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@whiteflame
"Yes, I’m scumreading you chiefly based on your character claim. I don’t think you would be given a character from Monster if it wasn’t Johan, so I anticipated that someone might claim a character from Monster that wasn’t Johan, which would give them an easy opportunity to make a safe fake claim of a different character from the same anime. So when you ask what I was expecting you to do… you did it."
This is literally confirmation bias personified. Again, you're taking WIFOM to ridiculous levels: if I do something towny, it's because I'm scummy, apparently.
You talk about concrete evidence as though there is any in this game. I didn’t have concrete evidence when I voted against Wylted, though he eventually gave it to me. If you’re only basing decisions on something concrete, you’re not playing mafia very well.
Kinda funny how you assume I'm simultaneously a mafia master planning to fakeclaim and silence myself, while also assuming I'm a newb scum who's bad at reasoning.
And this whole business of you, as scum, using a fake claim is a red herring and you know it. It’s literally WIFOM thinking - what move would I make that would best benefit scum if scum has a fake claim, which is just a weak “what if” scenario. Yes, I get it, you gamed this out so that you’d know the perfect play that you would make as scum and this isn’t it. That still assumes that scum has a fake claim, that it’s a decent fake claim, and that one of the other players on the scum team hasn’t taken it. Not everything is WIFOM thinking, but this absolutely is.
I don't really get what you're trying to imply here...? Again, scum would have much safer fakeclaims, I'm pretty sure Supa has his favorite animes listed on his profile, and not all of them have been used yet.
"Now you’re just lying. Yes, you did TR Badger and yes, you did include your thoughts about his claim in the reasoning for doing so"
Technically, you are. By default, everybody is a slight townread, because there are more town than scum. My words there could barely even be construed as reasoning, it was simply a short comment.
"The rest of this response is all just BS about when you voted and why. I don’t trust that you were inactive in the first place, and even if you were, you’re sussing me for being more active than you were before I locked in my vote. Weak reasoning.
Contrary to popular belief, some of us have lives outside of this site.
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@Best.Korea
IDK, you just asked me to claim, and I even helpfully provided my night actions. Maybe I should vig whiteflame tonight to confirm /s
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@Best.Korea
Presumably so. The balance looks about right: a JOAT godfather + multishot silencer + some other mafia is pretty dang powerful, so it makes sense for town to have some good power roles to counterbalance.
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My character is Kenzo Tenma from Monster. Here are the cliff notes (I asked Supa so it’s fine):
-I’m a mild-mannered, promising young neurosurgeon
-I save Johan Liebert’s life, but get demoted as a result
-Conveniently, three people standing in my way die
-Many years later, I find out that Johan Liebert was responsible for their deaths
-With the police on my tail, I try to hunt down Johan in order to end the “monster” I saved
I am the JOAT, because of the many abilities I show while chasing down Johan and running from the police. I copped Wylted NP1, and docced SirAnon NP2.
Anyway, I hope ya'll now realize why I was hesitant to claim my role, and why I was acting sort of awkward DP1: last game I got handed Sheriff, and managed to die immediately because I outed myself. I'm not surprised if I'll get NKed now, unless there's a friendly doctor or other protective role.
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Fine I'll claim once I run my role PM through Google translate to make it paraphrase
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Beginning to think that you might actually be distracted as you say because some of these responses don’t really engage with what I’m saying.
Yes, that's what tends to happen when I try to type coherent responses during passing periods.
That “gut read” is from DP1, before I ever VTLd you. The reasoning is in DP2, which I pointed out already.
Ok, let's see that reasoning:
Dude was behaving oddly in DP1, but his claim set me off. I suspect that he claimed another MC from Monster to avoid getting CC’d on a fake claim - Johan is far more likely to be Supa’s favorite character from the show. The decision to jump late on the lynch of Wylted at the end there sealed it for me. Suddenly deciding to hop on that bandwagon definitely didn’t sit well. I’m willing to consider a Wylted lynch later, but this DP, the choice is obvious.
Yea... that's wack on several different levels. First of all, if this is all your reasoning is, then your basically admitting that you have no other justification for scumreading me than my character claim - which, again, you have no concrete evidence of the scumminess of. Furthermore, it also doesn't make sense due to simple logic. If I was town, I would have no reason to lie. If I was scum, then I would have a fakeclaim, which Supa would obviously make sure looks legit. It seems more like you're looking for a reason to lynch.
