this happens to the extent it does is that unless they just don't interact with the broader society at all even someone who lives in the deepest reddest area is exposed to liberal narratives in media, advertising, sometimes the education system even in very deep red areas. Whereas a liberal could easily go their whole life without encountering a conservative narrative more than a few times. 
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Where do you get your information from?
Things that I hate about both sides:

Liberals: snobbishness, humorlessness/puritanical nature, desire to censor, inability to mentally model the opposition, think because some elements of the past were bad the entire thing can be discarded

Conservatives: defeatism, general propensity to bitch and moan, no substantive policy proposals, easily taken in by hucksters, backward looking, think because some elements of the past were good we must “RVTURN TO TRADITION”

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Where do you get your information from?
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@Double_R
3. How exactly do you identify when you think someone else is not “thinking for themselves”?
This is actually a harder question to answer than one might initially think because even really heterodox thinkers have biases that motivate their opinions. But I would say the thing that rubs me the wrong way the most when I see is is saying things that are objectively wrong, which can be determined to be objectively wrong with less than five minutes of research, such as claiming that the Covid-19 vaccine doesn’t significantly reduce the risk of hospitalization and death from Covid, that hundreds or thousands of unarmed black people are killed by police each year, that Covid-19 poses a significant risk to children, most of republican economic policy (okay this one isn’t *quite* objective but the performance of stuff like trickle down economics is extremely unimpressive)…the list goes on and on and both sides are guilty 

As to where I get my news from I try not to pay attention to the news or current events but I always learn about them through social media. I’ve been a Twitter lurker for years now and follow a lot of news accounts, liberal blue check marks, the election analysis people, a few normie conservatives, but the largest portion is largely anonymous but interesting accounts who lean right wing but not always. I generally try to find the primary sources myself whenever I see something that contradicts what I am pretty confident about or affirms what I want to believe to an extent that seems to good to be true


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What have you changed your mind about?
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@Yassine
- Also, what other faith related views have you discarded or adopted in general during your time on this Forum? & why? 
My faith (Catholic) only grows as I age and see Biblical narratives reflected more and more in reality. I was raised pretty much as a cultural Christian with very little religious education, reading the Bible makes me feel basically that “all of the answers were here the entire time…” I don’t talk about religion much here because I think very few people are willing to talk about it in good faith (I consider you one of those few FYI even though I don’t really interact much, I enjoy your posts) 
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Biden unpopular.
It’s crazy how much low hanging fruit both Biden and Trump left on the tree. Trump by refusing to be an adult and Biden by letting his administration be governed by Twitter. interested to see what happens when we finally have a politically competent president again like Obama was. Obama at his lowest was around where Biden and Trump got within months and through most of his term he was easily in the range where he would have a good chance to win re election. And America was pretty polarized then. I do think that the polls underestimated Trumps approval somewhat throughout his term though 
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Theory of political leanings
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@Incel-chud
It will be super interesting to see how the children who grew up in the forever Covid environment react when they meet kids from Texas or Florida who didn’t have that experience at all 
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Theory of political leanings
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@Incel-chud
I have seen them harm a ton of children. Innocent children. Not stuff I watched on Waco or things like that where they literally burned kids alive, but in person up close and personal, I have seen them hurt children. 
I think a lot about the little kids being forced to wear a mask eight hours a day. Maybe I'm just built differently but I know that the day in day out resentment and anger at having to wear it for years on end would have scarred me for life

Small potatoes compared to the children murdered in drone strikes and such but the way that people are just so casual about it, like its normal or healthy for kids to not see faces or to breath properly
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Theory of political leanings
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@Incel-chud
1.I don't like situations that are uncertain

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2.I feel uncomfortable when I don't understand the reason why an event occurred in my life

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3.When I am confused about an important issue, I feel very upset.

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4.In most social conflicts, I can easily see which side is right and which is wrong.

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5.I feel uncomfortable when someone's meaning or intention is unclear to me.

