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@Outplayz
Science can only answer "how", it can never answer "why".
Certainly "intelligent design" might be "true", but it is not within the realm of science.
That's all I'm trying to say.
Abiogenesis is about science and not metaphysics/gnosis.
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@Mopac
How does The Truth inform you about the color of the ball in the unopened box?
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@ethang5
Anti-abortion + Anti-single-mothers, welfare and children's programs = PRO-SUFFERING and PRO-DEATH
Pro-death-penalty = PRO-DEATH
Anti-immigration sabotaging water stations near boarders = PRO-SUFFERING and PRO-DEATH
Anti-immigration dumping poor people back into war zones = PRO-SUFFERING and PRO-DEATH
Anti-homosexual sentiment emboldens bigotry = PRO-SUFFERING and PRO-DEATH
Anti-euthanasia laws are inhumane and do nothing to save lives, even animals deserve better = PRO-SUFFERING and PRO-EXCRUCIATING-DEATH
Anti-recreational drug laws protect pharmaceutical companies from the free market and allow price gouging and profit incentives suppress safety considerations = PRO-SUFFERING and PRO-DEATH
Anti-recreational drug laws protect prohibition style cartels and expose consumers to unnecessary personal risk = PRO-SUFFERING and PRO-DEATH
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@Mopac
How does The Truth inform you about the color of the ball in the unopened box?
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@Mopac
Logical ultimate reality (The Truth) is (Immanuel Kant's) noumenon (magnum mysterium).
The Truth itself is meaningless without some method to detect it.
There must be some way to distinguish The Truth from The Lie.
An arbitrary standard like "you know it when you see it" is equally meaningless.
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@ethang5
If you have any evidence for abiogenesis, post it.
McCollom et al (1999) showed that lipids could form under conditions similar to hydrothermal vents.
Lincoln and Joyce (2009) demonstrated a simple pair of cooperative RNA ligases the can replicated each other with rather high yield.
Attwater et al (2013) have produced what is to date the longest RNA-catalyzed RNA polymerization (up to 200 nucleotides). This is key, because the enzyme itself is about the same length, which means in principle we are one step closer to a polymerase that can copy itself in full. An interesting property of their study is that it occurs in a cold environment.
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@Paul
If I look up at the moon, the stairs and the planets in the night sky is my observation objective?
Obviously not.
Your ability to make observations is sample biased by the range of your senses and your temporal and geographic position along with your presumed motivation and ability to communicate those observations and furthermore your audience's ability to receive and decipher your data without error.
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@ethang5
Pick any position, and the conservative will side with the government, the oppressor, the criminal, the greedy, the killer, and death.
Abortion?
Sides with - Tyrannical government control over personal sovereignty
Against - Demonizes single mothers, eagerly slashes welfare and child care programs
Death Penalty?
Sides with - The insanely expensive criminal defense lobby
Against - Survivors who prefer criminals serve life-without-parole and people who want to cut government spending
Immigration?
Sides with - The paranoid racist
Against - Cheap labor essential to capitalism that brings down prices for everyone
Homosexuality?
Sides with - The paranoid, religious homophobe
Against - Personal sovereignty
Euthanasia?
Sides with - Tyrannical government control over personal sovereignty
Against - Personal sovereignty and the right to decide how much suffering is reasonable
Illegal Drugs?
Sides with - Greedy pharmaceutical corporations, overdoses and death and prohibition style criminal cartels
Against - Personal sovereignty and the right to decide how much suffering is reasonable
As I said, any position.
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@Paul
Science is not objective because it is conducted by humans.
All known definitions of "objective" categorically exclude human observation and judgement.
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@Outplayz
Plato's Parable of the MMORPG,Once upon a time there were a number of people who lived in complete darkness and the only thing they could see was their computer screens.What they saw on their screens was their reality.The only other people they knew were people in-game with magnificent costumes and weapons.Sure they had to fumble in the darkness in order to microwave a quick meal, or find their bed when they were exhausted, but those were merely incidental inconveniences.Only the game was real. Only the game was shared experience. Only in-game places and people and items were quantifiable, able to be observed and verified and shared with other players (quanta).Sometimes an individual would try to explain what kind of food they ate or describe their room (private/personal/unshared knowledge, gnosis) but since none of this information was directly relevant in-game and was fundamentally unverifiable, it was dismissed out-of-hand as unintelligible nonsense. In fact, even the language they had developed had evolved exclusively for in-game interactions, so there really weren't any proper words for "food" or "room" that were not specifically in-game references, and even more than that, since there was no taste, touch, or smell in-game, there were also no words to properly describe those sensations as well.
