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Lunatic

A member since

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Total posts: 10,910

Posted in:
United States House of Representatives Mafia DP5
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@warren42
@Speedrace
Well my gut screams warren, but I would almost lynch speed just because the pain of getting outplayed by speed again hurts worse. Please make your cases against each other. Use as much WIFOM and behavioral analysis as you can. At least a paragraph or two doesn't have to be an essay. I just wanna do the game due dilligence. I fvcking hate lylo, and don't wanna be accused of rushing anything. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP5
speed 100% would have forfeited last night lol This has to be warren 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP5
started drinking shortly after last day phase ended; Things are clicking now.
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP5
oh nvm this was always a possibility
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP5
Lol sorry guys, I was dumb. For some reason I thought we had it solved last day phase. Why am I so confused
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP5
does this not indicate speed as scum
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP5
hold up im confused lol I thought we would have won if speed was soldier what am i missing 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
Stating the obvious here but: If any one dies tonight (wont happen) then speed is scum. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
lets get to the next phase rq
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@Speedrace
yeah hammer the vtnl I wanna end the game tonight
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
This is literally between warren and drafter at this point. No benefit in speed doing what he is doing as scum.
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
Guarantees us 2 townies confirmed.
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@Speedrace
If he's town, he finds out scum is me or drafter (from his perspective). If he's scum, he just says scum is me or drafter. I don't see how those scenarios are going to change what we think because they give absolutely no reflection on his affiliation
Thats hella helpful because we know whoever he is framing is an either him or the person he's framing scenario, so we can poe the other...
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@Speedrace
If you want to VTNL that's fine with me since the ultimate outcome will be the same, but ultimately it's just a waste of time
If your town this is only the case for you. Outcome is undetermined until we get results from his backup which he reportedly can use tonight. 
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@Speedrace
I already thought about VTNLing. If we VTNL, scum waives. If they don't waive, they HAVE to kill me. The problem then is, it's still up in the air between warren and drafter as to who is scum, and that is something Lunatic chooses. If scum doesn't waive, there are then THREE possible mislynches, which is better odds than two. Then maf tries to get a mislynch, and they kill me the following NP, and they win.

So VTNLing doesn't do anything because no matter who scum is, they'll always waive.

It forces warren to get results or fake results, making it an either/or situation if drafter motivates him. If he claims roleblocked he scum because no one has claimed roleblocked so far lol
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@warren42
Right. By why would speed not think to no lynch then. He’s smart enough to do that. It makes me think the only reason that thought didn’t occur to him is because that’s not his role and he forgot to think about the gameplay as if it was.
I agree which is why I said it was kind of sus since HE was the one who pointed out that logic to me. But regardless.

VNTL is still our best bet here. Get you some results.
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
The only kill mafia can make  tonight that makes sense is speed or forfeit. And we get results. If I die, than you know its speed and we win. GG

We should be vtnling. 


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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
Actually I’ll explain why it was bad and speed can explain himself. I’m gonna have to explain it and let the cat out of the bag if mafia didn’t already realize it.

If speed is soldier town wins if he’s the last alive right?

So we no lynch. If speed doesn’t die, he’s at F3. Then it doesn’t matter who gets lynched, town wins. Speed didn’t even think to consider that. Why not, speed?

Exactly. They have to forfeit tonight or speed is town and they kill him. Speed seeded this last phase. No lynching just gives you results and makes this 50/50 instead of 25%
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@drafterman
that was scummy af
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@warren42
wanna lynch drafter?
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
unvote
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@warren42
My results won’t matter, nobody would or should believe them if they didn’t buy my deputy claim
That's not the point, you will believe them since you are town yes? If you get an innocent its still a 50/50 scenario because you know the remaining un investigated is scum. You will insta vote them. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@drafterman
You will motivate warren yes?
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
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@warren42
Lunatic when have you known me to give up as scum?

