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@MisterChris
This is what changed. He gave us a headroom of 4 vanillas. Plus, the more I think about it, the less Warren claiming vanilla as scum makes sense... I'm maintaining suspicion on Warren, but he is nearer to null territory rn for me.
Yeah but you also said "Well, even though Pie was wrong that "no one can be vanilla," the mod has said that there must very few non-power roles." Very few =/= 4/11? Think it is likely that there is 4 vanillas in a rolemad game?
Problem is, Pie only asked Bullish to clarify only AFTER I pressured Pie on it quite a bit.Was he expecting push back, or was he going to ask Bullish for clarification anyway and decided to delay for more town cred?Neither of those make much sense. Warren was inactive for a while, and it seemed to me like Pie was entirely willing to lynch him within that time. He had no reservations about it at all, which seems like unnecessary risk for the scum team. I mean, who was to say everyone wouldn't just go along with it before Warren got back? I probably would've if it weren't for the fact I'm vanilla.
The wagon built rather quickly, I myself was shocked about that after catching up. But if pie was bussing, it's likely he wasn't expecting him to get to L-1 as fast as that. Bussing always has it's risks. Also remember ragnar was going to bus him dp2 of naruto mafia.
Plus, if they were scum team, why not have Warren claim something not so scummy? Something obviously fitting the rolemadness. I mean, Bullish said he would be hinting as to which roles were available for the scum team to claim... Pie is smart, so why would he take that risk?The only other possibility was that since Warren hadn't read the day phases, he simply false claimed something random without really thinking about it too hard because he was worried, and Pie just bussed him from there. From my limited experience with Warren, doesn't seem like something he would do.
Vanilla is always an easy claim, but the whole point of the bus would be to set it up for bullish to answer the way he did. I think it's likely they already talked to bullish and knew what his answer about what rolemad meant was. Because I think rolemad doesn't automatically imply a vanilla doesn't exist, and I think they were banking on bullishs answer to look like town cred for him. You were an en-expected factor that complicated their plan a bit, but even with bullishes answer there should still be some suspicion about the fact that there is more than one vanilla, and pie dropped you both to a null rather easily. It would make more sense for him to still be slightly suspicious of the two of you, even if bullishes answer lightened the read. But he can't really make a convincing case for you without also implicating warren. It makes more sense if he was scum with one of the vanillas that he would dismiss them so easily.
I find it odd, yes. That is part of the reason that, even though a Pie/Warren team doesn't make much sense to me, I think it is worth maintaining some suspicion on Warren.Of course, it could just be a genuine town read for him. If Pie is 50/50 scum or town power role, Warren could certainly make the case for town Pie based on nuances in behavior.
It's extra suspicious simply because warren didn't have a reason to town read pie, but convienently did after bullishes answer. It so seems like a distancing attempt to solidify warren.
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@ILikePie5
Is it not obvious to you?
I mean I am the one who pointed it out.
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Intelligence looks really scummy right now. The problem is I can see him making the mistake as town too but I don't know if that should excuse him.
Also there I can't let go of the scum read on pie/warrens oddity.
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@ILikePie5
That’s why I used a hypothetical rather than an imperative
Interesting that you chose not to highlight the hypothetical where they are both town then.
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@oromagi
I might also say that my role offers indirect evidence of SCUM recruitmentIf I am right, then skitz is the likely recruiter and should be prioritizedVTL skittlez09
Er, I am a bit lost here on how you arrived to this conclusion. Not the recruiter part, but the part about skittlez being the recruiter.
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@ILikePie5
If we want to move on this, Optimal play is lynching Skitlez. If he’s scum then Intel has to be scum cause he’s lying about his role. If he’s still RB and town then Intelligence has to be lying. If we lynch Intel and he’s scum it doesn’t confirm Skitlez
An easy way to get two mislynches, if you don't account for them both being town.
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@Vader
I said that it could be a variant where that person doesn't lose their role. My role has a variant. The bottom stuff would be in theory false. I included the only true thing I thought. I think this role is a variant of a mimic. There are already variants in game with danielle, my role, and I think this is a variant
It could be a variant, but you also decidely believe it is, and are mis-representing the role by posting only half of it to encourage that idea. That is interesting.
