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@Double_R
That just seems disingenuous to me. When was the last time you agreed with the government’s position but disagreed with its implementation because of which government was enforcing it? It just feels like an [insert argument here] approach rather than an honest defense of ones position.
That would be disingenuous unless federalism was truly their most important issue. But the idea is that no peoples opinions wouldn’t change, but decisions being made as locally as possible minimizes the risk that someone will have to live under laws they don’t agree with. It doesn’t eliminate it but it does improve the odds
I’m fully aware of how difficult that is in a massive continent spanning multi ethnic empire but I think at least some devolution of power back to the states could happen and it would lessen political conflict. Like I understand why New Yorkers don’t want their laws written by rural Midwesterners or southern suburbanites or Vice versa. It’s such a different culture, lifestyle and issues…they really have very little to do with one another. If I could change the way the US runs I would try to return a lot of power to the states (abortion is a great example because the differences are pretty much irreconcilable.) I do truly believe local autonomy is the only way to competently govern a far flung massive and multi ethnic empire
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@Double_R
It’s just a lot easier to be the opposition than it is to govern, and really isn’t more complicated than that. There are some incompetent moves to be sure (Schumer forcing his members up for election to take a tough vote over a bill that’s dead on arrival, Republicans trying to repeal Obamacare without a plan.) But for the most part it just comes down to if you’re in power you have to manage your coalition, make compromises, take responsibility for stuff that’s happening, and if you’re out of power you can just say no. Ultimately politicians are very skilled at getting re elected and not that talented at much else
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It’s a recognition of concentric circles of identity. I have more in common with my friends and family than I do my local community, more with my local community than with my state, more with my state than with my country, more with my country than with other countries.
An imposition from the federal government actually is materially worse than one from a state government because it’s more likely to be out of line with the mores and culture of the people
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If two forces were exercised by one man (in committing a prohibited act), should both parts of the act be accounted to the same, so that he should be declared culpable, or should each part of the act be considered separately, as if there were two individuals concerned, and then he is free?
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@Danielle
But immigration IS the way things are - there has been non-stop immigration in perpetuity to the U.S. for the last 500+ years. I do appreciate the honesty of this position though I disagree that it's valid. It's the appeal to tradition fallacy.
This isn't actually the case. There was almost zero immigration to the US between the revolution and the civil war, which was followed by the big immigration wave everyone remembers in the 1870s-1910s from Southern and Eastern Europe. Then after the 1920s there was virtually no immigration for almost a half century, the current immigration wave didn't really pick up until the late 1970s.
Its not a logical fallacy because I'm not making an objective claim, but rather a claim about how I, and many others, would like things. We all have the right to vote after all and should have a say in our local communities. As an aside, despite understanding why they did it, I think allowing totally unrestricted travel between the states was a huge mistake from the founding fathers. If states could control their own border policies immigration policy wouldn't be a problem at all because people would be able to choose
I can accept the other relevant factors people mention (like culture); however, people never seem to want to address the immorality of what happens when people are NOT allowed to immigrate legally in tandem with the other factors that they do want to discuss. I'm not only talking about the poverty or danger people are relegated to just by the very nature of where they're born, but also the fact that enforcing immigration laws is often brutal and inhumane. We all saw the pictures of Haitians being rounded up by agents on horseback like cattle. Yesterday a 7 year old Venezuelan girl drowned in the Rio Grande as she was attempting to cross into Del Rio with her mother. The mother lost her grip and the child was swept away. These are things to consider in the complexity of the discussion as a whole.
But that happened because they felt that if they could just make it here they would be allowed to stay and become citizens. Migrants make the dangerous journey BECAUSE of the perception of open borders, not because of a strong border policy.
The current "labor shortage" is more about not having enough people willing to work certain jobs for certain wages because they have more options and opportunity (but notice how nobody's talking about low unemployment and rising wages under Biden like they were for Trump). Your local Taco Bell might be staffed by white teens, and that's great, but there are plenty of memes, angry Facebook posts and data from the Dept of Labor showing a lot of jobs simply aren't being filled. I've had bad experiences from staff shortages.
They could always raise wages. If an immigrant would work a job for a wage a native born citizen wouldn't doesn't that proof that immigration negatively impacts wages? If they won't ameliorate the labor shortage by working for the low wages being offered, what's the point?
This kind of goes back to the birth rate thing in my other thread too. There simply isn't going to be a never ending supply of cheap labor forever, immigration or no. It's not 1990 anymore and the number of people willing to totally upend their lives and leave everything they've ever known behind to work at Pizza Hut continues to dwindle by the year. May as well just get used to it and focus on building a technological economy that doesn't require never ending streams of cheap labor. Raise wages where you can and automate the rest. I always hear about "who will pick the crops??" if we don't have illegal immigration...machines will!
