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@AustinL0926
Please do not vote yet, we still have 5 hours.
I'm going to be at a meeting for 1-2hrs. Even if I wanted to, I wouldn't be able too
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@AustinL0926
I honestly can't really tell what this could be for Austin. For me it seems like it's a desperation attempt to try and get lynch off him at some point. I also have seen him do this a few times before as scum when he was first starting. Granted that was awhile ago and I think his game has evolved, but I think it was only 2 games I personally played with him and seems to contrast. However in the last game, he benefited a lot from laying behind and me and whiteflame did a lot of the bickering. This is a different story here and if he tried to do the same thing I think he would be likely scum read.IDK man. If you really don't see a difference between my play last game and this game, then I'm not really sure what to say. If you think that I'm trying to get a mislynch by pushing two moderately townread players (Pie and Savant), then I'm a little bit annoyed that you think I would play this blatantly as scum.
Savant isn't town read. Mostly null with minor town read. Only one is Pie at the moment and even then he's probably the least town read town read besides GP and Joe
Hard to say. I still think Barney is my top candidate solely because of the inconsistency with his role justification being from the characters personality and not power,I'm not a fan of pushing Barney, but lynching without even asking him for his justification is crazy. Not even mentioning that Lunatic said that the justifications don't necessarily make sense...
I guess that is true. Mine makes sense for my character and their powers but their power also relates to what they are for the most part. Plus Barney corrected me on my theory anyway in a post ago so either way, my suspicion kinda waves off
but I could see the behavioral reasons as to voting Austin. I also think Austin claiming makes it easier for town to decipher. I also think his role aligns pretty damn well with his character for the most part. However, Austin could be trying to pull a fast one with the Bleeder. Here is what I thinkHis role has a flavor of Bleeder where it also includes DP. I think what is in the realm of possibilities is that Austin can claimed he had been NK'd in like DP2-3 and draw out a mislynch while sacrificing himself. I could see that as a play but could Austin pull it off?Can you clarify what you mean by this?
You said you are a bleeder. If you die in NP2 you live til NP3. If you claim that, you essentially avoid being lynched because you claimed "I bled out so no reason to kill, I can be confirmed next DP." You live til at least DP3 when you say this if town buy your statement. You get the MYLO out of what you stated. It's a bit unclear
Not sure. I think his behavior aligns a bit with scum enough to where I wouldn't have problem lynching him. I'd rather not put the hammer until I analyze the full situation a bit more in depthThat wouldn't really be the worst of all possibilities, I suppose, but I'm not going to let myself get mislynched without a fight.
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@Barney
inconsistency with his role justification being from the characters personality and not powerNot to straw-man, but that logic is flawed when you consider JoeBob’s claim of Oliver…A Viltrimite/insect hybrid who ages and learns super fast, with a truly perfect memory such that he fondly remembers Omni-Man from listening in the womb… Being an innocent child has nothing to do with his powers.You can also scroll over the character list for the squishy humans who don’t have powers at all.
I actually overlooked this. I apologize. I forgot that he claimed Oliver. This puts you out of my FoS
Unvote
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@AustinL0926
The only thing I don't like about Austin's behavior is that it seems to jump around a lot from his claims. It seems very drastic versus a natural shift, almost as if it's manufactured.Can you show where I've jumped around? Pretty sure that my reads have been fairly consistent...
By jumping around, I don't mean you are changing your reads, I mean as in your lynch targets. Sure, you have stated the same targets on who you want to lynch, but you have hopped onto every wagon there is with role claiming and looking at who to lynch. From Pie, to BK, to Barney. Your Pie train was literally a 6 post turn into an L-1 spearheaded by you, then it jumped to BK and then you cried foul when it happened to you.
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I honestly can't really tell what this could be for Austin. For me it seems like it's a desperation attempt to try and get lynch off him at some point. I also have seen him do this a few times before as scum when he was first starting. Granted that was awhile ago and I think his game has evolved, but I think it was only 2 games I personally played with him and seems to contrast. However in the last game, he benefited a lot from laying behind and me and whiteflame did a lot of the bickering. This is a different story here and if he tried to do the same thing I think he would be likely scum read.