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@Intelligence_06
So yeah, I am Deepfake and I am a mimic. If I mimic a town I become their role. If I mimic a scum I become a towie. I mimic'd Skittlez and I became a roleblocker. That would mean he is town.
Can you confirm that your role explicitly says that you turn the person you visit into a vanilla?
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@Vader
@oromagi
Supa it is a little wierd that you only copied the part that you wanted to out of that and left out the rest of the role.
I'd like an explanation ASAP.
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@ILikePie5
Why wouldn’t I drop to null? Bullish confirmed it’s possible to have multiple vanillas. In his last game he had multiple vanillas. If you want to sus Warren for his flip flop that’s fine with me. I adjusted my viewpoint based on Bullish.
His last game wasn't a standard mafia game. Also bullish confirming that vanillas could potentially exist doesn't refute your initial FOS that multiple vanillas in a rolemad game should receive the most FOS.
You seemed to drop them to a null a little too easily from that.
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@Speedrace
I actually agree with this, now thinking about it Pie could easily use his mod psyching stuff as scumI don't agree that Warren is scum tho
The main reason for warren, is the fact that he basically town read pie in the same sentence that he said pie has a chance of being 50/50 mafia. When I asked him why, he said he felt town from his posts from dp1, but the previous post was prior to reading day phase 1. So it's post justification for town reading him, also combined with pie dropping him to a null. I can see a case where they are scum buddies and that bus attempt was supposed to distance them, but with how fast they dropped their reads on each other, it seems contrived.
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@BearMan
Chris on the other hand, counterclaimed Warren. I still somewhat believe that there is only one vanilla. But, we will have to see in the coming DP's.
I am becoming a little more open to the possibility of the two vanillas being scum together, but only because of what you are mentioning here with an added part. Chris thought it was wierd that there was two vanillas and counter claimed warren, suggesting he thought rolemad meant there was less vanillas. His opinion on this seems to more or less be the same even with bullish revealing that rolemad allows for vanillas, yet he changed his scum read on warren to null.
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@MisterChris
Warren- null at the moment.
What changed? Wasn't the whole reason you counter claimed him was because you thought the logic about multiple vanillas in a rolemad game was scummy?
If you'll recall what I said to Pie and Supa:Well, even though Pie was wrong that "no one can be vanilla," the mod has said that there must very few non-power roles.If that's the case, it makes more sense to me to have one vanilla... not two. But I could be wrong about that. It's clear Bullish is defying our expectations here.As for the possibility of him and Pie being a team... his argument for Pie being a townread makes sense I suppose... I'm just not sure if it's an argument expected from him given the current situation (keep in mind I've not played with Warren at all. I don't know what his meta is for town or scum).Pie- Pie is my biggest scumread at the moment, because he is lining up pretty closely with how he was in the Naruto mafia game.
This is actually another reason I scum read pie, for the exact reason you mention. Just because bullish confirmed that rolemad may allow for vanillas, doesn't mean that his initial FOS on vanillas were wrong, yet he dropped sus on you guys both to a null after bullish said that. It feeds more into my theory that warren and him are a scum team, because the interaction between the two seems contrived as fvck, especially considering how warren town read pie.
Furthermore, I pretty much agree with Supa's analysis:Behavioral analysis for Pie for me if he's active he's a power role or scum for me. So he's one of those two.If we have even a 60/40 shot he is mafia, I'll take it.
You don't find it odd that warren basically said the same thing you and supa are saying but decided to go with a town read instead?
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@oromagi
@MisterChris
Reads on warren, pie, and supa?
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@warren42
Because I hadn't read D1 when I made the initial read, like I said, and I had read D1 before answering your question, also like I said.
That makes even LESS sense. You prefaced your read of him saying he was town, then followed it up with he could equally be mafia, but didn't retract the town read.
Pie is probably town in my opinion. He's certainly not vanilla in case that wasn't yet clear, but based on meta he's also probably not a town negative utility role. He's either scum or town and has a positive utility.
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Note to self: Supadudz is too lazy to even read 1 sentence posts all the way through lol
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Intel gave claim and night action in the same post. How could absorb role claim and not night action claim>
Jinx you owe me a coke
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@Vader
Did you mimic anyone
How did you read the mimic part, but not the part about who he visited? It was in the same post lol.