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6.I'd rather know bad news than stay in a state of uncertainty.

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28. I guess a paleocon


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Debate me!
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@Tejretics
Last I checked, TFR in India was like 2.1, and it was predicted to be below replacement by 2030, though maybe something changed since I last checked. 

I suspect the crash in births was mostly just a consequence of countries growing? Like the current birthrate is probably the “natural rate” at current income levels, holding constant pre-2015 culture or something. 
Paywalled but India fell to about 2.0 last year: https://www.economist.com/asia/2021/12/02/indias-population-will-start-to-shrink-sooner-than-expected However it's possible that it could slightly increase when coronavirus is over, or there could be late registrations that push it up to 2.1 for the year, but the long term trend is clear. I'm assuming you're about 20, when you were born it was 3.3, when I was born in was closer to 3.7. I assume the average emigrant is mid 20s to mid 30s, so were born when women had roughly twice as many babies as they do today. And India is developing rapidly. It seems like the appetite to emigrate will be much much lower really soon. India is such a behemoth that its trends alone are going to carry massive implications for immigration almost everywhere. And this trend is happening throughout the world. Countries with net-emigration are going to drain incredibly quickly imo, and the entire narrative that both sides of the argument have about immigration (basically that there are massive hoards of people champing at the bit to move to developed countries and this is either good or bad) is going to go up in smoke. My prediction anyway, and I'm not very smart. But will be interesting to see. I'm curious to see what you expect to happen

Yeah. I’m more worried, actually, about the implications on long-run economic growth than on deficits or the size of the labor force. Chad Jones has a paper on this, in which he models the effect of declining populations on growth. It doesn’t look good. 
Hard to see how it wouldn't totally crush growth. The countries that started having low birth rates early (like Japan, Italy, Spain) haven't exactly put forward very impressive numbers the last few decades. But I don't think we have seen the worst of it yet. In a country like Spain, people in their 40s and 50s outnumber the generation that will be entering the workforce when they retire roughly 2 to 1. How that is going to end in anything other than complete disaster I have no idea. Anyway I bring this up not to rant about my ideas more, but because I think it throws up some extremely serious road blocks to a lot of facets of the current world order like migration, endless economic growth, and old age pensions and I don't know what to expect in the future 

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The like button should be removed
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@Castin
It is a pretty terrible username
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Debate me!
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@Tejretics
I’ll read it and post there later today! But for what it’s worth, in developed countries especially, I think low birthrates are concerning. I think they’re especially concerning for long-run economic growth. More people means more ideas and more technological progress, which is the path to economic growth in countries where simply “catching up” through capital accumulation is no longer possible. 

I like policy proposals such as child allowances that make it easier to have kids. I also like policy proposals by liberals to lower the cost of living, like building a lot more market-rate housing. I’m uncertain about how to change culture in ways that makes having kids more widely-accepted. I also like a lot more immigration, to temporarily mitigate some of the consequences of low birthrates. It isn’t quite a permanent solution, though, and it doesn’t fix the problem at its root. 

I think the picture in developing countries is a bit more complicated, because the relevant question is how it affects catch-up growth. India’s TFR looks likely to drop below replacement by 2030, which seems like losing an important “demographic dividend” to engage in labor-intensive manufacturing, which is scary. On the other hand, there’s some research – such as this one, by David Weil and others – suggesting that increases in population density hurt people’s quality of life in developing countries. 
I think India is actually below replacement already. Isn't that crazy? The post-2015 crash in births throughout a lot much of the world was incredibly swift. It could reverse, but so far there isn't really a precedent for that.

