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Vader
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I think it is likely Wylted. I don't buy that a vanilla fully evens out the balance in this game too. If you are looking at it from a balancing perspective 


Commuter balances Car Thief
Tracker balances with Gravedigger
Strongman balances with Bookie to an extent|
Casey claims to have a 1x cop with a town joat but not revealing the other items

How can you be so sure that Wylted doesn't have a lawyer to balance out a cop and maybe other abilities they have?
Vanilla really is pointless for the situation...

I don't mind being the lynch this DP if you think there's enough behavior evidence to commit to me as scum, which I think would pretty fucking stupid but fmpov, it just has to be Wylted

Vader
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It also just goes from a meta perspective too 

Luna had no reason to ride Austin and his logic so hard in that DP if he was scum, I think he would've likely taken the easy lynch if he was scum and direct blame onto others as scum

Casey's initial interactions with Grey are town. I find it hard to believe that scum Casey is bussing there partner so hard in DP1 and making that strong effort to push on GP.

WF's behavior feels town but he is also given a lot of credit for his role being a direct balance to Grey's role. But at the same time though, if he's scum he could use that to his advantage and claim something that would be trusted. But I think he's more likely than not town

Yeah unless I'm missing something Wylted should be the lynch. To be honest too I wouldn't also be mind being the lynch either because if would make the trade off a bit easier and narrow POE down way more
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Now I'm fr getting off lol
WyIted
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@Lunatic
who the hell claims jailkeeper directly after a doctor flip? Anyways, I hope that humble pie tasted real fvcking good ya sh1t.
I was right though. He wasn't jailkeeper.

I thought the claim did not fit for balance reasons and was correct. A lot of the inconsistencies I pointed out were explained based on his real role.

Besides I tried to back out and lynch sups but you were the only one willing to vote for him anyway and though Austin's vote was on him he said he would remove his vote to ensure his role went through.

I think we all know that supa is the last scum and he just made a ballsy claim DP1. I don't care if we lynch him first and me second or the other way around.

I feel some doubts towards you because it feels unreal that you could be confident he was town based on his behavior, but whatever I guess at mylo I would probably vote against supa if it came down to me you and him so either way the game is not in my hands I am down for a supa lynch and I am in enough scum pools I am willing to self vote just to progress the game, but I think no matter who we decide on, a self vote won't be necessary
WyIted
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@Lunatic
He was so aggressive on the GP defense, he even went as far as to scum read the people pushing GP
Vader defended GP DP1 also though it was early in the DP and he expressed some worry about how fast town was coalescing around him.

WyIted
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I don't think he could have confirmed anybody anyway. Isn't a block useless against a commuter, lunatic used his role, I am vanilla I wouldn't know I was blocked.
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I guess whiteflame is the most solid town here. He'll be the NK most likely.

So that leaves

Wylted
Supa
Lunatic
Casey

One of us is getting lynched this DP, most likely me or supa

There is also a world where Casey is town . I feel like we lose if we live in that world.

If me and supa are both town, that is also a world we most likely lose in

The biggest problems are casey and lunatic, if one of them are scum.

Most to least town for me would be

Wylted
Whiteflame
Casey
Lunatic
Supa

We also know that despite Austin lying to us he felt like supa was scum. Lunatics first reaction was to notice a common buddying scum tactic of supas to buddy. Supa says he fixed it, but it's really hard to fix bad habits, particularly if you are literally a frat boy who is probably chugging beers and smoking blunts between posts.
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I think savant had lunatic as his next scum pick. He seemed unwilling to entertain voting supa at the end of the DP, when I suggested switching it up.

Pie also has good instincts and was scum reading Casey early DP 1.

I just think we should lynch supa this DP and if he ends up being town we just get comfortable with the fact that either lunatic or Casey got really fucking good at the game and congratulate them.

WyIted
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@Lunatic
, I hope that humble pie tasted real fvcking good ya sh1t.
It didn't taste very good for the record.

I also think if you were scum, you wouldn't even have typed this sentence insinuating you think I am town.

If you know me than there is literally no in between. I either feel very narcissistic.

Like I have an IQ of 160. Not by online tests but real ones so I think it makes me a genius who is better than everyone, but when I am not thinking that I think I am a literal retards based on all the learning disability classes I was in and being prodded by a team of psychologists a lot as a child for some reason.