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@Danielle
That is an interesting thought. I can't even imagine how dramatically different the world is going to be in general in like 5 decades.
Yeah I don't either. But I think that's why I like this subject so much, as dry and strange as it is, because it is kind of like peering into a crystal ball. I don't know exactly what the future holds, but I do know that there are gonna be some serious problems if countries with super low fertility if they don't get control of this very soon. China's TFR right now is 1.1. Assuming they dont practice sex selective abortion (and they do...) that is roughly
100 grandparents
55 children
30 grandchildren
South Korea is .92
100 grandparents
46 children
21 grandchildren
That's just collapse. They are gonna have to find some way to pull those numbers up but no one has figured it out yet. Whereas western societies outside of Spain and Italy have mostly settled on 1.5-1.8ish where it's a more graceful and slow population decline and you actually can plug at least a few holes with immigration.
They are very insular and help each other to a degree, but a lot of them are actually on welfare. It's unclear how much of the welfare is really needed. A lot of people suspect they are just exploiting government services which could be antisemitism... ya know, the whole "Jews are super cheap" trope... but there is also evidence of it.
I've heard this too, which is part of what makes me a little skeptical of the "breeder cults will overtake us all" narrative I have heard in some places. They all seem to be taking advantage of cracks in the system, welfare, or the Amish moving in on rapidly depopulating rural areas, and of course all of them being protected by a military superpower that only stays on top because it DOESNT practice their traditional lifestyle. It just isn't the kind of thing that scales (in my opinion) so all of these groups are gonna hit a wall eventually, but the question is when and how many of them there will be when that happens
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@oromagi
There were multiple Essene prophets before Christ. The most famous is John the Baptist. Multiple early Christian-like cults worshipped John as the Messiah and lasted through the second century. One small group called the Mandeans continue to worship John as the Messiah today. Josephus does document John's beheading by Herod although he does not specifically identify John as a Messiah claimant or any interactions with a Messiah named Jesus. John's baptism of Jesus is almost certainly a second century artifact written to combine the followers of John and the remaining Essenes into a Christian tradition.
Hold the phone, so John the Baptist is a real person, but "the consensus of global history, anthropology, theology, and science" is that Jesus was not a historical person? The reality is that the consensus is the exact opposite, that's all I'm saying. What you're saying about John the Baptist isn't really true, there is no evidence that John the Baptist was viewed as the Messiah prior to Jesus but it's besides the point really.
So, very like Jesus we know that there were multiple contemporaneous biographies claiming the same name and role but we have no hard evidence for a single individual biography suggesting preferment. Like Jesus, many contradicting traditions and claims arose in the centuries after. Like Pontius Pilate, we know that some of the Govt officials mentioned in the text were real and contemporary. Like the disciples, contemporary individuals with names like Will Scarlett do appear in church records and census data around Nottingham. Sounds very analogous to me. I guess I'm not surprised that if that this is a question of faith for you that you might weigh the evidence with a different scale than I but I think it is very reasonable to assert these two cases as analogous- and, as I say, the one that doesn't involve faith gets called fiction without much controversy. Personally, I don't find much fault in applying the same perspective to an analogous character in an analogous body of literature.
You're right that historians should apply the same methods to both of these stories, but you are completely wrong about the weight of the evidence in each. Robin Hood is a good example of a story that could be entirely made up. No established time period, mentions popping up all over the place in extremely contradictory manners, no other characters in the stories whose existence can be corroborated...compare this to the story of Jesus, where we know the exact time and place, the existence of characters who appear in the stories such as Pontius Pilate and the Disciples can be independently verified, and the behavior of the contemporaneous people indicates that the person surrounding the stories was real. We do NOT know who the "Sherriff of Nottingham" was (that is a generic office, not a person) but we do know that Pontius Pilate was the governor of Judea at the time of the crucifixion. It just doesn't make sense that a cult would be started around a person who never existed, with the major storyline (his crucifixion) being something made up that the original population people were trying to convert would have been able to see with their own eyes, and that the Disciples who would knowingly be making this story up would be willing to die rather than recant. On the other hand it DOES make sense for peasants to make up a story about a cool outlaw who makes a fool out of the corrupt local establishment, and keep adding to the legend as the years go on. This is why historians overwhelmingly believe that there was a person named Jesus who was crucified, whereas Robin Hood is pretty much an unknown.