I agree with almost everything you said in the highlighted bit, those policies do seem to help a bit but overall its a cultural thing. Fascinating to think what the world could look like if trends don't change. Of course they will, but how much and when? Who will inherit the Earth? On immigration what I find really interesting is that because migration is now global (instead of mostly to only a few countries) and with birth rates crashing I think the remaining net emigration countries are going to drain incredibly quickly over the next 20 years. Look at places like Romania or Bulgaria, they are just so hollowed out. A lot of countries like USA or UK or France have decent birth rates and can make up any gaps in the labor market with small (comparatively) amounts of immigration but I don't see how countries like Italy or South Korea can possibly recover when the boomers retire. How is this anything other than death? https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4a/South_Korea_Population_Pyramid.svg/1200px-South_Korea_Population_Pyramid.svg.png


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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
Look, I’m not giving you an inch. Like I said, race/racism is to do with perceived cultural divides, which you agreed with, but then in the next sentence you used a third person as a front for beliefs your trying to cling on to.  A reasonable, well meaning person my ass. What an intellectual coward. 
Calm down lol. Isn’t this entire thread about a third person? If I agree with anyone I would say I agree more with Whoopi because I think race as a concept is more complex than simply culture, and does have a lot to do with appearance and historical geography instead of just culture. But I also couldn’t care less. If you disagree that’s totally fine, and if you called a British person calling an Irish person a slur racism I wouldn’t object. Piece of work though she is, Whoopi shouldn’t have been punished for having a different view that isn’t even that unreasonable 
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
I don’t know why you’re trying to justify ignorance. You don’t think race/racism is to do with perceived cultural divides?
Why do you care so much about this lol 

Of course it has to do with that. A reasonable, well meaning person could also think “racism” refers more specifically to discrimination based on race, and a reasonable, well meaning person might consider ethnic Germans and German Jews to be the same race. Someone else might disagree. Who cares?
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Lemming
I wouldn’t say calling it racism would be ridiculous, I may call it that myself. I just don’t get the outrage that someone thinks of it in a slightly different way. It’s just such an odd thing to be offended by…something can be wrong without being “racist” 
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
I don’t know, haven’t really thought about it that deeply since I don’t care. Since that’s what “race” overwhelmingly refers to in America an American saying they don’t view two groups of white people killing each other as racism doesn’t seem like such a faux pas to me 
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
“They both look white to me, simple as”

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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
Yeah you’re only telling me the extent to which people are ignorant. 
Unfortunately no matter how you feel about it words are much more flexible things than objective concepts like math or logic. If the vast vast majority of people think of a certain word in an “ignorant” way eventually that just becomes the definition. It’s a really ridiculous controversy in my opinion
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
So most people don’t believe antisemitism is racist?  
They probably don’t think about it at all, but since it has its own word instead of being called racism they would probably think of it as anti semitism and not racism 
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The like button should be removed
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@16kadams
I have been humbled…
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The like button should be removed
Like buttons are for Reddit, not a debate site. If you like someone’s perspective join in on the conversation 
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
This whole thing is extremely funny on multiple levels 


-the conversation was started by a fake controversy about a cartoon mouse

-the conversation is about events that happened almost 100 years ago in a different country

-what she said wasn’t offensive by any reasonable definition and no one can explain how it’s offensive 

-it’s an actual example of “white supremacy” (a minority getting punished for being clumsy around the nuances between different sub sects of the majority group)

-the public is now being subjected to a debate about Jewishness that 95% of them have no idea about but people will pretend like they do anyway 

-she’s a piece of shit who would have no mercy to someone who said something clumsy about black people

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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
I agree. Though you shouldn’t enable ignorance. 
It’s not ignorance, she was using an understanding of the word “racism” like it’s used 99.9% of the time in American discourse 
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
So let’s agree that bringing up your race and black people in general, is irrelevant to the conversation when it comes to falsely held beliefs. 
But “race” isn’t a real concept so there can’t be an objectively “false” way to apply it to something like the Holocaust.

