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@Savant
@JoeBob
Pretty sure that GP mentioned the person who gets probed gets notified.
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IMO BK is being sus not because he's being anti-town, but because he's being anti-town in a way that deviates from his meta.
In his previous games as town, he usually just gets upset and attempts self-destruction when people sus him. Instead, here, he's trying to push the lynch onto someone else, and it doesn't quite feel right.
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@whiteflame
I guess that’s true, though notably you’d have to survive out to that point to achieve either of those goals and your decision not to claim might have just hampered that. Honestly, you could’ve gotten away with the character claim alone or just claimed normal Bleeder to invite the quick hammer. Its oddly anti-town to specify the flavor.
Yeah, I didn't really think that one through, although I think that's how Bleeder is usually flavored anyway, based on my research. I had like 5 minutes before a class and I wanted to out my role so I didn't get quickhammered.
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@Vader
I defined Bleeder differently in my game so that it only worked on NKs. It's a bit of a obscure role tbh so it's not rly standardized.
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@Best.Korea
I'd rather not, since I'd be dead at the end of the next day.
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@whiteflame
I could have baited a quickhammer in a MYLO situation and then voted out scum with town the next day. Or I could extend reaching MYLO by one day if scum killed me during the night.
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I am the Bleeder, but it's weirdly flavored (for balance reasons I presume). If I die in the DP, I get revived for the NP and then die at the end of the next DP (I can still vote and post during that DP). If I die in the NP, I get revived for the DP and then die at the end of the next NP (and can still be targeted during that NP).
E.g.
Lynched DP2, I survive to the end of DP3
NKed NP2, I survive to the end of NP3
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@JoeBob
Not sure why you outed that but it doesn't really matter, only a true maniac would try and claim that knowing Innocent Child was in the game.
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I'm actually so annoyed rn... my role is fudged now.
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@JoeBob
I don't regret my train on Pie, because it locked him into a claim and he was behaving scummy. I regret pressuring Barney in retrospect, but I want to emphasize that I didn't start his train and immediately retracted my pressure once he responded.
I guess I am defensive about revealing my role. I have a lot of pressure so I will claim. Really sucks cuz the role is going to lose most of its utility now
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@Vader
Yes, because I was scum in the previous game, which I why I didn't get defensive... Self-righteousness is an inherent requirement for being defensive.
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@JoeBob
I have a higher opinion of your mafia skills than this. Give me a reason and I'll give you a claim. (I suppose threatening to lynch me is a reason, but not a great one.)
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I’m not scum, Korea is likely not scum. So Savant is the only person who could be scum. You forget that my wagon had 4 people in a span of like 10 minutes. Your wagon is nothing. Furthermore, your statement here makes no sense. You said you don’t claim if scum is pressuring you, but then refer to Barney as town, who you scumread. Yet you state that they have to convince you and then you’re going to claim? Why the double standard between yourself and me?
The wagon on me had 3 people in 6 minutes, so around 1.25 times the rate of votes. That's hardly "nothing." Also, I townread Barney. I've said it multiple times. His response to his wagon is too maniacal to be scum. Purposefully ignoring that to twist my words is scummy af.
And yes, it's a double standard, because I know that I'm town and I think that you aren't.
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And again, I'm not claiming unless I have a good reason to.
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There’s only 3 people including me. The other two were on my wagon. Your wagon is not that big either. You found data to support your claim but disregarded other, contradictory data, which I pointed out. That’s by definition cherry picking. You did the same thing with Supa last game. As for Barney, now you scumread him for the reason I was pushing him in the first place, yet you still scumread me? That makes zero sense.
There's a big difference between lurking in the beginning of the day and lurking after 4 people are voting you. I also found that wagon relatively unprovoked. And searching for patterns in data, by definition, requires finding data to support a claim, so I'm not sure what you're getting at.
His character is a main character. So you have to think he’s faking that too. It looks like everyone is faking what they’re saying according to you.
I find him suspicious behaviorally, while mechanically speaking, he's a null. Doctor could be a fakeclaim, or it might not. He's rolled doctor 2 times in the past few games though I think, so it would be a fakeclaim that he would be likely to try.
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@JoeBob
Well let’s see. Barney is more aggressive then when he is scum, makes me think he is town. Whiteflame is playing the same way he did last game, when he was town. Those two are the only others than haven’t full claimed. Which leaves you.
How would you compare my play this game to my last game? This is a genuine question, not rhetorical.
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Right now Barney and Austin are both on the chopping block. We know zero about their roles, and their behavior has been generally suspect, for whatever that's worth. Now Barney comes up with a convenient excuse to get everyone to unvote when Austin has 3 votes against him. Seems like they could both be scum but trying not to seem like they're defending each other.
This is just poor logic in general. Up until the lynch, votes are nothing than a fancy way of saying "I suspect this player." To seriously think that Barney's suggestion of avoiding a lynch until Joebob, the town-confirmed player, decides on one, is somehow a roundabout way of preventing any lynch from occurring at all, makes no sense.
