3RU7AL's avatar

3RU7AL

A member since

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9

Total posts: 14,582

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Is cryptocurrency a speculative asset or a currency?
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@sadolite
It has no hard intrinsic value.
you're describing fiat
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How to interact with new members
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@Castin
9. Vote and agree that yes it's Wylted again.
yep
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Scamdemic
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@Athias
Sounds reasonable, but it's not.
right

there's still a non-insignificant gap between "best-guess-risk" and "actual-risk"
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
that sounds reasonable
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
are you suggesting that individual risk is informed by group risk ?
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
ecological fallacy, in epidemiology, failure in reasoning that arises when an inference is made about an individual based on aggregate data for a group.
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
Probability is about the if - a point you evade by magically bypassing the bit the probability applies to.
it's a critical point

your chances of PICKING a blue ball at random may very well be 95%

this is much different than claiming that each ball has a 95% chance of being blue

the blue balls have a 100% chance of being blue

the "not blue" balls have a 0% chance of being blue
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
if 95% of balls in a box are blue - the probability of any individual box being blue is 95%.
iff there are 100 balls in a box and 95 of those balls are blue then there is a 100% chance that if one of those 95 blue balls is picked at random, it will be blue and a 100% chance that if one of the "not blue" balls is picked at random, it will NOT be blue
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
justifying the reasons I take issue with what you said.
justifying them to YOUR OWN PERSONAL SATISFACTION
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
If the true chance of death due to Covid in a population - P(death) is 95%, if you are part of that population - you have a 95% chance due to Covid. (If 95% of balls in box are blue, any given ball from the box has a 95% chance of being blue.)
false
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
Throwaway dismissals like this are themselves fairly meaningless.
how ironic
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
Misrepresenting how that statistic is applied - by asserting that risk parameters are making specific statements about your risk with all known and unknown factors considered - which it is not
i'm glad we can all agree
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Scamdemic
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@Ramshutu
You seem to have dedicated this entire post to completely avoiding my argument through this strategy.
refusing to chase down red-herrings
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Scamdemic
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@Athias
P1. 95% of an unvaccinated sample of French Polynesian men have died from COVID-19
P2. Athias is an unvaccinated French Polynesian man.
C. Therefore, Athias has a 95% chance of dying of COVID-19.
great point
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
I will give you one more chance to clarify to me which drugs you'd make illegal or legal before ceasing to entertain you by explaining my side. You do not deserve my explanation if you're all offense and zero defense.
i'm open to suggestions

this is more of a "brain-storm"

and less of a "policy debate"
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@oromagi
Researchers gave thousands of dollars to homeless people. The results defied stereotypes.
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
Yeah, Tylenol? Panadol? You want to outlaw paracetemol/acetaminophen painkillers?
how deadly is "too deadly" ?
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
which ones are not bad?
great question

do you have any theories ?
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
So, which drugs do you support making illegal?
the bad ones of course
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@Lemming
But sounds as if a many of those overdoses are suicidal in nature.
perhaps we should screen buyers for depression
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
You're the same guy who wants drugs to be legal elsewhere.
what the hell are you talking about ?
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@Lemming
such is easily avoidable for most people.
The active drug in Tylenol, acetaminophen, is one of the best medications we have for helping people in pain. It's also one of the most commonly overdosed substances in the world, and it puts about 60,000 Americans in the hospital every year. Several hundred people in the U.S. will die in 2013 from liver failure after acetaminophen overdose.
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
what if you knew you were going to be in constant and severe pain for the rest of your life ?
this is a stand-alone question
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
Why should they all be outlawed?
it's a thought-experiment

what do you think might be the result of such a policy ?
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
1. all pain-killers should be outlawed ≠ claim that painkillers will give you chronic pain if you take them

2. do you take pain-killers ? ≠ claim that painkillers will give you chronic pain if you take them

3. what if you knew you were going to be in constant and severe pain for the rest of your life ? ≠ claim that painkillers will give you chronic pain if you take them
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
claim that painkillers will give you chronic pain if you take them
i never made such a claim
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
The often complex, multidimensional, and subjective nature of pain makes it very challenging to assess
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Posted in:
Is cryptocurrency a speculative asset or a currency?
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@RationalMadman
also,

factually incorrect
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Posted in:
Is cryptocurrency a speculative asset or a currency?
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@RationalMadman
genetic fallacy

your turn
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Posted in:
Is cryptocurrency a speculative asset or a currency?
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@Vader
Most NFT's are gonna crash
NON-FUNGIBLE
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Posted in:
Is cryptocurrency a speculative asset or a currency?
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@RationalMadman
feel free to present a better example
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Is cryptocurrency a speculative asset or a currency?
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@RationalMadman
criminals use phones

therefore

allphonesshouldbebanned
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
how do you measure pain ?
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Posted in:
Is cryptocurrency a speculative asset or a currency?
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@RationalMadman
It is for criminals to purchase the most taboo things ever
more criminals use $cash$ than crytpo

therefore

$cash$ should be outlawed
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
you take pain medicine when you're in pain

iff you were experiencing more chronic and more severe pain then you might consider a more powerful pain-killer

iff it is considered "moral" to take mild pain-killers to mitigate mild pain then it must be considered "moral" to take stronger pain-killers to mitigate more severe pain
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
why do you take pain medication ?
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WTF Just Happened
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@Intelligence_06
Well, what are pain killer anyways. I had took a tablet to ease the pain of my recent teeth surgery, does that count as a pain killer?
100% YES
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Is cryptocurrency a speculative asset or a currency?
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@rbelivb
But the price would need to stabilise long term for this to viable right?
price stability is a function of denomination
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
Yeah, not like any kind of addiction or whatever but let's say every few months if a reason pops up to take them, I will not hesitate a huge amount.
what if you knew you were going to be in constant and severe pain for the rest of your life ?
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@RationalMadman
you are a scientologist?
do you take pain-killers ?
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@ILikePie5
We think they’ll use it for food but it could just as well be drugs.
all pain-killers should be outlawed
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@Lemming
(1) PROTECT YOURSELF
(2) PROTECT YOUR FAMILY
(3) PROTECT YOUR PROPERTY

and then maybe think about helping strangers at some point if and when you feel like it
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@Lemming
Not so much morality in 'general,
which could be summed up as (perhaps), "in my personal experience, it does not appear to be useful to me in most cases, to give money to homeless and or otherwise needy individuals"

the key point for me seems to be the fact that it is cheaper to provide shelter and food for homeless individuals than it is to provide emergency medical services

and when i say "cheaper" i mean in terms of tax dollars
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@Lemming
egoism is a good starting point

are you saying basically that things that make you feel bad are bad ?
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Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@Double_R
Mine
can you describe your personal moral theory ?
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after twenty-odd years, I'm transcending christianity…
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@rbelivb
everything can be condensed down to reducing errors in "communication"
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after twenty-odd years, I'm transcending christianity…
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@rbelivb
Alfred Korzybski
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Posted in:
Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@FLRW
Mumbai beggar was a millionaire, police find after his death
therefore all beggars are millionaires
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Posted in:
Is it moral to give money to beggers
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@Lemming
I've given money to a begger at 'least once in my life, I'd 'suspect it's possible I've given money other times in life, whether to beggars or more normal people who just needed a bit for whatever reason, even if just to buy a soda at work or something.
what is your moral opinion on giving money to people who support child labor ?
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