Because it’s not a firmly grounded concept like physics or math peoples experiences and cultures are going to change how they view it. A black person whose family has been on the wrong end of the American history of race (ie, broad inclusive definition of white to contrast with black) is likely to view “race” from that angle, even though the Germans were actually looking at it from a difference angle. So yes, it looking like two different groups of white people to her is a reasonable thing to say. It’s not like she said it was okay for that reason. 

Her view is closer to objectively right than the detractors is anyway. If we were to take the genetics of people considered by all to be “white” “black” or “Asian” ashkenazi Jews are clearly closest genetically to the “white” group 
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
I understand why a modern day white person such as yourself would think it’s reasonable for a modern day black person to think certain falsehoods. 
You haven’t explained why it matters. Why should she be expected to have a nuanced understanding of German and Jewish relations in the 1920s-1940s, and be expected to seamlessly apply American discourse to those events without occasionally saying something that comes off as clunky or awkward? Why should any American? 

Is this directed at me or just a general concern? I operate in the market place of ideas.
It was a general comment. But if you’re operating in a marketplace of ideas I don’t see the need for you to bring up my race 
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
Humans are much too diverse to be easily categorized into three or four different “race.” Are Jews white? Are Turks white? Are Khazaks Asian? Because of the stark physical differences between Europeans and Africans and the desire to retain a hierarchy this is the approach generally taken by Americans throughout history. Are Romanians white? Well, they are kind of swarthy…but they sure aren’t black, so white it is. 

The early 20th century scientific racists took the opposite approach and obsessively categorized humans into smaller and smaller groups, Aryans, Nordics, Alpines, Mediterraneans, etc. 

What Whoopi is being punished for is applying the standard definition of “race” used in 99% of contemporary American discourse to an event that took place almost a century ago in a different country, where the perpetrators took a different view of race. The reasonable standard to set is one of basic decency which she clearly met (in that clip…she’s a piece of work generally speaking lol.) Race is a sacred concept in the American civic religion but apparently no one bothered to write down the rules. Great country we’ve got here.

I cant believe I’m saying this but this is an actual example of the “white supremacy” the left is obsessed with. An ethnic minority has a less nuanced understanding of the differences between sub-sects of the majority group than the majority group does? How shocking. I would imagine she knows more about, say, the differences between blacks in Atlanta and Detroit than I do. 
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
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@Reece101
Racism was the driving force for the atrocities. Race isn’t just skin colour, it’s cultural. Nazi’s saw Jews as an out-group to put it mildly. 
Does it really matter?  Its the same impulse as what drives contemporary racism and ethnic conflict, which was her entire point. She’s not white, she’s not German, and she didn’t grow up in the 1930s. I understand why a modern day black person would think of it as a problem between two groups of white people is a reasonable belief even if the Nazis themselves thought the Jews were a different “race.” 

Interesting look into Americas civic religion. I guess Americans no longer understand that something other than “racism” can be bad. If you think the holocaust (an event in a different country almost 100 years ago) was evil but not “racist” CANCELLED!  
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
Just listened to the actual clip, Whoopi was right and she shouldn’t have apologized. It makes sense that a black woman living in 21st century America would think of German Jews and German Christians almost 100 years ago as two different groups of white people. What’s the big deal?
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Whoopi Goldberg is right about the holocaust
I stand with Whoopi, white people be crazy 
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Immigration
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@Danielle


It wasn't that long. There were about ~40 years with little immigration during the infancy of our country between 1790-1830; the immigrant population actually exploded decades before the Civil War largely in part to the Irish potato famine. However even though the influx of immigration changed over time, my point is that this country has seen a significant amount of immigration since its inception. Yes there was a temporary lull between the 1920s and 1960s, but that was 60 years ago. What are you - like 30 years old? There have been 30+ million immigrants that came here since you were born with the last two decades bringing more immigrants than ever before. So for you to say you "like the way things are" just seems weird since the number of immigrants doubled over the span of your life. The way things are = diversity.  And going back to a previous topic, a lot of immigrants tend to be (at least socially) conservative which would seem to increase the chances of preserving the cultural elements you value. You probably have more values and political views in common with a Mexican immigrant than a native Californian. 