You know a retard may be oblivious at times and think themselves a genius.

Anyway when stuff like that happens it completely shatters my confidence but I think if you read the end of the DP again you'll see I was going back and forth in the end and I didn't want there to be a no lynch.
WyIted
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I thought part of my learning disability was too much empathy. Like feeling empathy for trees. I used to tear up because I thought of leaves as broken trees. I had to be forced to eat meat.

I would cry and be bed bound with depression if I stepped on a cock roach.

So that stuff is pretty retarded.

I still cry about suffering sometimes and the wife catches me and mocks me for it, so maybe with the negative reinforcement, I can overcome it.

It literally has no benefit outside of immediate family.  I am in this hotel but transitioning to a new apartment and people I guess can sense something about me so they randomly come up to me for consultations. My empathy forces me to act. I can't tell if I am being used or not.

The woman down the hall was getting kicked out, she lost her job and couldn't pay. Normally in hotels you can't establish residency no matter how long you have been there. I found her a pro Bono lawyer and researched some laws. She managed to stay 2 more months rent free.

Another woman I gave a consultation for concerning custody of her kid. The kids father was caught meeting up with a boy, so I showed her how to get an emergency hearing and sole custody of her child.

One of the managers made herself unpopular for something I won't get into. She needed the job but didn't feel safe, so I showed her how the laws protect her. How she doesn't have to feel unsafe at work and we worked together to get her unemployment due to the companies inability to keep her safe.

These people just gravitate towards me and my empathy gives me zero benefit. It's like a disability. I don't think random strangers normally gravitate towards people for consultations this way. I am not sure what energy I am giving off.

Anyway, I can't seem to fix my own life.

I never had the learning disability I have explained to me too well, but I am guessing the empathy and making weird connections plays into that somehow.
WyIted
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I am not allowed to delete posts this game so you guys have to figure out what to do with that LOL
Lunatic
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@WyIted
I don't think he could have confirmed anybody anyway. Isn't a block useless against a commuter, lunatic used his role, I am vanilla I wouldn't know I was blocked.
For the millionth time ( I swear we explained this at least half a hundred times last day phase) the person roleblocked wouldn’t have been able to night kill anyone. Mafia had extreme incentive to make sure Austin was lynched yesterday to insure the kill went through.
Lunatic
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@WyIted
, I hope that humble pie tasted real fvcking good ya sh1t.
It didn't taste very good for the record. 

Alright sorry, I take it back. I’m not normally an “I told you so type of person” you were just so confident about the game being over last day phase I couldn’t help it. Anyways, let’s move on from this.
Lunatic
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@Vader
The part I am going to disagree is that I willfully "did not try to understand." I weighted options and everything. You claimed "ok once Wylted lynches I'm insta hammering Austin." You couldn't even use your role so that makes even MORE likely believe my logic.
It didn’t feel like you tried to understand because you kept miss representing our arguments about the benefits of letting Austin get his role block off. The way the plan was presented to you allowed you to get your way no matter what, town could afford three mislynches, and Austin was guaranteed to die next phase, so even if he was town it would have narrowed down the POE further. Literally now Whiteflame is the only player that is confirmed. My role has nothing to do with the logic presented. I still don’t understand why from your perspective as town this plan didn’t make sense. 

What reason did I have to trust you that you were going to hammer Austin besides word?
The plan Austin laid out completely removes trust from the equation. No matter what Austin would have been lynched. If I back out on my word then I am scum. Both me and Austin couldn’t have been scum at this point so it was one or the other. I have 0 reason to lie about my actions as scum there because it would result in me being lynched as again town could afford to do it in this scenario. Now they can’t.