Which takes us back to the question of religious testing for Congresspersons. The first sentence of the First Amendment prohibits Congress from respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof. Since Crenshaw is prohibited by the Constitution from promoting Christianity publicly do you think its appropriate for constituents to demand such unconstitutional demonstrations? Do you think its appropriate for Citizens to be teaching 10 year old girls such unconstitutional practices?
That has nothing to do with voters, it has to do with the state. A voter can choose not to vote for anyone who isn't a Christian if they want to
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@Vader
I almost didn’t vote for Airmax even though I think he’s the right candidate because I didn’t like how he parachuted in for a presidential election despite neglecting the site for 3 years. If it weren’t for the old DDO members 3RUT7L would have won, I really hope they stick around. They do need to lay of RM though who has been a long term fixture of the site
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We shall inseminate it with artificial growth via ad spam and embrace the Chinese bit coin market to generate revenue to help this site flourish.
I think sometimes about how we would all have a lot more money if some sperg had been shilling Bitcoin on DDO in 2011. Imagine getting like a few btc (at the time worth a few dollars) for winning a voting competition or something
Also, I look forward to working with President-Elect Airmax1227. However our campaign disavows your comments about RationalMadman
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the results percentage wise split 58%-40% with TheHammer taking 2%. That’s pretty close compared to most elections on DDO that I recall
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@ResurgetExFavilla
Thanks but I didn’t notice your vote
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To all the members of DART, I am humbled and honored to unanimously be elected Vice President of this website. It’s a role that I have experience in on DDO, and I intend to do just as good a job here. I look forward to working with my esteemed colleague, our President-Elect Airmax1227 to restore this website to greatness.
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@oromagi
So we agree that no hard evidence exists. We can also agree that its rational to suppose that Christ existed. My point is that in the absence of such evidence how can you fault an individual for claiming fiction?
Because it's not reasonable to demand "hard evidence" for the existence of a historical person, while excluding historical texts and context. That same standard would exclude many (most?) important historical figures. The consensus is overwhelming for a reason, and is in fact the exact opposite of what you claimed
Josephus, the best historian closest to events, documents some fifty Jesus like figures claiming prophetic status in the decades contemporaneous with Christ's hypothesized lifetime
This is not an argument that Jesus wasn't a historical person, its an argument against his divinity. But this is the first I'm hearing of this, a cursory Google search doesn't reveal messiah claimants BEFORE Jesus. On Josephus:
"Several military leaders lived in the 1st century, including Judas of Galilee, Theudas, Simon of Peraea, and Athronges, all of whom are only documented by Josephus in surviving accounts. None of them were explicitly stated to have been thought of as a Messiah, but some scholars make this as an inference" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Jewish_messiah_claimants
and reading the Gnostic gospels pretty clearly demonstrates that more than one biography was recorded as Gospel by scattered and diverse Christian communities in the first century and slowly edited down to a single biography by the fourth century. While it is very reasonable to suppose that at least one Jesus-like figure claimed Messiah in the first century, the biography laid out in the bible seems to be a restless and inconsistent amalgamation.
Not really. I am not at all an expert on the Gospels but they are pretty clearly referencing the same person and the same events, with some minor differences.
We know that there were multiple real biographies that claimed to be Robin Hood during John I's reign but we also know that Sir Walter Scott condensed and wove those stories into the popular re-telling we have no problem calling fiction today.
Source? Robin Hood was a fascination of mine a few years ago, and my research revealed the EXACT OPPOSITE. There is no strong contender for who the historical Robin Hood would have been or the exact time period where he supposedly operated. The same goes for other characters in the stories such as Little John or the Sheriff of Nottingham, whereas we know (as much as we can "know" anything about ancient history) that Pontius Pilate and the Disciples really existed. Because I put a lot of stock in oral tradition I believe that Robin Hood and his merry men existed in at least some capacity, but the evidence for it is soooooo much weaker than for Jesus despite England being notorious for record keeping, and the alleged events being literally 1000+ years closer to today
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Historians have dismissed oral traditions out of hand for the last few centuries because written sources are obviously much better. But there’s a shocking degree of stability in certain narratives that report ancient events that we know happened. Irish oral traditions that were finally written down in the 18th century reported on astronomical events we now know happened over a thousand years in the past, and made some historical claims that were proven later such as there being a large (for the time) road through a certain region that was later unearthed in a bog. The Australian Aboriginal oral traditions included references to a land bridge between Australia and Papua New Guinea that flooded thousands of years ago, as well as memories of megafauna that went extinct in the distant past.