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@Savant
I said behavioral reads are useless (or close to useless) if scum do what they would do as town. I buy that catching people in a lie is the point of mafia, but let's be honest and admit that special roles change the whole dynamic. Concrete evidence will always be a better way of catching liars than vibes alone. In Town of Salem, most lynching is done based on actual evidence since people have special abilities and the game is text-based, making it hard to catch liars (humans are bad lie detectors anyway). Forum mafia is closer to TOS than it is to traditional mafia. I go off behavioral reads when there's nothing else, but it will almost always be less effective than actual evidence.
The whole point is that scum can't imitate town. They have the burden of knowing they have no way to genuinely scumhunt, the burden of knowing that every vote of theirs is pushing for a mislynch, and the burden of trying to misdirect town while also appearing town.
There's a type of forum mafia called "mountainous" which is essentially a themeless, roleless game. Town wins about 30-40% of the time based on both expectationss and theoretical results. https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Mountainous
So no, behavioral reads are never useless. In fact, they should take priority over anything else, especially in a game by a mod who has admitted in the past that he gives scum ways to counter and misdirect all of town's PRs, and who has a history of making setups with a non-obvious themesplit and strong fakeclaims.
And let's be honest, of the players that have given no information, your behavior makes you the most suspicious. So going after you is based on a behavioral read. I'm almost certain it's you or Pie, so we'll get at least one scum.
Please clarify your behavioral reads. And what do you mean by "I'm almost certain it's you or Pie, so we'll get at least one scum?"
It's also odd you would accuse me since I followed you into voting Pie given how certain you were, until he claimed the main character with no counterclaims.
I don't find you voting for Pie scummy, I find the fact that you did it with very little reasoning other than just following the crowd suspicious. We're well past the point of voting people randomly. You've given thorough explanations for almost all your other actions in this game, so why bandwagoning Pie?
Scum cannot afford to sacrifice for their own in 7v2, so if you are town and our certain that Pie is scum, you would have a great reason to believe that I am town. Even if I rely 100% on behavioral reads, your actions don't make sense.
Pie was never in danger of being lynched, period. In fact, distancing (scum voting each other without intent to elim) is a pretty common tell.
Given that you've accused everyone except Barney, and he's avoided voting for you, I highly suspect the two of you.
I've in fact accused two, maybe three, people at most. I townread him because his utter righteous indignation and his lack of hesitance to antagonize several active players is at odds from how he played in the last game. And by this logic of "players not voting each other must be scum", you can make arbitrary associations between anyone in the game.
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@ILikePie5
So BK is a scum doctor? Possible though unlikely with his character claim not being CCed.Also your entire premise of going after me was manufactured. I clearly pointed that out. I character claimed and role claimed with hesitation because of your manufacturing. You even cherry picked data from Lunatic’s games to support your cause, which I pointed out. You also then say you want Barney’s claim after saying that you townread him for not reading the OP.
Good job completely dodging my point regarding the speed of the wagon. I didn't cherry-pick data, not sure why you keep pushing on that - finding evidence for a pattern is hardly cherry-picking. My townread on Barney was pretty weak, I even mentioned that "I townread him slightly". Failing to read the OP is a towntell but lurking for almost 24 hours was far scummier.
So you want to lynch a claimed Doctor? Please explain
I find his behavior anti-town, but he's not my top scumread at the moment. I also think Doctor is a pretty easy fakeclaim considering few characters in the show that I know of have healing powers.
Who’s hesitating to claim now?
I don't claim because scum is pressuring me, I claim because town is pressuring me. If Joebob, Barney, Vader, GP, and maybe whiteflame gives convincing reasons, then I will claim.
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@Best.Korea
I'm not claiming unless at least two players who I townread threaten to vote me and give good reasoning why.
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@ILikePie5
I find it weird that the literal namesake of the series doesn't even get assigned an active role (Commuter is basically a combination of two passive roles, Bulletproof and Ascetic). It's also an easy claim to explain why you're not getting NKed, as well as explaining any failed investigations and whatnot. This was the exact reason why I fakeclaimed Ascetic in the last game.Commuter can be activatable regardless of which of the three options I am. It’s basically a doctor that can’t be targeted when commuting. -[PIE]
Commuter has nothing to do with being a doctor. Wanna explain this?
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Reads. I've finally cleared out the null pile, at least.
Locktown:
Joebob
Lean town:
Barney
Vader
Greyparrot
Slight town:
whiteflame
Slight scum:
BK
Savant
Lean scum:
Pie
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Maybe it's because I've never played this version before, but I'm not sure how reliable behavioral reads are. Scum could just do whatever they would do if they were town, and suddenly behavioral reads are useless. Getting some amount of information is the only way to catch them in a lie. Maybe we're giving scum information, but we're getting information too. Town needs information to kill scum, scum doesn't need information to kill town. Plus scum already knows the theme and has some idea about how fake claims correlate to characters, so someone giving their role is more useful to us than to them.
Savant's behavioral reads feel manufactured. It's a combination of following the flow of townread players, as well as generic points that he can play off as being a newbie. Like... "behavioral reads are useless" because scum tries to act town? Yeah, that's the whole point of mafia, to find inconsistencies when they try and act town. I think he's smarter than this and he's trying to force out claims for no reason.