Science is the quantifiable, in-game, shared reality space.
You're trying to explain gnosis.
This would be a category error.
Abiogenesis is not - about "ultimate (spiritual/philosophical/gnostic) reality".
Abiogenesis is - about quantifiable, scientific, observable, verifiable reality.
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@ethang5
The alternative hypothesis to Santa Claus is simply "normal humans purchase presents for children".
We know that unicellular organisms are made of certain component parts.
We know that these component parts are naturally occurring (Miller-Urey).
It is reasonable to believe that given enough time and enough variety of conditions, these component parts could have formed primitive self replicating structures like RNA.
Your alternative hypothesis is non-existent.
McCollom et al (1999) showed that lipids could form under conditions similar to hydrothermal vents.
Lincoln and Joyce (2009) demonstrated a simple pair of cooperative RNA ligases the can replicated each other with rather high yield.
Attwater et al (2013) have produced what is to date the longest RNA-catalyzed RNA polymerization (up to 200 nucleotides). This is key, because the enzyme itself is about the same length, which means in principle we are one step closer to a polymerase that can copy itself in full. An interesting property of their study is that it occurs in a cold environment.
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@EtrnlVw
I'm having some trouble deciphering your terminology.
Are you comparing the programmers of the game and the manufacturers of the computer terminals and network to the gods?
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@ethang5
You clearly have not read the latest research that I provided to you.
You are the one who suggested that people flock to abiogenesis because of their terror of some unspecified, imaginary, magical "god".
Your inability to suggest a more viable hypothesis leaves abiogenesis the only option to explore scientifically.
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@ethang5
Can you conceive of any possible way (even in your wildest imagination) to scientifically test "abiogenesis"?
It is currently being tested, in laboratories.
Rome wasn't built in a day.
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@Outplayz
That still sounds like life from non-life.First there was nothing, and then there was something. All this mind would have to do is become conscious.
I'm even willing to grant you hypothetical scientific evidence of reincarnation.
How does hypothetical scientific evidence of reincarnation "prove" an "intelligent designer"?
But the real problem, even if, for the sake of argument, I grant you hypothetical scientific evidence of an "intelligent designer", still remains.
Where did this "intelligent designer" come from?
Every possible answer is less coherent than, amino acids formed chains, which formed proteins, which formed cells, which formed primitive life forms.
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@ethang5
What do you mean by "science doesn't recommend it"?
And how is "god" a more scientific hypothesis?
Do you imagine that reasonable people are terrified of other things that have no scientific evidence?
Do you imagine that reasonable people are terrified of the loch ness monster, space aliens, big foot, trolls, and ghosts?
Do you imagine that human terror itself is considered serious scientific evidence?
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@Outplayz
In order for "intelligent design" to be considered "scientific" it must be testable (falsifiable).
Can you conceive of any possible way (even in your wildest imagination) to scientifically test "intelligent design"?
Any way you slice this "intelligent design" pie, you still end up with a reductio ad infinitum.
If an "intelligence" created the first "life", how was that "intelligence" created (isn't it also alive)?
Who is the "mother of god"?
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@ethang5
Science is always a "best guess based on current data".
To expand our understanding of the world around us, we explore hypotheses.
Based on our current science, the cosmos was formed 13.77 billion years ago.
13.77 billion years ago, the requisite conditions to support life as we know it did not exist.
Life exists today.
We are left to conclude that life began at some point between now and 13.77 billion years ago.
Exactly how the first life came into being is still being explored.
Abiogenesis is a reasonable hypothetical avenue to pursue.
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@ethang5
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@ethang5
Life comes from life - reductio ad infinitum.
We know for a fact that life as we know it could not have existed prior to the development of the first stars.
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@ethang5
But there was a point where a non-beagle gave birth to a beagle.
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@Paul
Why Most Published Research Findings Are False -
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@ethang5
What is your preferred hypothetical alternative to abiogenesis?
Abiogenesis is, after all, merely a hypothesis.
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@ethang5
Do you believe there is any alternative to creationism?We don't pick and choose science. Real science goes where the truth is. Believing something because you assume there is no alternative is voodoo, not science.