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It doesn’t make sense to believe that Jesus was a purely ahistorical figure like Odysseus
I personally believe there was a historical Odysseus and that the events of the Trojan War did happen although not as described but that’s besides the point. The accuracy of oral traditions is an extremely interesting subject, but when it comes to Jesus we have written sources
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@oromagi
What hard evidence would you expect from someone who died over 2000 years ago? A body? The location of Alexander the Greats body is unknown but there’s no doubt among historians that he existed. I would encourage you to read the Wikipedia article on this subject, which is very even handed but makes it clear that the historical consensus is that there was a real person named Jesus who was crucified by Pontius Pilate https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historicity_of_Jesus
It doesn’t make sense to believe that Jesus was a purely ahistorical figure like Odysseus because the early Christian church did not start as a cult around oral traditions thousands of years old, but rather began immediately upon his reported death and began evangelizing among people who would’ve been eyewitnesses to his life and crucifixion. If you’re going to completely make something up you aren’t going to include fake events that the population you’re trying to convert would have been there to see had they happened.
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@oromagi
- Let's remember that when Dan Crenshaw says that Jesus is a fictional character he is reflecting the consensus of global history, anthropology, theology, and science: No hard evidence exists proving Jesus Christ's existence as a man on Earth in history. So, let's take a deep breath and remind ourselves that Crenshaw is the only one speaking the well-established American wisdom to that girl and all the haters are mad because Crenshaw didn't assert a non-fact as a fact to a young child in the audience.
This isn’t true at all, historians *overwhelmingly* believe that Jesus was a real person. There are some who believe that the entire persona was a myth but that is very much a minority position.
Since both Muslims and Christians, together making up around 60% of the world population, believe in Jesus I don’t think the consensus of theology is that Jesus never existed. Science doesn’t have anything to do with it at all
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LMAO he got owned by that pushy evangelical girl. That’s an archetype I’ve almost completely forgotten about…reminds me of growing up in Texas in the 2000s
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@ResurgetExFavilla
With one child per couple, both families absolutely poured resources into that child. Instrument lessons, best schools, huge pressure to succeed, huge investment in that child starting a family. Now it's seen as shameful to not offer that level of support, and this makes people less likely to have kids because they can't afford it.
You hit the nail on the head. This is my exact theory for why birth rates have fallen to such an extent. Once people decouple sex from children and it becomes purely a choice there is little reason to have more than two kids because of the large amount of work and time and money required to raise them and the fact that the children themselves benefit from a concentration of resources. China did make a huge mistake with the one child policy, while their birth rate would’ve steeply fallen anyway maybe it would’ve been more like Japan which is around 1.4. 1.1 is just apocalyptic. The only saving grace for China as a power is that it isn’t a democracy so they can throw their masses of old people under the bus 30 years from now because they have no recourse
American expectations about child rearing aren’t quite as extreme as Chinas but it’s definitely an expectation in middle class circles that each kid has their own room. Don’t really know why. I grew up in a pretty small house and I was only ever in my room to sleep.
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If I’m being perfectly honest most of my intense opposition to immigration has always come from the viewpoint that people who I know for a fact have an intense hatred of people like me have been openly enthusiastic about using immigration as a bludgeon against us for my entire life. In reality it’s a far more complicated than that, as immigrants are people with their own goals and viewpoints and little interest in being a mere tool in someone else’s culture war. So I don’t really think of it that way anymore, but I know a lot of people do (even if they don’t realize it themselves)
My position now is basically that actual culture comes from stability, and mass immigration necessarily upends that stability and remakes the culture into something else. “I like things the way they are” is a perfectly valid reason to oppose the mass movements of peoples and it’s essentially my reasoning. I also don’t think it’s as simple as saying immigration is good and or bad for the economy because there are different kinds of immigrants. The 145 IQ Silicon Valley engineer from Bangladesh obviously contributes a great deal to the economy, but that isn’t at all the same situation as a day laborer who doesn’t speak English, who brings his wife and three kids along who all get on welfare in a couple of years.
A solution for potential manual labor shortage is a guest worker program that’s actually enforced (ie the workers *actually* leave after a year or two and don’t bring their families along.) If we need workers and people want to come and send money back to their families that’s fine.
That said, I’ve always been skeptical of the narrative that Americans can’t do the job, though. The unemployment rate is low partly because the labor force participation is far below the historical norm. There are parts of the country where there are hardly any immigrants and fields that are immigrant dominated in other parts of the country still get done. Where I live now has tons of immigrants but I guess the few miles around me doesn’t because all the fast food restaurants and stores are staffed by white teenagers, which is something I was told wasn’t possible. We really should try harder with our existing population before bemoaning a labor shortage
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@Danielle
We could always make immigration easier if we're concerned with not having enough people to live or work here. The irony (against the Republican argument that Dems want more immigration for votes) is that most immigrants are socially conservative and hostile to socialism.