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I think the overnight discussion between whiteflame and BK makes them move a little further apart in both directions to town and scum, respectively. whiteflame's aggressiveness is almost identical to the last game where he was town.
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My role is semi-confirmable but can't be done so without losing most of its utility. I'm not claiming more than this.
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BK is blatantly wagon shopping. He's hopped on three different wagons so far with little reasoning behind it.
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@JoeBob
You're town-confirmed. Please explain (in your own words or from others) why you want to lynch me.
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Lol 3 votes in 6 minutes from Pie, Savant, BK. I guarantee that at least two of them are scum, probably Pie + Savant/BK. Y'all are accusing the wagon on Pie of forming too quickly and then you go and pull this.
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@Vader
I will partially back up Barney here, my justification is related to my power but it's about a specific incident where my power was used.
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@Vader
I'll be honest, I clicked on the completely wrong wiki article because I misread my PM, it's definitely way below 10,000 words. Also can you explain more why BK needs to be pressured?
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Reads before I go off for the night:
Locktown:
Joebob
Lean town:
Barney (mostly because of his above posts. At this point, I'm not going to join any attempt to get a claim from him).
Slight town:
Vader (generally making useful contributions, thinking things through, some non-fluff analysis)
Greyparrot (convincing + testable role claim, meh behavior otherwise)
Null:
Best.Korea (not much to go off of, mostly generic posts)
whiteflame (strikes me as somewhat passive, strategic pressure is a bit weird, otherwise nothing rly out of the ordinary)
Savant (don't know much about his playstyle, hard to tell whether a lack of substantiative analysis is lurky or just newbish)
Slight scum:
Pie (gut read + generally avoidant behavior + reluctance to claim and slightly scummy roleclaim)
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@Vader
IDK you might be right, I'm probably tunneling too hard, but I still had a strong FOS on pie. Honestly I'm just trying a different town playstyle, in Indie Games I built up a lot of towncred that meant nothing in the face of a well-timed NK and remaining town being silly. I'm trying to be a lot more aggressive and provoke some genuine reactions.
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@Barney
You’re a better player than this.
I am in fact not :<
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I townread Barney hard for that. Based on the previous game, he can't really manage that righteous indignation as scum. Furthermore, scummies don't antagonize five players in five posts, which may be a record in and of itself.
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I think Barney has been lurky enough that I'm fine getting a claim from him, I guess.
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@ILikePie5
What is weird about it, and why do you not buy it? What do you want to do now? Answering my questions would be a start
I find it weird that the literal namesake of the series doesn't even get assigned an active role (Commuter is basically a combination of two passive roles, Bulletproof and Ascetic). It's also an easy claim to explain why you're not getting NKed, as well as explaining any failed investigations and whatnot. This was the exact reason why I fakeclaimed Ascetic in the last game.
What do you want to do now?
Give your reads, preferably.
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Kinda weird claim by Pie. I don't really buy it, but I suppose it's semi-confirmable later on.
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@Vader
Speaking of which, I noticed a pattern. It looks like role justifications for the most part are based on the powers the hero has. With GP’s claim, my role and character, and Pies role and character, I think we can assume that the role justification are based on the abilities. Is this true for everyone?Without char claiming or doing that, can you see if this is true with your characters?
Pretty much.
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@Savant
He's hoping that his char claim will lead people to quietly drop the wagon.
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@Savant
VTL Pie
Pie got away with avoiding a role claim. Let's get him to 4/5 again and let Joebob force him to roleclaim.
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My initial vote on Pie was 1/3 pushing for a claim, 1/3 based on behavior, and 1/3 a reaction test. If anything, Pie's reaction has only solidified my reads.
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@Vader
Well I guess we will wait to see Austin's defense
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@Savant
But that's the point, Lunatic as a mod has a history of not giving MCs to town. He's said in the past that he doesn't like excessive focus on thematic analysis, mod psyche, and other non-behavioral crap.
I think the info that he gave a fakeclaim hint to mafia is really important. Giving a hint only makes sense if it's a hint to a character that the mafia team would otherwise expect would be already taken. Mark Grayson is the definition of this.
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I'm going to be honest and say I really have nothing other than a very strong gut feeling that Pie intuited the fakeclaim, e.g.:
"Mafia were not directly given fake claims! However I did give them a very strong hint to a role claim, and it is an open set up, so they will have a list of characters to choose from that may exist in this game."
Lunatic has a history of not giving protags and strong characters and town. E.g. in Stormlight Archives he gave arguably the two main characters, Kaladin and Jasnah, as fakeclaims. In MMA mafia he gave boxing and JJ for mafia, for Ozark he gave the entire flipping Byrde family.
I don't believe that Lunatic would give the main character of Invincible to a town player because it would essentially clear them since people blindly believe thematic analysis.
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Pie is clearly fakeclaiming, I would literally bet my account on this. Give me a few minutes.
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@JoeBob
You ought to threaten Pie with a hammer, he's trying to quietly avoid claiming
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