Hard to say. I still think Barney is my top candidate solely because of the inconsistency with his role justification being from the characters personality and not power, but I could see the behavioral reasons as to voting Austin. I also think Austin claiming makes it easier for town to decipher. I also think his role aligns pretty damn well with his character for the most part. However, Austin could be trying to pull a fast one with the Bleeder. Here is what I think
His role has a flavor of Bleeder where it also includes DP. I think what is in the realm of possibilities is that Austin can claimed he had been NK'd in like DP2-3 and draw out a mislynch while sacrificing himself. I could see that as a play but could Austin pull it off?
His role has a flavor of Bleeder where it also includes DP. I think what is in the realm of possibilities is that Austin can claimed he had been NK'd in like DP2-3 and draw out a mislynch while sacrificing himself. I could see that as a play but could Austin pull it off?
Not sure. I think his behavior aligns a bit with scum enough to where I wouldn't have problem lynching him. I'd rather not put the hammer until I analyze the full situation a bit more in depth
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This is the whiteflame I'm a lot more used to seeing than the last game. Logical and consistent with his behavior. WF gets put in the slight town pile for me
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@Savant
Austin "suspects" me because he thinks I want to frame best Best.Korea. Then he turns around and advocated lynching Best.Korea.
Honestly I'd have to read more into this than what you said
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@AustinL0926
Austin's lynch choices make zero sense for day 1:ILikePie5 - Claimed the main character with no counterclaimsBK - Claimed doctor and arguably second main character in the show, with no counterclaimsSavant - Said multiple times that my role can be confirmed.
The only thing I don't like about Austin's behavior is that it seems to jump around a lot from his claims. It seems very drastic versus a natural shift, almost as if it's manufactured.
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@Barney
Do you have any thoughts as to why you were not pressured for a claim?I don’t think you should claim anything at this point, but behaviorally there’s an oddity there.
Just as my response to be why Pie was pressured for a claim, I would say I have no clue. Randomness, maybe reads, not really sure why I haven't this DP.
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@Barney
I stand by my earlier idea of letting the fully confirmed townie lead the charge. If he rolls the dice, there’s a 25% chance he catches scum. An educated guess will hopefully be better odds than that; but it’s a wagon at least initiated with the assurance of no bad motives behind it
I am going to disagree with blindly doing this. JoeBob is town, but we have pressured in the past for having bad logic at times and being lurky. All we get out of Joe is that, "he's honest." This doesn't mean he will have the best reads per say. I think we should look at what Joe says, but not blindly follow his train. I think that's actually more scummy than it is town
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@Savant
Thats her preliminary power she has and what’s kinda known for so I guess it makes sense. She also have other abilities. I would see her more as a Bodyguard
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@AustinL0926
That’s sort of how bleeder works I’m pretty sure.
Makes sense for the character and can be easily testable as well. I’m not sure if we hold off on testing it or go through this DP.
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I called that was JoeBob’s character. Only one that makes sense at the moment
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Austin is being ultra defensive, more than I seen him as of late when challenged. I also agree with Pie that there seems to be a double standard. The same thing happened with Pie but Pie made a claim right away
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@Savant
A lot of behavioral reading has been done into Best.Korea, despite him being a known troll. How seriously does he take these games, and how much can we really gather from his behavior?
I only played 2 games with him for the most part so I don't have enough insight besides my reads.
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@Savant
I said behavioral reads are useless (or close to useless) if scum do what they would do as town. I buy that catching people in a lie is the point of mafia, but let's be honest and admit that special roles change the whole dynamic. Concrete evidence will always be a better way of catching liars than vibes alone. In Town of Salem, most lynching is done based on actual evidence since people have special abilities and the game is text-based, making it hard to catch liars (humans are bad lie detectors anyway). Forum mafia is closer to TOS than it is to traditional mafia. I go off behavioral reads when there's nothing else, but it will almost always be less effective than actual evidence.
I 100% agree that hard trumped evidence outweighs behavior in this game. But I want you to consider a few things first before you stick by this notion a lot.