That's an option right now, although for how much longer I don't know. One thing I've noticed in my research into this stuff is that the conventional wisdom is about a decade or more behind usually. There was a large fall in fertility throughout most of the world after 2010 that accelerated rapidly after 2015 for some reason. These days a lot of Latin America has birth rates not that far off European countries, China has totally crashed, India is at replacement level, the Arab world is starting to crack, etc. And the long term trend all over the world is development and places getting richer which lowers the incentive to migrate. Its possible birth rates go back up but it seems doubtful since this is a trend happening literally everywhere and over a very long period of time.
I think 20-30 years from now countries will be competing for productive immigrants, and they increasingly just won't be there. If that actually happens it's going to be very interesting because I don't think we've seen an environment like that ever
I could see that. There are more Jews here than in Tel Aviv. More than one in four Brooklyn residents is Jewish. Most are Orthodox which tend to vote Republican. An interesting trend indeed.
Do you happen to have any idea how they manage to have so many kids in such a high cost of living area? Do they pool a lot of resources, or stack bunk beds in their apartments?
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The numbers from China came out: births were down 12% from 2020 to 10.6 million. People are estimating that the TFR has fallen to around 1.15. This is lower than Japan was at its lowest. Also new marriages, which are strongly correlated with births in a country like China, fell 5% so it’ll probably decline even further next year. I’ve heard that property in many parts of China, relative to income, is even more expensive than the Bay Area in the US, so if that’s true it makes sense
It’s crazy that China is so gigantic that even with a record low birth rates there were still more Chinese babies born in a single year than the entire population of a country like Sweden
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@Earth
@Lunatic
Did you get better than her?
No, no, no. Your asking the wrong question. The real question is: "Did he get the girl?"
The answer to both is: no!
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@badger
Was in debate class in high school and the girl I liked was much better than I was, so I joined to practice over the summer in the hopes of impressing her with my newfound skills when we came back to school. Yes, I seriously thought that would work lol
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@badger
You must reproduce. You have POWERFUL genes (proof: able to post online and not be a loser)
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@badger
That’s for sure, and part of the “humans as cogs in a great machine” mindset is moving people to wherever they’ll be most economically productive
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@badger
I remember you told me a story once upon a time about your old neighbourhood being rolled over by an immigrant wave. I genuinely felt for you then and I think any politics that doesn't never knew a home itself. I think the right makes more sense than the left really. Some of it touches on racist sentiment, but why shouldn't it. It's a hyper-individualistic world. One side would make their politics around coddling some group of people. The other side knows nothing of this group, resents being made out the bad guy, sees gangster rap and gang violence. Politics of resentment, it makes sense. I'm not saying that's yours. Yours is definitely a fuller politics. But those are my ideas of the American right.There's one part of the left then that's a politics of the plenty. I think you and Double_R are both good dudes. His politics wouldn't deprive anyone of anything he has. Yours knows it's not so simple as that. I would say that's the entire difference between you.There's more of the left though. I really don't even know where to start haha. There's something suicidal there. I had ideas about it before, but I can't properly remember them. Maybe I'll come back to you.
The roots of leftism come from enlightenment philosophy, empiricism, etc and for this reason they miss the fact that a lot of human behavior is pre-rational.
I remember seeing some leftist e-celeb (I think it was Vaush but not sure) talking about how monogamy is bad, and how it's just motivated by sexual jealousy and insecurity and such. And to some extent that's true but like...human beings have been largely monogamous for an incredibly long time. Thousands of years, at least, and outside of a handful of exceptions this is a norm that evolved independently almost everywhere. Because monogamous norms address those feelings of sexual jealousy and allow people to focus on other things, like civilization instead of fighting over mates. At some point a lot of leftist arguments come off to me as just saying "oh, wouldn't it be grand if we weren't human beings, and were instead beings of pure reason?"
The immigration stuff is the same way. People aren't just cogs in a machine, real cultural differences (IE actual human diversity) only comes through stability and separation. I remember when I was a kid I loved learning about different cultures, how they would dress, the unique things they would eat, their beliefs and rituals and languages...I was totally dismayed to learn that almost everywhere that's dying. You can look at pictures or read stories from the 1800s and it's all these fascinating cultures with unique architecture and clothing, with interesting beliefs and ways of looking at the world. Now it's slowly evolving into a big monoculture. I had a friend who spent years studying German to the point he was pretty much fluent, and when he went to Germany as soon as he would open his mouth with his accented German the Germans would immediately just switch to English. I think that really says it all.