I still think it’s strange that you simultaneously didn’t have time to give any details for your reasoning regarding other players, but had plenty to detail your thoughts on me. I’m not calling you out for not having time - I’m calling you out for how you chose to use the time you did have.
I didn't have much to say, considering the majority of current players haven't contributed a whole ton (BK, crystal, Earth, badger), while SirAnon and Pie are more or less the towncore.
Not having much knowledge of anime didn’t prevent you from townreading Badger over his claim, and if you had other reasons for doing so, you’re not being forthcoming about them.
I didn't townread him, I just said that it didn't seem ridiculous (unlike Wylted's claim).
I didn’t request that you claim in DP2. You had already claimed your character - why would I seek a soft claim from you then? I said I wanted more soft claims in DP2, not that I wanted yours.
OK, I understand that now.
Your reason for VTLing Wylted late still doesn’t make sense. The opportunity was available to you to VTL him anytime during DP1. You’re simultaneously sussing me for hopping late on the lynch while giving yourself a pass for a toothless vote past the end of DP1 because you just needed to inform us? Please.
The difference is you were clearly active and posting, while not changing your vote, while I simply checked the thread late.
We don’t know if scum has a fake claim, and even if they do, there is likely only one since Wylted clearly didn’t use it. So dismissing my response as “I wouldn’t do this as scum because I’d just use a fake claim” is BS logic and more WIFOM thinking.
Don't tell me you're actually trying to pull the "everything is WIFOM" thing.
We do know that scum is very likely to be all villains. We know that there are a small subset of anime where the villains are the most generally beloved characters. Monster is one of those series. You claimed a character from Monster that isn’t the villain. I admit, that understanding comes from my knowledge of the anime, which is biased by general trends among fans, and my attempt to understand Vader’s choices in character selection, most of which I have been spot on about (called Erza, Roy Mustang, and Kamina so far). It’s possible that Vader is a big fan of the MC of Monster and doesn’t care as much for the villain. I think that’s a far less likely option based on what I know of him. You can call that unreasonable, but it seems like a pretty self-explanatory way of narrowing down what is and isn’t a fake claim in this game. Supa clearly likes charismatic villains a la Aizen. Johan is a well-known and well-loved charismatic villain.
Let's assume for a moment that your reasoning is valid. What am I supposed to do to defend myself? Are you expecting me to fakeclaim Johan?
So, yes, despite your protestations, I’m pushing to get your full claim. VTL Austin.
Fine, I'll consider it. I just messaged Supa asking whether I'm allowing to closely paraphrase my claim, since that's the only way I can get ya'll bloodthirsty people off of me.
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@ILikePie5
If you have something you want to mention, or a read you found, then VTNL.
We can then work out a system using yes-or-no questions.
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@whiteflame
"I am absolutely willing to pursue a full claim from Austin, including justification."
That would be a fairly poor idea, btw, for reasons that I won't reveal but are implied in and of themselves by my not revealing them.
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At this point I am ready to lynch Austin even if there is no logical reason to do so.
And sure, let's skip right over this post from BK.
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@whiteflame
Suffice it to say that I’ve got multiple problems with these posts, including how you’ve chosen to sus me.
OK.
First, I don’t see any responses in any of the reasons I sussed you in the previous DP. For all you say that I was trying to silence you, I had legitimate reasons for sussing both your claim and your behavior, and I’m not the only one who has expressed those. Interesting, then, that your decision was to give a wall of text containing reads instead of addressing any of that.
Second, the reads themselves are just baffling. You spent half of the post focused entirely on me and give exceptionally short shrift to anyone else. That’s particularly interesting for someone who doesn’t was forcibly silenced all of the last DP. I understand not having time now to write everything up, but you clearly had time over that DP to write up a great deal on me and little for anyone else.
I wrote this during homeroom in 20 minutes, since I wanted to post some reads and stir up some activity this DP. As for why I didn't write it yesterday, I was busy studying for a math and biology test, and I also lost interest in a while, since, believe it or not, being silenced tends to restrict your participation.
You also got several details wrong and omitted quite a bit. SirAnon isn’t a tracker - he’s a watcher. Not sure why you’d find it weird that Pie hasn’t been NK’d when he’s a non-PR. Not sure why you find badger’s claim believable, why you’re townreading him at all, or why you’re saying that he hasn’t contributed much (he’s got plenty of posts in this game). And that’s the sole analysis of anyone’s character claims to boot, entirely excluding BK’s claim despite him being in the null, possibly scum, pile. Also, no, there are not 4 scum in this game (that would be absolutely unbalanced), so I’m not sure why you’re still suggesting it’s a possibility.