1) Town of Salem has only a 3 minute talking phase and like a 2 minute voting phase. Forum mafia has almost 72 hours. You are more likely to get a proper behavior analysis from someone in a game that is 72 hrs versus 3 minutes.
2) Town of Salem is based on solely evidence, and not behavior. I haven't played Town of Salem in god knows how long, but I don't know if they have the amount of manipulation roles in the game that forum mafia does. Mafia can manipulate results, lie, and do different tasks to fuck with the results. Blindly believing all results is not the best way to operate, especially if someone who has a scumread claims "oh I'm a cop and I copped x innocent."
3) Right now we are in Dp1 which means we have to look at the little evidence provided that is minuet details.
I don't think you are wrong that at some point we need to look harder into actual evidence, but you also have to know that results can be easily manipulated. I can think of countless times where this has happened in mafia.
I don't think you are wrong that at some point we need to look harder into actual evidence, but you also have to know that results can be easily manipulated. I can think of countless times where this has happened in mafia.
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@Best.Korea
Vader who want your claim, who you townread.
This is incorrect. As I stated in my recent posts, I want no claims at all. My vote is on who I want to lynch. I really don't want anymore claims to give scum more information, but if there's a gun to my head and I had to choose it would be Barney.
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I am personally not a huge fan of getting more claims at this point in time, I am going to put my vote on who I think we should lynch, not who we should pressure into getting more claims
I think Barney or Austin should be the lynch right now. My vote is on Barney because of my analysis on the role descriptions and him being the only outlier at this point in time. Austin, by his own accord, "is being much more aggressive." Granted this is because he is trying to make a change, but in this stage I'm not sure how much I buy it. The quick switch of saying he was a character with 10k+ then saying he's less is a bit odd
VTL Barney
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@Savant
I believe Vader, whiteflame, Barney, Austin, and I are the only ones not to have revealed information about ourselves (I'll check posts again, but that's what I remember from reading through). But I've already said that I can confirm my role, so it's in town's best interest to lynch Vader, whiteflame, Barney, or Austin today. Even if I'm wrong, and someone like Best.Korea is scum, the fact that BK has claimed something makes it easier to catch them in a lie later on, without revealing more information. Whereas I don't think we're likely to learn more about Vader, whiteflame, Barney, or Austin than we know already. Of course, if someone had claimed and been caught in a lie, we should lynch them, but anyone who claims a major role on D1 without a cc shouldn't be lynched on D1.
I think this is a fair argument but I would have to disagree. If there are countless behavioral reads but they have a "role," then I think we shouldn't rule them out
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@whiteflame
Alright, Atom Eve is another major character, so another example of a ballsy claim if it is fake. I’m honestly not sure what the associated role would be, so I don’t get how BK thought it was obvious. Will need to think on this one.
It is a major character claim and unless it's CC'd, I have to hold Pie to the same standard. But at the same time this one I'm less sure about than the others. This time there are a multitude of claims out there and no role claim as well (not that I'm asking for one).
I would say that we'd have to throw him from top scum read to lean scum, but something seems off. The hesitance to actually claim Atom Eve itself, etc.
I would say that we'd have to throw him from top scum read to lean scum, but something seems off. The hesitance to actually claim Atom Eve itself, etc.
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@ILikePie5
I think I disagree with this a little. Lynching is town’s greatest power. With a 7-2 split we can lynch 3 times on our terms. If we no lynch, then we can only lynch 2 times. POE is our greatest friend and we need to get the scum pool smaller on our terms.
I acutally agree, but I think there are methods than trying start popcorn claiming to give scum info. I think lynching is how town win, but it's important to look at behavioral POE's in DP1 rather than mass claiming
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If you are town, you don't listen to anything BK is saying fyi
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It's abundently clear that BestKorea is scum. His logic is just to push someone that has a viable claim. He's trying to turn a lynch on someone who is incredibly town at this point. This is ridiculous. Either he should be a policy lynch in all future games or he's scum
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I know I said that would be my last post but with the responses I got when I was making and replies I wanted to respond
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@AustinL0926
I will partially back up Barney here, my justification is related to my power but it's about a specific incident where my power was used.