I’ve literally fought against being investigated guilty to the end

That’s a minor bone I wanted to pick from last DP but drafter ended it *glares*

I don't think you actually would have hammered yourself, which is why you were still arguing with me. But whatevs I don't want to tunnel vision or think too much about it til we have to. I wanna go through with letting you get results and force your hand into setting this up into a 50/50 or forcing sucm to kill you. Chances are you die tonight and I know its between speed and drafter, which is also good. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
job*
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
We 100% no lynch here. Warren will have to use his role tonight or scum kill him. If scum kill him then they make towns jon easier because warren is a mislynch target. Warrens results will guarantee us a 50/50 scenario tomorrow, even if mafia try to confuse things by forfeiting.

Does drafters role still go through if hes killed? Shouldn't matter either way but if it does, thats huge. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
drafter strengthen warren tonight. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
Actually I have an idea. I think we no lynch. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
Ngl still scum read warren but I always get paranoid near MLYO/LYLO so I will reset reads and look over stuff again. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
vTNL
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
I guess we can no lynch. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP4
Well ima just sit back for a second and watch how things play out. Speed's insta vota kind of sus but I guess he has town read drafter since d1 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
vtl waterphoenix... Let's get warren tomorrow if the game doesn't end. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
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@Speedrace
To me, b/c it's nonprovable, unlikely to be taken by town, and has an easy justification, that's why I don't see him doing it.

Also the defense of WF, which I do think he could do as town but makes sense for him to do as scum too

Water, who doesn't even know what a soldier does, despite it being used in at least 3 recent games (including one pie hosted that he played in) knows some vague role about wills? Who would have helped him come up with that? Whiteflame hasn't played with a role like that and I doubt GP helped with it. Idk maybe they did lol. If he had inside information and knew whiteflame was scum and argued against his lynch since 200 pages before his hammer, I just don't see scum doing that. Maybe I am wrong. I'll consider it. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
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@WaterPhoenix
What's the exact title of your role?
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
So its water or warren. I am still leaning warren, based on everything I have seen. I may be convinced to get water on the condition warren is the next lynch, and if someone can present better arguments for water instead of warren but I don't really see it. Water's claim doesn't seem like a last ditch scum claim to save everything where warrens does. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
Speedrace as scum would want to keep as many mislynch options as possible. His stance on drafter has been that he is town from day phase 1. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
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@Speedrace
If we're both alive next DP we can talk about it more then, doesn't really matter rn
These could be my famous last words, but I am already writing you off as town lol. Re-read dp1 a few times. I know your capable of bussing but there wasn't much of a reason to. That was a pretty hard bus on whiteflame, and whiteflame could have easily been saved that phase. The reasons to lynch him, while I agree showed he wasn't scum hunting, were WIFOM largely.  


This was also way early on in the day phase, and easily deterable. You took a hard stance on it, and literally never tried claiming credit for it, which scum would be trying to do especially since your a big part of the mislynch POE. 

I'll feel like a HUGE idiot if im wrong, and just policy lynch you from now on if I am lol. Not really lol but seriously you better not be scum here because behaviorally you are seeming town. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
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@warren42
I'll vote myself, but Bullish wanted to put together thoughts, please don't end this before the cop is able to do share his thoughts with the thread.
If you were town why vote yourself when there is clearly more support for a water lynch at this point? It's only me and drafter on you, we could potentially get water  too. If you are town there is never a good reason to hammer yourself. I read this more as exhausted scum giving up...
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
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@Speedrace
I am not lying, the thing I'm "hiding" is just logic about how the next NP/DP is going to play out, but saying that tells Maf pretty much exactly what the optimal play is but if you still want it then I'll tell you
I think I see what you mean but I doubt that will happen even if they are aware of it. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
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@warren42
Let's assume I'm scum. I wouldn't fear your role, I'd fear that 1. you're a good player and 2. you're widely townread.