It's inevitable to some extent with technology and trade and all that which have brought more good than harm. But there's definitely something to be mourned there. I think people should take more pride in their ancestry and culture. This should unironically be happening everywhere: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanfu_Movement
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I have a take that will bother both sides:
The J6 protestors/rioters who were arrested are being subjected to cruel and appalling treatment in prison, totally out of line with the crimes committed and in violation of the states obligation to treat people with basic decency
This is true for almost all prisons/prisoners in the US, there is a lot of unnecessary cruelty and disgusting conditions
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@Wylted
Uncle Ted in his manifesto explained this quite well. When liberals protest it is out of a sense of emptiness they need to fulfill. Ted explains it better, but their activism is not because they even believe in their own cause, but as an attempt to feel important and worthy. I don't know his opinion On right wing activists.
“My opponents are weak and insecure people who resent the strong and the beautiful based on their own inferiority complex” is a nice story. Maybe a little too nice. While I think his analysis is 1000% on the money when it comes to the type of people who are in antifa or something like that it misses the mark when it comes to normal libs, who are a majority
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Immigration won’t solve anything long term since this is happening almost everywhere
2021 TFR's of countries that have sent lots of immigrants to the US over the past half century
Mexico: 1.7
China: ~1.1 (the official numbers are LIES!)
India: 2.1
All dropping like a stone. All of Central America also dropping like a rock...in most of these places it has dropped so rapidly that the numbers you get on Google, derived from statistics a few years ago, are no longer accurate.
Birth rates in North Africa and the Middle East, which have sent lots of immigrants to Europe, have also totally crashed. The last bastion of pre-fertility transition birth rates is sub-Saharan Africa and even there they are dropping. I know it seems totally crazy right now with the US going through a massive border crisis, Belarus using refugees as a weapon against the EU etc, but in a few decades there just aren't going to be that many places left to source immigrants from, especially as the rest of the world develops. It aint 1990 anymore. Even if you see no cultural or economic issue with immigration it isn't going to fix things, these countries are still going to depopulate
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@ResurgetExFavilla
The magical castration stuff is especially bonkers, and is a perfect example of footbinding-esque mass medical malpractice that will be looked back on with complete bewilderment centuries in the future. Aside from that festering boil called England and, strangely enough, Iran, I think most people in the rest of the world are completely bemused/horrified by it.
I don't know exactly what the future holds, but I do know that it includes universal condemnation of cutting off a mentally ill 14 year old girls breasts in the pursuit of something that isn't possible
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@badger
So my idea is that a culture of politics plus some few real and contentious issues fosters in people a practised affront and which is then a doorway to all sorts of silly shit.
I definitely agree. You can see this clearly based on the intensity of the discussion. People have called this the “culture war.” If we’re discussing a non culture war coded issue, like some boring tax policy, a rational discussion can occur. But if we’re discussing something extremely culture war coded like Black Lives Matter or immigration or something people bow up to defend their “side.”
I’ve actually been trying to figure out now for a while what causes people to pick a specific “side” to begin with and I’ve pretty much got nothing, other than some inherent personality differences
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@Greyparrot
The confluence of businesses wanting cheaper labor, midwit bureaucratic types who think people are just fungible cogs in a machine, and people motivated by resentment to the majority population are the factors that motivate the intense support of immigration from the left. Only the middle portion has anything to do with birthrates…their position is by far the most defensible, though
Immigration won’t solve anything long term since this is happening almost everywhere
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@Greyparrot
No, pretty much only online weirdos think about this stuff. They did that because the leftist zeitgeist is slowly coming around to supporting fully open borders
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Birthrate of 1.2 held over time is roughly
100 grandparents
60 children
36 grandchildren
100 grandparents
60 children
36 grandchildren
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What I really wonder about geopolitically are countries who have had their birth rates crash before they got rich and industrialized. A technological wonderland like South Korea may be able to weather the storm. But a country like Thailand, whose TFR has been low for a while and dropped like a rock the past five years (now ~1.2!!!) is going to get old before it gets rich. Maybe peoples of the future won’t want to expand because the birthrate is crashing everywhere. They’d better hope so. It’s hard to see how a country like that doesn’t get rolled over sooner or later if not
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@Danielle
I think that's a great point and huge cause for concern. I do wish there was more fact checking in the other direction.