That's true, this has been happening my entire life. But it didn't hit everywhere at the same time. The community I grew up in changed a lot over the course of my life due to immigration. And to be perfectly honest, I simply did like it much better before.  Why wouldn't I? It went from a place where almost everyone shared my culture to a place where most people did not, and I felt like an outsider. Who wants to feel like that? The elementary school I went to is now an "immersion" kids, and the (minority) of white kids there receive instruction in Spanish. I mean come on, my native language isn't even the language of instruction anymore and I'm supposed to feel nothing? I don't know. I don't think that's a natural or a healthy way to view your society. And I question how much I should have to justify simply having a preference. I think multi cultural spaces are good, necessary, and important but I question the wisdom of insisting that everywhere has to be that way.

For the highlighted bit I actually think you could be right, it might actually come back to bite liberals in the end. Hispanics really do seem to be assimilating to working class white culture (and Asians assimilate incredibly quickly to upper middle class liberal culture but there are far fewer of them.) So many Hispanics live in California and New York that I don't know if they will ever be a right leaning group over all but I could see Mexicans in Texas and Arizona being kind of like Cubans in Miami. 

But we all agree there are limitations. What about the people who want to ban guns? Should we get to vote on slavery? What if we can prove it's in the economic  interest of the country ?  As I said elsewhere, we can't divorce individual rights from the immigration debate. Even if you don't think immigrants qualify for rights per se, what about the Americans who want to hire a foreign worker or sell their house to someone born in another country? Conservatives claim to be the ones who prioritize individual rights whereas leftists tend to be skeptical of private property. I am not. The rejection of immigration rights and the shrugging off of institutionalized bigotry and free trade is far more dismissive of private property rights than anything I believe. 
Well, this is getting into what's possible vs. what's possible in the current system. In the current system, we do have a centralized government that makes the vast  majority of policy decisions for 350 million people, many of whom have basically zero to do with one another. So yeah I want my positions to win since I have to live under whoever wins. But in principle I support the original idea that states were, well, STATES, that were essentially a part of an economic and military union like the EU. So in that system yes states should be allowed to ban guns. Slavery is a different issue because it's an issue of rights. Slavery totally upended Christian ethics a millennia in the making and the consequences still negatively impact the descendants of everyone who was around for that time to this day. I wouldn't want to be in a union with a state that still practices slavery. 

Immigration wouldn't be an issue if state governments could dictate their own policies, if New York wants to be a multi cultural area and Iowa doesn't good for both of them as far as I'm concerned


 They make the journey because they live dangerous, depressing, dead-end lives and want the opportunity for a better one. That's why all immigrants that aren't slaves come here. That's why your ancestors came here.  It's interesting how you've chosen to frame and justify the policies that exclude some. I suspect it comes from your intuitive understanding that what they endure is tragic and unjust which brings up some cognitive dissonance. As I was saying to Pie, this is why it's so hard for me to take the anti-choice position seriously as a moral argument from the same group re: abortion. It is inconceivable that conservatives are "horrified" by the death of a human being that isn't conscious, while accepting the death of actual children essentially as collateral damage for unnecessary policies. 

I don't agree that that specific death was caused by anything other than the perception of open borders. But setting that aside, abortion is a weird issue because it's a fundamental conflict of values. For me, seeing a thing that has a heart beat, looks exactly like a little baby, and moves around, I simply can't think of that as anything other than a baby. It's hard to imagine that people can think of it as anything else. But they just...do. And I don't think they're ever going to see it any other way. Also I think abortion is such an emotional issue because of Roe v. Wade, I mean whatever your position on abortion I think it was incredibly inappropriate for SCOTUS to legislate from the bench. 