I appreciate you buttering me up, but no, I don't believe that you would leave me alive for those reasons. You have left me alive to WIFOM with me in live mafia at least twice that I can remember, and I fell for it hard once, partly because I was extremely high and felt like I was missing something. Alternatively, I would expect a noob scum to kill me for those reasons over a vet. 

I think you're a better player than supa (no offense supa, lunatic is good) and he wasn't widely townread. So what, I should be afraid of him because he had a 1x role? No.

If you knew he was a 1x role it stands to reason he probably had results that didn't implicate anyone. If he were to revel those results today, that potential town confirms someone. Not that you knew that he was a tracker per se. But you could have if there's some mafia role cop or something. Regardless, the supa kill is something I would have done as scum, and I see a vet pulling it off over a noob.

Would you put it past water to not know the vote count
There was a vote count 5 posts above the one I referenced.

Is this in reference to my role claim or character claim?
Role claim.

The former I claimed because I thought that my claim would be accepted at face value. How naive. Then if bullish had two innocents (or even better a guilty) it's gg. I was excited that if I outted that I was deputy before cop outted I was basically guaranteeing that I was the deputy, so it was as good as solved. Turns out not so much.
Why did you come into the day phase thinking you would be the top scum read and needing to claim immediately to be confirmed before a cop claimed would be necessary? 


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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
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@warren42
I know I asked you to claim shortly after you did, but why did you panic claim from one vote of drafters?
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
i'm gonna be honest, i really don't think whiteflame's that sus and elminster and lunatic are just reading into him way too much. that's gonna look really bad for me if whiteflame flips scum if he dies somehow but i don't really care because i don't really think he's scum. i have a slight scum read onto lunatic for pushing whiteflame and i think it's safe to say if he is town then white flame is scum and vice versa.  a scum team between lunatic and elminster in my opinion is very unlikely and i'm almost one hundred percent elminster is town. as for everyone else i have a null.
I keep wanting to town read water for this, but god damn, maybe he was trying to set me up as a mislynch? IDK. Would he still be hard defending whiteflame at this point? Also whiteflame/GP/water seems like a really weak scum team
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3

2 votes after the whiteflame wagon
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
yeah bro but you obviously voted him solely because you thought he was a baby. if he did what he did that one game where he ragequit and throws the game and gets himself modkilled then yeah it's definitely his bad. but you immediately voting him at the start just proves his point about us "tunneling" him which needlessly incites him. he might've been incited anyways but i don't think you voting him at the start saying "Oh. Mikal is here. Let's get this out of the way then." helped.
Waterphoenix along with grey and whiteflame at this point all town reading elminster publicly when he died the next day phase. 
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
->@Greyparrot
I am the electrician able to see anyone who visits me whether it is scum or town. my justification is because my representative is big in the energy field.
this makes sense

Waterphoenix ^
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
Whiteflames first two votes were water and GP... Hmmm...
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
Would water just wagon his partner like this?

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@Speedrace
unvote

can you spill the beans on what you are hiding? The more I think about it, the more I can't see a reason why you would. I am guessing that you are lying about your role or something, but even if thats the case and your confirmable tonight thats a good thing, we can cross you off the suspect list. We could use the POE today. What are you talking about?
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United States House of Representatives Mafia DP3
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@warren42
Because he was a potential mislynch and there are way better kills based on how hard you, for one, pushed whiteflame D1. Supa had openly claimed to be 1x. I don't fear any 1x role, especially if, as you seem to agree, I knew there was a cop from the beginning of the game.
I'll ignore the fact that this is WIFOM and indulge you because you just proved my own point on why you wouldn't have killed me. You yourself said you don't fear a 1x role, which is also me. And for a bit of reverse WIFOM, it seemed at the end of last day phase I would pursue drafter today. If scum thought I would help them with a mislynch, they would 100% leave me alive. It's exactly the reason I planted that seed that I thought drafter was behind the kill. 

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