In 6,000 years of recorded human history, there has NEVER been a single instance of abiogenesis. Not a single one. NEVER. Every single time life has started, it has come from previous life.
In 6,000 years of recorded human history, there has NEVER been a single instance of creationism. Not a single one. NEVER. Every single time life has started, it has come from previous life.
Every single experiment trying to simulate early Earth conditions, or set up conditions for creationism, to see if life can be observed, has failed miserably. All of them.
Creationism is a bankrupt idea. No science backs it up. None.
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@ethang5
Nobody is proposing that proto-chicken and chicken could not interbreed.
They are the same questions.
With the same answers.
This is an ontological problem.
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@ethang5
Where did the first beagle come from?This post highlights my claim.Evolutionists soar when they speak only in generalities. Tie them down to specifics and they immediately start to doublespeak.You went to reproductive compatibility. Of course you did. The point was that a single individual with a genetic mutation would not be able to spread that mutation throughout the gene pool if all potential mates did not have that mutation.You dodged that point and filled your post with evo-fluff.
Were there were no beagles for the first beagle to breed with?
How was a beagle born from a non-beagle/proto-beagle????????????????????????????????????????????????
This is a purely ontological problem.
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@Outplayz
The other boxes do not necessarily have any statistical or causal relationship to the box in question.
This fallacy is often used in marketing/advertising.
A commercial for a lottery will often show images of actors pretending to be excited by a winning lottery ticket.
Subconsciously you are led to believe, "I just saw one hundred people win the lottery, therefore it must be a common occurrence, therefore I have a realistic chance of winning the lottery."
You have no information about the source or history of the one hundred boxes that contain the balls painted blue.
You don't know if the original balls were removed and replaced or simply painted blue for your benefit.
Here's a story that illustrates a perfectly rational, scientific assessment of data.
An engineer, a physicist, and a mathematician were on a train heading north, and had just crossed the border into Scotland.
The engineer looked out of the window and said "Look! all Scottish sheep are black!"
The physicist said, "No, no. Some Scottish sheep are black."
The mathematician looked irritated. "There is, at this moment in time, at least one field in Scotland, containing at least one sheep, of which at least one side is black."
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@TwoMan
Good point.
What I'm saying is that the box in question may or may not have anything at all to do with the other boxes that appear (superficially) identical.
I thought of the gambler's fallacy because, "If you flip a coin 100 times and it comes up heads every time, that does not mean the chances of it coming up tails has increased on subsequent flips. Each coin flip is an isolated 50/50."
The other boxes do not necessarily have any statistical or causal relationship to the box in question.
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@Paul
So you want to lay down some rules as to what we should regard as scientific evidence.Tell me what those rules should be?
Statistical significance should be at least 3 sigma for "evidence" and at least 5 sigma for "new discovery".
All studies that are authorized to be declared "scientific" must make all raw data available for review and results must be duplicated (confirmed/verified) by at least two other independent labs.
Scientific conclusions should be careful not to use "appeal to ignorance" or "shifting burden of proof" or violate any common logical fallacies.
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@Paul
I'm advocating for explicit standards of evidence.
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@Outplayz
The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy or the fallacy of the maturity of chances, is the mistaken belief that, if something happens more frequently than normal during a given period, it will happen less frequently in the future (or vice versa). In situations where the outcome being observed is truly random and consists of independent trials of a random process, this belief is false. The fallacy can arise in many situations, but is most strongly associated with gambling, where it is common among players.
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@keithprosser
Well stated.I propose that our brains contain a neuronal circuit that - when faced with alternatives - makes an estimate of1 - benefit to self2 - cost to self3- benefit to others4- costs to others.That circuit does a 'weighted sum' of those estimates the result of which we perceive as how good (or 'moral') the alternatives are. I suggest that is all there is to 'morality'.
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@Outplayz
Yeah it would affect my decision. I would think blue would be a good bet.
This would be bad logic. A problem of induction.
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Plato's Parable of the MMORPG,
Once upon a time there were a number of people who lived in complete darkness and the only thing they could see was their computer screens.
What they saw on their screens was their reality.
The only other people they knew were people in-game with magnificent costumes and weapons.
Sure they had to fumble in the darkness in order to microwave a quick meal, or find their bed when they were exhausted, but those were merely incidental inconveniences.
Only the game was real. Only the game was shared experience. Only in-game places and people and items were quantifiable, able to be observed and verified and shared with other players (quanta).