Hmm ok. I still think that your claim can go under the "power" because of what you said, but it still far from what Barney said.
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@AustinL0926
I'll be honest, I clicked on the completely wrong wiki article because I misread my PM, it's definitely way below 10,000 words.
Ok. This makes me feel a bit at ease with that, doesn't limit the possibilities and if you are town, scum now know that you don't have one of the bigger characters in the series and that helps them with claims
Also can you explain more why BK needs to be pressured?
I think he has been extremely lazy with his contributions into the game. He has buddied the logic off of one person and hasn't created an own thought for himself. He wasn't this eager in the last game to jump on wagons very quickly. He has also been active enough in this game and hasn't made any real useless insight besides "yes let's lynch" etc. No deep insight besides piggybacking off someone, which isn't how he operated last game to an extent. He had his own thoughts and didn't buddy off the logic. This to me kind of feels manufactured to a certain extent. I always feel like I go after him, but the way he jumped on that Pie train really urked me the wrong way because even in the last game, he didn't just jump onto lynches as quick as he did with Pie
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So I didn't think I would get any outliers for my main line of questioning and the primary reason I did this. There seems to be an obvious outlier with Barney, but I think maybe I misworded the question and some people didn't get what I was trying to say, so for now I will not hold Barney to the outlier at the moment of time
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@AustinL0926
IDK you might be right, I'm probably tunneling too hard, but I still had a strong FOS on pie. Honestly I'm just trying a different town playstyle, in Indie Games I built up a lot of towncred that meant nothing in the face of a well-timed NK and remaining town being silly. I'm trying to be a lot more aggressive and provoke some genuine reactions.
Fair enough. If you are town I can respect what you are trying to do, but I think some might have to FoS you due to that deviation from normal play... it's no hard feelings of course.
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@Barney
Without character or role claiming, does your characters role relate to their "superpower" or ability rather than what happened in the show?Good question!My character doesn’t follow his super power for his role. The role fits the character, but it’s based on his actions rather than technical power.Like let’s say I was Rex, the power wouldn’t just be mad bomber or vigilante to fit the power of making stuff explode as an attack, it’d instead be something like Lover for his habit of cheating on Atom-Eve with Dupli-Kate (whom I believe someone claimed, so to be clear, no connection).
Interesting. This unfortunately seems to be the outlier from what I've seen unless someone else can kind of confirm that there justification reads the same way. Mine I will say is pretty connected to his power to some degree.
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Likely going to be my last post for the night unless I decide to stay up late but a few things I think
1. I think BK needs to be pressured. He has not had a singular correct point or even original point at all. He has buddied off the logic of a confirmed town player to try and prove his innocence and buddied solely on that fact alone over anything else. Hence I have a strong suspicion on him and I think town might be overlooking him
2. Until any further information is given, I think the POE of scum are BK, Austin, Barney, whiteflame, Savant. Greyparrot is a lean town because of his role claim and his character claim and I believe it would too difficult for him to try and fake claim something just as vague while also claiming a pretty relevant character off the rip without having a lot of balls. We know JoeBob is town. Since Pie has not been CC'd yet and remains un CC'd. I see no reason as to why he should be a lynch target. His behavior isn't deviated from what he plays when he is town. He's reluctant to claim a big character and gets forced into while also forced into role. I've seen Pie too many times and know Pie too well. Everything about the analysis and all that is not true because even Austin's original was debunked because there is NO consistency with how Lunatic makes his games and how goes about it. It's all a variation and too make these theory without consistency is an endless scope of nonsense that does nothing but distract town. I would also like to point that the OP says mafia where given a role hint and not a char hint. This means that Pie had to have the absolute balls to go and claim a main character off a role claim. I emphasize role because ROLE =/= CHAR. With only 1 character left and no fake claims. I do not see a realm of possibility of Pie being scum.
3. I am against any push for claims at all in DP1 because it gives town way too much juice. I've stated this in my meta before. Barney was the town choice but not my optimal choice as well. It seems town is looking to do more and I will stand by this statement. If town try to pressure more and more people to claim characters, they will lose this game. The less info scum have, the more likely town are to win. It's unfortunate enough that Austin soft claimed an important character by saying that his wiki of his character had over 10k words, Mark Grayson being claimed, and that Grey's meta.