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@oromagi
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@warren42
I will preface this by saying I powered through D1 and might be changing my mind on that I want to talk about some stuff with Pie but:It was mostly a gut read but the way he'd been talking made me tone read him town
How come you didn't say that when you wrote your initial read? The read seemed a bit contrived because you followed the read up by saying he could equally be scum or town, though you didn't retract the read. It doesn't help with my theory that you two are scum partners.
Pie's attempt at lynching you seems faked to me and he seemed all to willing to drop the pressure as soon as bullish claimed. I think he knew the answer and planned the whole thing to create distance between the two of you, and set you up for the vanilla claim. I think misterchris's claim was an unexpected hitch in the plan, which makes sense why pie was eager to switch on him.
This all sounds conspiracy af, but your read on pie has kind of made the idea solidify in my head.
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@warren42
Specifically because of how bloodthirsty for vanillas this group is. They don't seem to care that Bullish said it could be up to four vanillas, they still seem to think that at least one of me and Mr. Chris is scum because we both claimed vanilla. I think it's bad for vanillas to claim at this point in a vacuum, but with how stubborn the group seems to be about making a bad play I think vanillas almost have to claim here or risk being killed when they do come forward.
Most of the willingness to lynch vanillas was prior to bullish elaborating on rolemad though. Even pie seems to have dropped his read.
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@oromagi
scum slip
lmao luckily siranonymous isn't even in this game.
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@ILikePie5
Why is it strange? It’s boring. I’ve been pretty vocal about that. There’s a reason why my games are proper role madness games.
Vanilla is my favorite role as town. I can play as aggressively as I want and scum hunt without worry of being seen as a power role; If killed over a power role I know I have 100% helped the town. If mislynched, not a huge loss either. It's a lot less pressure, and ultimately, results shouldn't be relied on to solve games. Mods on this site have strayed away from investigation detering roles, so maybe you have gotten a bit comfortable relying on power roles. But back on DDO mods tended to use a bit more result effecting roles like lawyer or framer, or gave cops flavors more often. People relying on results like that would just lose games. If you can't play a game without a power role, that's kind of boring. Nothing is more satisfying than lynching scum for a behavioral read.
It makes it more likely that at least one of em is town.
So no scum read on chris or warren anymore?
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@warren42
This is in regard to skittlez's roleblocker claim. I agree that it's good he was upfront if he's town but it doesn't seem that that was *why* he was upfront. Does that bother you at all? It does bother me a bit.
Skittlez has claimed dp1 as town in like the last 3 or 4 games.
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@warren42
That said, if there are any more vanillas, you should probably full claim immediately. I know this helps mafia narrow down the pool of who to kill, but with how bloodthirsty these people are for vanillas I think you essentially have to full claim. I honestly will start to become suspicious of anyone who full claims vanilla after too long because it's become such an issue that anyone who is actually vanilla would be concerned enough that they would (and should) claim before the end of the day.
Why would you advocate for more vanillas claiming now that bullish has clarified the defintion of "rolemad"? You are right, it definitely helps narrow down the pool for scum. Me and SirAnonymous were able to deduce most of the power roles last phase due to unnecesary claiming.
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@warren42
Pie is probably town in my opinion. He's certainly not vanilla in case that wasn't yet clear, but based on meta he's also probably not a town negative utility role. He's either scum or town and has a positive utility.
How did you turn this into a town read on pie? Like what?
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@ILikePie5
If by aggressive you mean active, I’m always active when I have a role. You can WIFOM that all day.
Maybe.
Bullish’s definition of rolemadness is stupid. Speed doesn’t have vanillas in his rolemadness games and neither do I. I’ve been a supporter of first day lynches since the beginning. I supported the lynches of Chris and Warren cause they both were vanilla. Using mine and Speed’s definition they’re both scum which is where the bussing theory comes in. The definition Bullish uses is garbage. I know not to play in any of his games now even if he says rolemadness
Your dis-like of vanillas is strange, but how does bullish'es response effect your read on warren and chris?
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Just caught up from last night...
The rolemadness debate seems pointless, and entirely dependant on guessing what the mod would or wouldn't do. While their may be some slight merit in analyzing that, it's ultimately ridiculous to base your entire play around betting on mod psyche/ policy.