You may be a town read but I have no reason to trust that you would do and if Austin waived and framed someone like WF and said "ohhh then let's lynch Austin tmrw then." Sorry don't believe I was misrepresenting the arguments.
Because I said no matter what we were lynching him and I gave my word that if we didn’t follow through I was scum, because even though I town read Austin, the chance of him pulling a gambit as scum was too high a risk. That’s why I said I would vote for him no matter what even if the kill was blocked. If I backed out of this for any reason you would know I am scum. There was 0 downside to this plan. Scum had every incentive to make sure Austin was lynched, you not even considering the possibility of this plan paints you in such a bad light. It’s not even me trying to rub it in. Casey is guilty of this too, literally the only pass I am giving him is that I have such a hard time wrapping my head around him bussing GP like that but even my logical side is telling me not to town confirm him for that. It’s more that I was direct engaging with you and then you either ignored role key points of the argument or just stopped responding to them and stubbornly stayed on Austin, you don’t even seem to want to consider the option that he could be town and it could work. And you knew you had support cuz Wylted and Casey had mentioned disbelief in Austin previously as well. Even Whiteflame seemed to deeply understand and consider Austin’s proposal. You outright rejected the very premise of it from the beginning and knew you had the support to not have to even try to pretend to understand it. Behaviorally you look the worst for this. 
whiteflame
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I’ve got a busy morning, but I’ll catch up on this shortly.
Vader
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Gonna do some reading and responses before the Super Bowl
Vader
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@WyIted
smoking blunts between posts.
I don't smoke weed. I may chug beer but I don't smoke blunts
Mharman
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MOD ANNOUCEMENT

Fuck Mahomo, Travis the drama queen, Taylor Swift, swifties, these damn refs, the media and announcers for glazing, Mahomo’s bitch wife and brother, and those annoying ass State Farm commercials where the cheeseburger man says the dumbest shit possible.

Once again, we must hope Philadelphia can take down a team more hateable, as they did to the evil empire years ago. Go Eagles!
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So the long and short of it is that there are 3 people in my POE (frankly, I just do not buy Casey being so quick to hop on their scum partner, nor do I buy them claiming to use their role on WyIted only to come up with no result - there’s just too much here that doesn’t add up), but everyone on that list has at least one substantial reason for me to doubt their being scum.

WyIted has claimed Vanilla, so he has the least intrusive claim. I don’t really buy that he’d claim Vanilla as a fake claim if he was scum (sincerely can’t remember a game where he did and there weren’t many claims left after him, so he didn’t have to play it that safe), and it requires a pretty early bus on GP, but not so early that it’s unbelievable. The Motion Detector result also makes this harder to believe unless we just assume he’s the Ninja. Still, it’s hard not to notice that he hammered Austin when I’d said I would be back on to discuss it that evening and claims to have done it to prevent a no lynch… with 24 hours left in the DP. I get the impression it had more to do with his continually expressed frustration that we weren’t just pulling the trigger, but I still don’t like it.

Vader is a tricky one because that very early Gravedigger claim still stands as pretty townie, even moreso now that we’ve seen GP’s flip and know that there are two players with some form of tracking investigative roles. If I dispense with the theory that there’s a Ninja in the game, though, it’s not altogether ridiculous that he’d fake this claim, it’s just surprising to me that there would be two tracking players and nothing in the game to fool their results. I didn’t love how Vader responded to Luna and Austin last DP either, but it’s also hard to say if that’s just tunnel vision or actively scummy.

Then there’s Luna. I’d still say he’s the least likely to be scum out of these three, but I can’t dismiss him entirely. The 1X Bookie claim is a bit weird (seriously, you get only one chance to pick the lynch and if you fail you’re just Vanilla for the rest of the game? Also a bit weird that most everyone else has a 2X role or a JOAT), but I also just don’t buy that his extended defense of Austin comes from someone who is playing scum. Maybe he is just playing against expectations exceptionally well, but it’s a weird move to actively push back on lynching a claimed JK as scum - hell, last game we pounced on Savant at the first opportunity. Of these three, this is the behavior that sticks out to me as most actively opposed to scum, since it could have resulted in the prevention of the NK, town/scum confirmation, and would have put Austin and Luna in the crosshairs for future DPs if they didn’t follow through.

So, yes, I think this largely comes down to WyIted and Vader. I haven’t decided which I favor, but I wanted to write out my thoughts completely.
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@whiteflame
Then there’s Luna. I’d still say he’s the least likely to be scum out of these three, but I can’t dismiss him entirely. The 1X Bookie claim is a bit weird (seriously, you get only one chance to pick the lynch and if you fail you’re just Vanilla for the rest of the game? Also a bit weird that most everyone else has a 2X role or a JOAT)
Trust me, I ranted to mharman long and hard about how useless he made bookie in this game. It seems he agrees with me but seeing as he already designed it to work this way for the balance, it is what is is. 
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@Mharman
Go eagles!