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People honestly may think this is frivilous that I'm asking this, but trust me there is a clear reason. Besides what I already said, there is another key reason. Not gonna reveal it to help scum out
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@Barney
I'd like to ask you a question thought.
Without character or role claiming, does your characters role relate to their "superpower" or ability rather than what happened in the show?
Without character or role claiming, does your characters role relate to their "superpower" or ability rather than what happened in the show?
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@AustinL0926
I find it weird that the literal namesake of the series doesn't even get assigned an active role (Commuter is basically a combination of two passive roles, Bulletproof and Ascetic). It's also an easy claim to explain why you're not getting NKed, as well as explaining any failed investigations and whatnot. This was the exact reason why I fakeclaimed Ascetic in the last game.
To be fair, being Invincible in of itself is a "passive" trait. You can't control being invincible so I think it makes sense from that perspective. But I also think the claim itself makes sense. We know that roles are usually based on the power your character has from my research and not what your character does. It would make sense for him to be that.
I think you just have a gut read because of Pie strong behavior that can sometimes be overwhelming. Believe me, I fully get it. Pie is sometimes dense and can be very tunnel vision.
I think you just have a gut read because of Pie strong behavior that can sometimes be overwhelming. Believe me, I fully get it. Pie is sometimes dense and can be very tunnel vision.
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@Barney
Pie is generally anti-town, but shit and being scum are not the same thing. Hence I’m no OMGYSing him.
With his claim and his behavior this game being pretty attacking for the most part (which I think is his general meta), it's hard to put him in scum when it aligns with a lot of town
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Honestly I kind of see Barney's point. These lynch train kind of happened so sudden. I just had a FoS over my paranoia but behaviorally he only had 5 posts to analyze for the most part. It also seems he is playing a bit more aggressive than he did last game which makes me kind of believe he's more town
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Refreshed the page every hour or so to see responses and got a few to analyze plus Barney's response
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Granted no clue when that is going to come looking at his activity
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Once we get a Barney full claim I think it's for the best we don't pursue more and vote based on the information we see. I've given my reads and they still relatively hold the same
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To be clear by town I mean as in my reads comparing town to scum. Since they aligned with my town reads I think the case is relatively closed
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Alright there is a good enough of town that I think the question is answered
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@whiteflame
@Best.Korea
@AustinL0926
@Savant
Speaking of which, I noticed a pattern. It looks like role justifications for the most part are based on the powers the hero has. With GP’s claim, my role and character, and Pies role and character, I think we can assume that the role justification are based on the abilities. Is this true for everyone?
Without char claiming or doing that, can you see if this is true with your characters?
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Speaking of which, I noticed a pattern. It looks like role justifications for the most part are based on the powers the hero has. With GP’s claim, my role and character, and Pies role and character, I think we can assume that the role justification are based on the abilities. Is this true for everyone?
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Barney isn’t my top scum read honestly at the moment, I would prefer someone like BK or Austin but Barney definitely isn’t suboptimal
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@whiteflame
I don’t get this logic sussing Pie’s character claim. I grant that there’s some non-zero chance that he figured out that Mark wasn’t in this game based on some tidbit received from Luna. If we’re going to mod psych this, then yes, there’s a chance. The problem is two-fold. One, mod psych only works well when a mod is making consistent decisions across games and I’m seeing a lot of evidence to the contrary. Two, it says in the OP that:Mafia were not directly given fake claims! However I did give them a very strong hint to a role claim, and it is an open set up, so they will have a list of characters to choose from that may exist in this game.So we have to assume that Pie as scum saw a single role claim hint and somehow determined that Mark Grayson wasn’t in the game. That would take some real balls and, much as I wouldn’t put it entirely past him, it seems like an absurd position to argue that he must be lying when we know scum are limited to that information.
This is actually genius and I forgot to point out. Besides the fact there is no fake claims, Pie was on of the FIRST to claim Mark Grayson and so far most people have been online enough in the game to CC the claim if he was lying. It's not like multiple people had character claims already and he just chose the obvious one.
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