1. My bad
2. It makes more sense for scum to NK someone who's basically unlynchable IMO. It may be a difference in philosophy, but I don't see why it's invalid.
3. I didn't have time go through his posts, ill do that later
4. I don't have much knowledge about anime (or Supa), so I can't really comment on the character claims.
5. I never suggested there were 4 scum.
Third, your reasons for sussing me just seem to be throwing everything at the wall to see what sticks. Seeing a lot of WIFOM thinking, both of me and of scum. I had Wylted on my scum list early in DP2, and I straight up said early on that I wanted more soft claims before pursuing a lynch. Switching early would have been the sus choice after making that clear.
How was I supposed to claim when I was literally silenced? Your reasoning doesn't hold up.
Hell, you did it yourself in DP1, posting a vote against Wylted way after the point where it could have been meaningful, as if to buy town cred off of a poor claim.
I did it so that if I was killed during the night, people would know who I suspected. Basically a scumread disguised as an OMGUS.
The only somewhat valid issue is my response to his being silenced. Despite being pretty experienced, this is my first time being exposed to any silencing role like this. And no, I didn’t just sus you for that choice. Ignoring the other reasons you’re being sussed to focus on this one is deflecting. You’ve claimed a character from Monster, an anime with a villain (Johan) that is widely loved in the anime community, similarly to Aizen from Bleach and another villain that I haven’t mentioned yet. The likely reason for your claim is to avoid any potential CC’s by stepping out from your anime.
Now it's just getting unreasonable... if I was scum, I would probably have a fakeclaim anyway, which would negate counterclaims regardless. So this actually proves my point.
Also, now that I’ve seen that Pie’s been silenced, we at least have confirmation that there’s a silencer. I’ll note that that confirmation does not demonstrate that the user is scum, nor does the choice to target any given user serve as confirmation of their alignment. Even if we assume that the silencer role is a scum role, I could see scum using it as a way to make themselves look more townie while losing basically nothing.
That's fair enough.
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Well, this would seem to confirm that scum has a multi-shot silencer - which, by the way, will be absolutely broken in lategame.
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@ILikePie5
If you got silenced, vote me then unvote again.
If you got silenced and have information to share, vote BK then unvote again.
If you didn't get silenced... then just post I guess.
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"I think Austin's actually mafia and the whole silencing thing was a ploy. Wylted was too blatant in the thread yesterday supposedly trying to get Austin killed. Also a clever little game to recruit Supa to their deception. "
That would have been a very risky play, considering that I only got away with not being modkilled because Supa admitted he hadn't specifically put a "no spamming" rule. Also, it would have been a dumb play as well, for me to do that.t I think it was more likely that scumteam noticed that I was being a little bit sussed at the end of last DP, and decided it would be a good idea to silence me, so I wouldn't be able to defend myself next DP - ahem, whiteflame.
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Alright, so in order to compensate for my unfortunate silencing yesterday, I’m going to dump a wall of all my current thoughts and reads on the game. I had to cut this a bit short since class is starting in a few minutes, so I will expand more on this later.
Probably town:
-SirAnon: had a successful tracker result on Wylted, who flipped scum. In addition, based on his behavior DP1, it seems like a typical power role trying not to draw too much attention. It could be bussing, but I highly doubt it, considering that people were still wavering on Wylted before he reported his results.
-Pie: since we have a confirmed Cop, it was pretty likely there’s a Miller as well. The absence of any counterclaims makes me reasonably sure he’s town. It’s a bit weird that scum hasn’t NKed him, but we could chalk it down to them focusing on power roles.
Slight town:
-badger: his claim seems reasonable, if a little bit obscure. I don’t really have much else to say at this time, since he hasn’t contributed much.
Null:
-crystalnyx, for obvious reasons
-Earth, for similar obvious reasons
-BK: he seems to be lurking a lot. At this point, his posts have fallen into one of two categories: sheeping the town leaders, and Information Instead of Analysis. So while I am a bit suspicious about him, I do have some gut feel that it’s possible that he’s a town simply trying not to draw too much attention to himself.
I would presume that at least one (and maybe two) of these three is scum, by process of PoE.
Slight scum:
Whiteflame: OK, so you all are probably wondering what the hell I’m thinking putting whiteflame into my slight scum pile. It’s partially because of PoE, and partially because of a feeling that he should’ve been eliminated by now.