I don't have a lot more to say, then. I'm not *against* regulating big tech, but it also seems like the kind of thing that could easily backfire. After all, the people running the administrative state are generally going to be more zealous in their pursuit of ideology than the people running tech companies that are at least subject to profit motives. Do I want to give the administrative state even MORE power? With correctly written laws, maybe. Do I trust conservatives to make rules without planet sized holes in them...not really. So I don't know. But I think the behavior of big tech is certainly worthy of moral condemnation.
One last thing I'll bring up to help illustrate to you where the other side is coming from...imagine if we lived in a super Catholic country, the church and state are still separate but 95% of the population are devout Catholics, go to church every Sunday, and are super homophobic. And as a result, because of your sexuality, it's really really hard for you to find a job, and if you get found out there's a good chance you would be fired. The government isn't involved in that scenario at all, but I dont think that could be described as "freedom" in any meaningful sense. At some point "well, at least it isnt the government" is scant consolation. Not saying that being banned from a website is anywhere near as bad as being unable to make a living due to an immutable characteristic. But human liberty does require some government intervention! Where to draw the line, IDK!
Idk if regulation is the answer. Maybe there has to be a cultural change first. I know that if I were writing a law/regulation there's a good chance I would just make things worse. But I also don't think we should pretend that entire legitimate viewpoints being disallowed from being discussed on the platforms that are necessary to communicate with an audience of any reasonable size is a state of affairs we should just accept
I get that, but I still have to adamantly point out that social sites aren't even close to being monopolies. Your kids probably won't use Facebook - they'll have long moved on to something else.
They aren't individually a monopoly, but if the entire industry decides to censor certain viewpoints there's little difference, but your point is taken.
Also if I have my way they won't use social media at all lol. I think it's incredibly toxic, especially to young people. But I also don't want to make them pariahs...
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Since I last posted a poll, Wyled and RM dropped out, and TheHammer jumped in. Please vote in the following poll which will be my last one until the actual election: https://strawpoll.com/ed1dq36y3
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@ResurgetExFavilla
Very true. Speaking of China, they are about to admit that they’ve been lying about their birthrate for the past decade or so. It’s not the 1.7 they claim it is much much lower (about 1.1) and their population has already started to decline
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this is the post I just made on the last page:
Working to confirm this but I just saw some numbers that in the 1880s and 1890s the white birthrate was only at 3.5-4 while the black birthrate was around 7. It’s difficult to believe that there could be such an extreme differential in birthrates prior to reliable contraception existing. But it’s corroborated by the black % of the population staying roughly the same despite massive immigration post civil war that was almost all European, the highest per capita ever.
If true that explains a lot about the politics of the era. Anglo whites must have lost their numerical majority incredibly quickly after the civil war, even quicker than I thought. The massive political upheavals of the late 19th and early 20th centuries (now mostly forgotten) and the nadir of race relations (now being remembered again) taking place at the same time makes more sense in the context of a forgotten demographic change that at the time would’ve seemed quite consequential.
In school the late 19th-very early 20th century was taught to us mostly as an era of reform and invention, with the populist movement, regulations on food and safety, cars, lightbulbs, and airplanes. Kids these days are also learning about the massive race riots, political violence, and lynchings that took place at the same time. Doesn't make a lot of sense how both of these elements could exist in the same society at the same time, but a massive yet completely forgotten demographic change taking place concurrently helps explain it imo. Would also explain why the early KKK was so militantly anti-Catholic, which seems like a weird non-sequitur for a racial terrorist group to care about, and why the 1920's saw massively restricted immigration.
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Birthrates are probably one of the final sperg interests, lol
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Working to confirm this but I just saw some numbers that in the 1880s and 1890s the white birthrate was only at 3.5-4 while the black birthrate was around 7. It’s difficult to believe that there could be such an extreme differential in birthrates prior to reliable contraception existing. But it’s corroborated by the black % of the population staying roughly the same despite massive immigration post civil war that was almost all European, the highest per capita ever.
If true that explains a lot about the politics of the era. Anglo whites must have lost their numerical majority incredibly quickly after the civil war, even quicker than I thought. The massive political upheavals of the late 19th and early 20th centuries (now mostly forgotten) and the nadir of race relations (now being remembered again) taking place at the same time makes more sense in the context of a forgotten demographic change that at the time would’ve seemed quite consequential.
In school the late 19th-very early 20th century was taught to us mostly as an era of reform and invention, with the populist movement, regulations on food and safety, cars, lightbulbs, and airplanes. Kids these days are also learning about the massive race riots, political violence, and lynchings that took place at the same time. Doesn't make a lot of sense how both of these elements could exist in the same society at the same time, but the demographic change angle helps explain it imo. Would also explain why the early KKK was so militantly anti-Catholic and why the 1920's saw massively restricted immigration.