As far as my ancestors go, they weren't immigrants, they were settlers, who came long before the revolution. Or conquerors if you want to put it that way. Their presence here was absolutely not a benefit to the population that was here before, I assure you. I do have some more recent ancestors on my moms side, but quite frankly I wouldn't have let them in either. I'm sure they were nice people and I mean no disrespect to my ancestors but knowing their circumstances and their alien culture I don't see how they could possibly have been a benefit to the country at the time

It depends. Historically it's been avoided by  immigrants not going for  the same jobs and/or natives shifting to other (often higher paying) jobs. This was the same argument that was used to keep women out of the workforce by the way, but wages of both men and women increased as more women entered the workforce. There are several reasons for that we can discuss if you would like to and I'll admit there are plenty of variables. The main thing to consider with immigration or working women is that it boosts labor demand, not just labor supply. When women went to work, they made money to spend. It increased demand for childcare, domestic services, dining outside the home, etc. Immigrants don't just come here to work. They consume.  
Elizabeth Warren wrote an excellent book about women entering the workforce called The Two Income Trap. And she argued, quite convincingly imo, that the entrance of women into the workforce was accompanied by a rise in marginal expenses and necessary goods like housing and education went up enough to immediately gobble up the entire benefit and some, leaving families worse off. Have wages really increased in terms of buying power? Boomers could buy a house after a few years in the workforce and pay for college with a summer job.  I think the official inflation statistics are masked by the constant improvement of technology making lots of goods cheaper, sure TV's are much much cheaper than in 1980 but the staples to have a middle class life (house, car, and now college education) have skyrocketed and left people worse off. 

 I think economists make the issue a lot more complicated than it is, when supply goes down price goes up and it really is that simple. After the black death, wages and working conditions went way up for the surviving peasants because there were fewer of them left. 

That is what happened in the late 1960s after the end of the bracero guest worker visa program. In other words, restricting immigration did not raise the wages of low-skilled native workers; the work was automated instead. Another thing that happened was that low-skilled workers shifted industries which arguably grew the economy in other areas. 
Would that be such a bad thing? Those jobs are going to be automated eventually anyway, and what then for the class of people relying upon them?

It's disheartening that  I'm the only person here to outright refute the idiotic idea that "immigrants don't assimilate." They do and their children definitely do.  
Oh assimilation absolutely happens. But it happens both ways. You bring in millions of people from a different culture, eventually the two groups become indistinguishable but the original group also moves in the direction of the immigrant group, and emerges a changed culture. This is why the idea that immigration doesn't result in massive cultural change is just ridiculous, it has to. This can also be good or bad depending on the culture in question, but I don't think most people are ready to have that discussion. Mexicans are awesome, but do I want my culture to move in the direction of Afghan culture? Uhh, not really no. 
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Immigration
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@Danielle
I'm disappointed that you didn't expand on how those who "hate people like you have been openly enthusiastic about using immigration as a bludgeon against you for your entire life." Understanding the visceral pushback would help to elucidate your values. 
I deliberately avoided it because it goes into some personal hang ups that I've pretty much discarded by now, and which I don't think are that relevant. But basically I simply cannot stand by the anti-white/culture war stuff. When elite progressives giddily talk about making white people into a minority or how much they hate "White men" I dislike it, but what makes me hate it is that I know who they're talking about. They aren't talking about themselves or other white people who live in big cities and go to Sunday brunch or whatever, they're talking about how much they hate a different group: middle American whites, particularly in the South and particularly ones that come from the working class and hold conservative values. Well, this is the group I am a part of, through no fault of my own. The people I love are a part of this group...And when I see immigrants or second generations who parrot these narratives (because assimilation) I see people deputized in a culture war against people like me.