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I've been busy this morning and will be watching the Super Bowl with family this evening, but I have time to post my thoughts for now. 

The way I see it, Whiteflame is 100% town confirmed. Only a bastard mod would include a Car Thief with no Commuter, and I have to assume that Mharman is not a bastard mod. If WF somehow turns out to be scum, I am never playing a Mharman game again.

Luna's role is a bit odd to me specifically because it's a 1x role, and that makes it unconfirmable if he guesses wrong, which he apparently did. I did have him in my PoE for a while, but on reexamination, I just can't see him as scum anymore. The way he was quick to join the GP wagon and his strong defense of Austin during the last DP come off as very towny to me, so much so that I just can't justify lynching him today. If he's scum, then damn, Luna. Very well-played. 

So that just leaves Wylted and Vader. Both of them are very hard to scumread based off their behavior during DP1. Vader for his instant Gravedigger claim and Wylted for jumping on the GP wagon pretty much immediately. Both of those are very risky moves for scum. Based on claims alone, I'd be inclined to scumread Wylted, simply because a late Vanilla claim is always going to be suspicious.

That being said, I lean towards Vader overall. One reason is my Motion Detector result which helps to clear Wylted. (He could still be a Ninja of course, but nonetheless it is a point of evidence in his favor.) Another reason is that behaviorally, he doesn't remind me of the games I've played in where he's been scum. Which is... Actually only two games now that I think about it, which is kind of crazy. But I remember that in Villainous Villains and Heroic Heroes, there was just something that felt 'off' about him in a way that I couldn't quite put my finger on, but it bugged me. Wylted has one of those personalities that is so completely unique that it's completely inimitable, even for Wylted himself. I remember watching this video one time of an actor talking about the best advice he's ever received, and he said that once when he was trying to act drunk for a scene, the director told him that he was trying to stumble and slur his words, which was the problem -- drunk people try to walk and speak normally. That's kind of a poor way of paraphrasing it, but I think you get my point. That's the difference between scum and town in this game -- scum try to fall, town try to walk. Wylted feels like he has been trying to walk as he has stumbled. I don't know how else I can explain it, it's just my instincts, but they're never wrong when it comes to him. 
Casey_Risk
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Looking back at DP1 again, Wylted started off by saying that we should all just ignore the town factional perk, in a way that feels sharply town to me. His next two posts were defending me and immediately hopping on the GP wagon, and he hardly posted anything else in the thread after that. I just can't square that with him being scum. I feel like it has to be Vader. 
Vader
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Honestly I have no problem with being the lynch this DP. It's eventually going to lead to Wylted at some point in the next DP anyway and if anyone else is scum  then yeah we are pretty much cooked
Vader
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I was going to respond to Luna but I realized that achieves virtually nothing in this game and just clusters the town. I'd rather be lynched today so I don't have to worry about pleading my allegiance if Wylted turns scum. I'm pretty much checked out after typings for extensive DPs just to have my logic wrong.

Rereading as well, I also am going back on my town read on Luna. I think it is very possible that in order to generate town cred he buddied a town player hard to try and give himself credit. I can deffo see him doing that and this time I am not gonna hold it out of the option. Cry OMGUS all you want but I definetly am waivering on my town read. My preference is still Wylted but I don't think there is enough attention on Luna for him to even be consider a lynch so at this point so town loses if it isn't wylted

Vader
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If wylted turns town not scum*
WyIted
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@Mharman
Once again, we must hope Philadelphia can take down a team more hateable, as they did to the evil empire years ago. Go Eagles!
Sorry bro. I live in the Philly area and want to see people suffer. My energy is going the other direction and I am quite possibly the Nobody so where my energy goes, normally things happen
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@Lunatic
For the millionth time ( I swear we explained this at least half a hundred times last day phase) the person roleblocked wouldn’t have been able to night kill anyone.
Austins pitch was to confirm a member of town. Which makes sense because his blocking only works on town members.

If he could block than scum answer is literally to just defer the NK and deny information to town

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@Vader
If wylted turns town not scum*
Too late. LOL
Mharman
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Get fucked KC!
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FLY EAGLES FLY
CRY SWIFTIES CRY
WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!