At the end of the day we have to decide what scum would or would not due. If we have a second person out vanilla after it's already being discussed that having a vanilla in a rolemad game should be sus, then it's obvious that claiming vanilla as scum isn't beneficial. The other factor is how new misterchris is, if you are to say he is bussing you'd have to provide where you think you've seen chris as scum try something like that before. His only scum game so far was civil war generals, where he was for the most part, a pretty conservative scum player. To assume he would bus is biting in to a bit too much convienent WIFOM. While it shouldn't be dis-regarded, we have to also admit that it's likely he will be caught if this is a lie since this is a rolemad game, which means there's likely a tracker or watcher who will catch him in a lie. The inherent risk of this "Gambit" makes it not worth doing, and more likely than not that chris is town.
I'll have to think about whether 2 is likely or not, though in designing my own games I've seen how a game can be pretty swingy and full of roles while also including several vanillas.
The common scum factor in all this for me is still pie. Pie is not beyond bussing himself, also. See his and ragnars play day phase 2 of supas naruto mafia. Also pie has been pretty aggressive in this game, as was the case in day phase 1 of Naruto mafia. Pie struck me as scum looking for any mislynch oppertunity and tunneling it there. The bragadocious thing in the beginning also didn't feel like a humble townie trying to solve the game. Pie's push of misterchris bussing warren is ultimately what is making me suspect pie, combined with danielles death convienently last phase too after their discussion.
Pie's partner is probably supa or warren, or at least that's my feeling right now.
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sorry, live mafia tonight, so I wont be super focused til tomorrow
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Vtl pie
Going off of Danielle and my gut. Pies acting kind of prudish, also the "I told you so" thing is something I generally scum read as ego begging for town cred
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@MisterChris
I was just about to say that. Mafia could he trying to frame those 2 as well but yeah it doesn't look good for them
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@Intelligence_06
Is the mission of invading a nation aborted if the king that hasn't done anything was known to be just replaced? No. If he does nothing he is dead, common common sense sense.
Relax man... It's just mafia...
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@Intelligence_06
He should be able to do something. If this character did nothing the whole day then it is vtl for inactivity.
He replaced in when the day phase is nearly over
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@Barney
Specifically in the case of callout threads, to try to prevent the forums turning into a toxic cesspit. Granted, I can outright admit not all callout threads are equally bad. Similarly, just because two members are not getting along, even if reports are filed, does not guarantee moderation intervention (the vast majority of "reports have been handled" on posts, did not yield even a PM to anyone).
But in the case of that live mafia thread? We had that one handled lol
I don't know if you've ever had a stalker before, but just ignoring someone being deranged toward you, spreading rumors of you commiting crimes, etc., is in some cases a very sub-optimum solution. While perhaps not rewarding the abuser, it does very little to dissuade them from continuing toward you and/or seeking more victims.To use another thing moderation steps in against: We ban spambots and delete their posts. While user could likewise just ignore the spam, the occasional clicks generated by their links could encourage the spammers to up their efforts here, and flood us... I suspect people come here because there is moderation intervention when necessary.I've done a lot to loosen the rules. You can joke, you can be impolite. However, there are still lines that that can be crossed.
Stalking? Stalking on a website seems interesting. I mean if the person is doxing and using personal information that's one thing, but if they are just participating in the same threads and you don't like that, you can say it's stalking. If someone is spamming that's one thing, and doxing another thing. I am just suggesting taking a lighter perception of moderation on certain issues.
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@Speedrace
That1 is Brit?
No, brit doesn't have an account here.
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@oromagi
did u ever confirm your wincon?
yuckWould you say its likely 2 scum/1 TP in an 11p game?
No clue.
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I would like to hear Lunatic and Danielle talk about "roles with pre-game actions" have you seen this type of game before? Any roles or game standards particularly associated with pre-game actions. I am clueless about what pre-game actions might portend.
I was a little confused about that. If I had to guess, then it is recruitment
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Also I agree with danielle about policy lynching millers and roleblockers is kind of dumb. But it is consistent with what pie has always said so it's a null read.
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@BearMan
Holy sh you're good at BeatSaber
Thanks man lol. You should watch airmax, he is another member here I used to compete with. He's a bit better than me and can do expert plus
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