I think a part of it is that despite loving to argue online I guess in person I come off as super agreeable (I used to think I came off as super liberal  because libs would always open up to me but recently random conspira-boomers at the airport have been approaching me to talk about JFK and 9/11 lol.) So people have always been way too open and honest with me, and have said some truly vile things about poor whites, or people in places like Alabama, or conservatives. And against other groups. There is just so much hatred, and it really scared me. It still does. And it does make me question how wise diversity in a society is. There are also some personal experiences I've had that I don't really want to go into. Is that a mature reason to take a policy position, no. And I do think I've totally discarded those, and shouldn't have even mentioned it in my post. But since you ask, that's what was driving the intensity of my opposition to immigration during Trump's first run

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America's 2 main religions
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@TheUnderdog
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Ideas that I don't like
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@spacetime
Yup. There's only so much the school can do when parents refuse to raise their kids properly. Doesn't matter how well-paid the teachers are, or how well-designed the curriculum is. It sucks to admit as a policy wonk, but some problems really are entirely cultural and out of the government's hands. 
This is the one thing wonks don't want to hear, but it's just the truth. A lot of politics is downstream of culture, and that can take generations to change.

Smart people generally make smart decisions because those are the right decisions to make, but people who aren't so fortunate or educated sometimes need some nudging. Life was never easy for the poor, but the old cultural norms of shaming parents to be into getting married, encouraging going to church every week where people are told basically to be a good person or they'll suffer, and shaming men for not working when they have the opportunity, and those jobs actually being out there, nudged a lot of people in the right direction. We can see just how dysfunctional life got for a lot of people on the lower end of the economic spectrum when those norms went away. Western thought and political leaders have a lot to answer for imo, and generations of damage can't be fixed simply by adding more money to the schools
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Ideas that I don't like
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@Benjamin
1) "Lets reform education." --- First of, make education fair. Simply living in a poor neighbourhood should not be reason for your school to lack necesary funding. Second, college tuitions should not put you in dangerous levels of debt and college should focus on teaching skills that actually are valuable in the workplace rather than purely academics and politics. Throughout the education process, at least untill high school, standardized testing and excessive homework should be abolished. These make children stressed and worsen their life quality while providing no concrete benefit. Having time for sleep, social life, recreational activities and resting is far more important and benefitial for students. We haven't changed the school system much since it was invented. If we want to reform it we will have to revise the way school works while utilizing new scientific findings about mental health in particular and learning generally.
This kind of proves TheUnderdog's point, though. It's easy to say "let's make education fair" but a lot harder in practice. As Wylted pointed out, a lot of school districts with large numbers of poor students aren't actually that poorly funded at all. I know a few people who work with low-income students and what burns them out isn't a lack of funding, but having to deal day in and day out with the constant dysfunction that is life for poor people, which the overwhelmingly middle class people who become teachers have no idea how to deal with. Parents who don't give a shit, parents who are totally absent, parents who get aggressive and violent, kids disappearing for days at a time, physically violent kids who beat up others or hit teachers, kids coming to school with holes in their shoes or an empty stomach, kids who won't pay attention and cuss out teachers, the heart break of seeing a kid who you know has potential, who you try your best to help, but who you know in your heart just isn't going to make it and break out of the cycle of poverty...it just goes on and on. These kids would obviously be better off if they were able to go to a school district with middle class or rich kids, but that also has significant costs. That happened to my school district after Hurricane Katrina, and the kids they brought in were excessively cruel, immediately started bullying other students, and just generally caused a lot of problems. I'm sure it was good for them overall, but it wasn't fair to us. 

There are some places where the schools are truly underfunded and teachers get paid ridiculously low salaries but the fact that these problems exist even where there is adequate funding proves that it isn't a simple issue. Teachers in Detroit make like $45-70k a year, which given the low cost of living of the area is extremely good. And the funding per student is higher than where I went to school, where the top 25% of students were graduating with 8-12 AP classes under their belt. Ultimately the quality of the school is dictated by the quality of the students, and that fact is always going to be unfair to the poor students who are willing and able to learn. We could do a better job of identifying these students, but it's a bit politically toxic due to the ruckus it would cause when one persons child gets to go to the rich school while others can't. I personally would just do it anyway but the American leadership class isn't well known for it's abundance of backbone and willingness to acknowledge and deal with hard truths.