Sometimes an individual would try to explain what kind of food they ate or describe their room (private/personal/unshared knowledge, gnosis) but since none of this information was directly relevant in-game and was fundamentally unverifiable, it was dismissed out-of-hand as unintelligible nonsense. In fact, even the language they had developed had evolved exclusively for in-game interactions, so there really weren't any proper words for "food" or "room" that were not specifically in-game references, and even more than that, since there was no taste, touch, or smell in-game, there were also no words to properly describe those sensations as well.
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@Outplayz
If you had one hundred boxes that appeared to be identical to the box in question, and you opened them all and they all contained balls painted blue, would that change the likelihood that the (supposed) unobserved ball in the box in question might be red?No i couldn't ... but blue would be a better guess in my opinion since it is a much more popular color. The probabilities of other colors are much more likely... green and blue... especially if the box is small. There are way more blue and green balls. Tennis balls, racket balls. Then... even in golf balls, red is not a popular color. So logic would tell me i have a good chance it's not a red ball and i'd be confident in not accepting said persons claim.
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@secularmerlin
This is the "middle ground" fallacy (not to be mistaken for "common ground").Neither of us will accept that the ball is purple arguing instead that it is the colors we claimed. We both seem equally sure and both have equal evidence to present. We cannot both be right so whom do you believe?
Some arbitrary half-way-point between two opinions is not automatically more likely to be "correct".
And, if you think there are only two options, then you are probably unwittingly participating in the "black & white" or "false dichotomy" fallacy.
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@RationalMadman
Why would you believe that the concept of motive has anything at all to do with whether or not there is a ball in the box and whether or not it is red?How do I know you're not lying to the degree of certainty you suggest me to in said scenario?
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@ArgentTongue
My great grandfather wrote a book about how he once looked in the box and found a red ball.
This book is "proof" that the box contains a red ball.
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@Paul
Let's say you are right, science is subjective.What are the consequences of that?What does it mean for science?
Instead of pretending that science is "objective", wouldn't it seem better to explain to people what are considered adequate (sufficient) standards of evidence?
Large numbers of people already think that science is simply a matter of opinion and decide to believe (for example) that creationism is a perfectly valid alternative.
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@keithprosser
We clearly have to interact with something to gain knowledge of its existence - I don't think that is being disputed. My position is that it is not necessary for me to know that X exists for X to exist. If I step on a landmine I may never know of its existence - but exist it did.
This is a good example.
I am only interested in the scope, nature, and definition of "existence" for the purposes of conversation.
We can only say "something exists" if there is adequate (sufficient) evidence.
Do landmines exist in this particular field?
Seeing your friend blown to bits would probably qualify as adequate (sufficient) evidence of the existence of at least one landmine.
Here's an example of what I'm talking about in a 2.5 minute clip - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m92yvNscIAo
"Are there any species like this hostile organism on LV-426?"
"No, it's a rock. No indigenous life."
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@Paul
How does this statement relate to objectivity vs subjectivity or existence vs non-existence?The universe is like an engine [your personal opinion], it's mechanical [no quantum physics?] and how it works can be understood [at least in part but perhaps not in whole], but it takes work because you have to learn it to understand it.
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@Buddamoose
The functional/practical issue i can see with not holding scientific pursuits above most other subjective realms, is that to hold science as subjective overall would put it akin to what most people consider "subjective" in meaning just a matter of opinion.Though fundamentally it's true that "objectivity" in observations on an individual level given both the imperfections of the senses and innate biases is out of the realm possibility, a lack of differentiation would overall imho just result in a populace that overwhelmingly agrees "unicorns exist" is of equal veracity to "obiects at rest stay at rest unless acted upon by an outside force".
Instead of pretending that science is "objective", wouldn't it seem better to explain to people what are considered adequate (sufficient) standards of evidence?
Large numbers of people already think that science is simply a matter of opinion and decide to believe (for example) that creationism is a perfectly valid alternative.
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@TwoMan
How do you propose we verify data without human interference?Hypothetical only to a human.
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@keithprosser
What I believe is that the way most people use language the truth/falseness of 'X exists' does not depend on the existence of X being verified. In other words verification reveals but does not change the truth/falseness of 'X exists'.
I would tend to agree with you that most people believe that objects persist (exist) even if they are never observed (either directly or indirectly).
I also would tend to believe that most children imagine the refrigerator light is on all the time, regardless of whether the door is opened or closed.
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