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@badger
The second one kind of the first one no, other than “possibly a night” and “full moon.” Is he speaking English at the beginning or Irish?
I thought this one was funny too https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=0HCAF30qU6s
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@badger
My dad told me a story once about the horses. Back when they were workhorses, come winter, my grandfather would bring them down the forest and set them loose, not to be looking after them over winter. Then came spring and he'd go down again and stand at the edge of the forest and give a whistle and they'd come back to work. Doesn't that sound like magic. I would have loved to see it. Reminds me of fucking Gandalf and Shadowfax.
You actually told this story on DDO years ago and it’s stuck with me
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@badger
You must embrace your destiny to become like these guys: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=pit0OkNp7s8
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@Athias
Philosophical discussion about the family vs. individuals
It's clear that your understanding of philosophy and such is a lot more sophisticated that mine. What I'm trying to get at, in a somewhat hamfisted way, is that I think of the family as something so valuable that while individuals are individuals, their lives should more or less dedicated to propagating it unless their families are REALLY toxic. For me, I want kids really badly but even if I didn't I would still do it just out of a sense of duty to my parents who I know really want grandchildren. I do think we as individuals have some obligation to our families, honor thy mother and father and all that. When I think about the money I have and the money I expect to earn in the future, a lot of what I'm thinking about is future generations
But my view does fall apart at some level for sure. For example punishing the families for an individuals crime would obviously be unjust and immoral, and some people have every right to cut out their families.
In order to establish "immorality," one would first have to establish an undue deprivation of that to which another has claim. And even if the recipient of an inheritance were to squander his or her wealth, he or she would have the right to do so.
We might have a disagreement here. They should have a legal right to do so because otherwise the government is dictating how people spend their money which is obviously a terrible idea. But I would consider an heir who inherits tons of money from past generations and squanders it to be doing something immoral, especially if their own children are struggling. They have a kind of fiduciary responsibility as a steward of assets...I guess this issue is why most serious wealth is held in trusts
On the other hand I do think it's wrong when greedy heirs act entitled to their parents or their grandparents money. So morality is probably a lot more conditional than the framework I laid out in my OP
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@badger
I grew up on a farm wondering after the work that my grandfather did to make it what it was. No diggers, rotavators, none of the modern day machinery that I'm accustomed to. There's stone houses all over the farm, still standing, they boggle my mind even looking at them. It's like a monastery up there. Ditches, dikes, perfectly flat fields. A huge expanse of land. He made hay by hand. He cut turf with the slean. No slotted houses, no milking machines, no slurry spreaders. And the place was immaculate until the day he died. My dad brought him a power hose when he was old and not much left in him and we could have buried him with it. He never left it out of his hands. Long way to come from handpumps and shallow wells. He died of farmer's lung. I couldn't put a number on my inheritance.I don't much know what the moral of that story is, but I think about it a lot. Especially as a programmer these days. I put hours and hours of work into a thing and there's nothing there. I'll leave behind a bank account.
Beautiful post, I don't know what else to say. Are you not the heir to the farm/has it been sold? Why couldn't you pass that on?
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@RationalMadman
I am a rather radical guy on it, if it were up to me the world would be completely fair, I mean as in parenting the same, childhood the same. One world nation pure fair start in life.That's obviously unrealistic as things are so am I gonna look out for my own if I can post-death? Fuck yes.
My issue is really with the highlighted bit. I don't believe true equality is possible because even if it were realistic, there are enough people out there who would try to give their own a leg up no matter what. It's a very strong urge. We are all descended from people and organisms who WON in the competition for resources and mates etc.
I don't really think of myself as a conservative anymore because it isn't really a proscriptive ideology. But when I do, it's because of things like this, where I see a wisdom in just leaving well enough alone instead of trying to achieve something impossible. We could severely hamper peoples ability to pass on wealth and then try to fight them giving money out throughout their lives instead, giving their kids high paying sinecures at their companies, inflating the prices of exempt assets (such as farmland) taking money overseas, hiding their wealth....or just leave well enough alone. Honestly the US probably has one of the best policies, with a few tweaks...a threshold high enough that the incentive to fight it (and the ability to hide it) is pretty low but enough that the state does get some revenue
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@rbelivb
Therefore, you cannot deduce the cause of that feeling from the feeling itself. If you have a general feeling of love or being watched over by a larger being, and you refer to this feeling as "God" - then the relation between the meaning you personally ascribe to God and the religious concept of God still remains completely indeterminate.
To you, not to me. Which is the entire point. We each have our own choice
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