He’s clearly leaning town behaviorally – however, I think someone mentioned last game that whiteflame is a lot calmer as scum than town. It’s possible that whiteflame caught on to this, and changed his behavior accordingly.
He’s also been leading town, along with Pie, and I honestly feel that it’s very weird that scum hasn’t even tried to NK him, especially considering his soft claim DP1.
In addition, his behavior DP2 is pretty weird. Considering he’s an experienced Mafia player, I’m surprised he didn’t recognize my signal of being silenced on DP2 (it’s a fairly standard signal, and Earth recognized it, while Wylted probably did too but didn’t focus on it because he was scum).
Instead of considering any alternative explanations for VTNLing and unvoting three times in a row, he immediately moved to go for a lynch on me. Also, he didn’t even ask me for an explanation for what I am doing – something which he would subconsciously do, if he was scum, and knew that I couldn’t reply anyway.
He was also one of the latest switchers to Wylted, switching from voting on me, to Wylted, only at the last possible moment, when it was clear that Wylted was going to be lynched anyway. Based on his meta in past games, whiteflame doesn’t like bussing, so he probably tried to avoid it, whether intentionally or not.
Furthermore, when he did finally switch onto Wylted, he tried to compensate for his lateness by writing a suspiciously angry and personal post for his reasons for lynching, in order to make it look like he was sussing Wylted the whole time.
I have some other mechanical (night play) reasons for being suspicious, but I’ll keep that quiet for now.
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VTL Wylted
Clearly trying to deflect suspicion off of himself
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@PREZ-HILTON
whiteflame, BK, Pie, and me makes 4 votes.
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Wylted is pretty hard to read for me, he's doing some weird stuff, but he always does that anyway. Let's try to get a claim before DP closes.
VTL Wylted
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@ILikePie5
Why are we lynching Wylted? I would think it makes more sense to just push for a character claim.
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@whiteflame
@SirAnonymous
BTW, since both of you have sussed me for being defensive this DP...
I was defensive against Pie because I didn't want to get mislynched. I don't really get why this is suspicious, unless there's something else you're not saying.
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@whiteflame
@SirAnonymous
Kenzo Tenma from Monster.
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Oops, was typing on my phone and didn't see that.
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@SirAnonymous
Might as well get some info DP1, since we're running out of time, so...
Vtl SirAnonymous
Vtl SirAnonymous
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@whiteflame
@SirAnonymous
My character is male, genre is drama.
I'll choose SirAnonymous to go next (no particular reason for doing so, I just don't have any scumreads so I'm choosing my most null read)
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I'll explain my reads more later after I get back from dinner.
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@ILikePie5
"I really don’t like Austin buddying me."
I'm not buddying you - I'm merely pointing out that your miller claim is unlikely to be a fake claim, and that policy lynching likely town is generally a poor idea. Mafia is usually won through POE rather than perfect scumreads.
"He also seems to be going for low hanging fruit in the form of inactives"
Considering that most active players (I don't count Earth as an active player) are leaning town, POE would suggest that at least one of the inactive players is probably mafia. It's the random voting stage anyway, so any lynch would be equally arbitrary. The reason why it appears that I'm going for "low hanging fruit" is that I honestly don't see anything scummy about the current active players. You're probably town, That2 and whiteflame are leaning town, badger and Wylted are tilt town, while SirAnon and BK are pretty null.
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@PREZ-HILTON
"There is no CC, I am happy not lynching pie since I am the only one who believes it should be a policy lynch anyway."
This makes literally zero sense..?
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@SirAnonymous
Yea, personally I'm just skeptical, since it seems that a large game like this would have a Cop (almost guaranteed) and Miller (likely). I went through a few archived games on this site with 10+ player setups, and most of them had them. Considering that no one has CC'd yet, there are three possibilities:
- There is no Cop or Miller, and Pie is going for an unnecessarily risky gambit
- The Miller is one of the two inactives
- Pie is telling the truth
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BTW, why is everyone overlooking Earth? If he can get away with lurking and posting <5 posts every single day phase, then we'd be handing him the win every time he's scum.
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@PREZ-HILTON
BK was modkilled DP1 last game, and was nowhere close to being lynched.
Why are you skeptical of Pie's miller claim? It seems quite unlikely for scum to fakeclaim it, considering the risks.
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@badger
What are your reads on Wylted?
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@whiteflame
? don't quite understand
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