College tuition is out of control, but a big part of the reason it's out of control is because of unintended consequences of policies designed to make it more affordable. Student loans came into existence to help kids who didn't have the cash afford tuition, and as a result colleges eventually came to gobble up as much as the bank would loan the students. I agree with you about homework being largely unnecessary and a waste of time though, with the exception of math. That is something that does seem rather simple to fix. I agree that it's ridiculous that kids come out of TWELVE YEARS of mandatory education and have zero marketable skills, but it really isn't that simple to give them marketable skills...any field that is taught at scale is going to become saturated extremely quickly. The only developed country I've seen that effectively reckons with this issue is Germany
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Debate me!
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@Tejretics
You should read this thread, I would be interested in a neoliberal perspective on this as I think the global fertility decline throws some unexpected road blocks to a lot of the policies supported by “the establishment” https://www.debateart.com/forum/topics/7083-the-political-consequences-of-low-birthrates
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2022 midterm predictions
Whats everyone think now? I’ve changed my prediction to 53 GOP senate seats and 235 house seats 
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Matt Walsh on Dr Phil.
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@Bones
The fact that they can't define what a woman is is quite damning, but not a surprise. This goes back to what I've noted in other posts, that the fundamental impulse that drives leftist politics is the desire to free mankind from all social constraints and obligations not chosen. Problem is if you take it to it's logical conclusion nothing can have meaning. There cannot be a definition for something even as fundamental as "woman" because we all get to define that for ourselves. You can see that in this video, where the activists say "well being a woman is something someone can define for themselves". In other words it has no meaning. Compare this to Walsh who can define a woman easily, because his ideology is ultimately grounded in the physical world and not the head. Honestly conservatives should be really embarrassed that they are losing on this issue (and they are) 

The trans stuff is tough because I always want to be nice and not hurt peoples feelings. And my impulse is always to let people do what they want. But sometimes the truth is harsh. The truth is, if you are a male trying to transition into a woman, you will never pass. You will never get a man of any merit to love or marry you. Your penis will never become a vagina, the "transition surgery" instead makes it become a festering wound that your body desperately wants to heal. If you're a female who wants to transition to a male I assure you that you haven't thought it through. Whatever you're going through right now will not be made better by becoming a tiny man with elf hands, a high pitched voice, and no dick.

When this stuff was confined to a few eccentric but ultimately harmless male to female "drag queen" types, I don't really have a problem with it. But this ideology is being pushed onto kids, and it's having an impact. The percentage of teenagers who identify as trans has reached upwards of 3% depending on the study. How many of them go through hormonal treatment or surgery I don't know, but even one is too much. People are always better dealing with reality as it is rather than what they wished it to be.
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Ron DeSantis should be kissing Trump’s ass
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@Double_R
Would you prefer Trump of DeSantis as the Republican nominee?
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Is anyone in contact with zaradi/does he lurk here
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@Wylted
He owes me some Raisor Rubles 
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Is anyone in contact with zaradi/does he lurk here
If so tell him to get in touch with me
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Scamdemic
I think the only anti vaxx point that has merit is the myocarditis risk for young men under the age of 30, especially with the Moderna vaccine. Several countries have halted use of that vaccine on young men citing the risk, so I am planning to avoid that one in the future. “Are the vaccines good on the whole” is the easiest question in the history of data analysis 

That said I’m totally against the mandates, people should be allowed to have weird opinions and the penalty of losing your job is way out of line for the “crime”. And there really is a (very) small portion of people (very young, recently recovered from infection, and fit) where the vaccine probably is a net negative for their health, even if the risk is small forcing them to get something that is bad for their health is very unjust. I happen to be in that camp and I had a TERRIBLE reaction to my initial vaccination so I’m really hoping my work isn’t going to force me to get a booster 
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