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Speedrace

*Moderator*

A member since

4
9
11

Total posts: 6,283

Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
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@MisterChris
Kinda curious what led to me being so scumread in this game. Was it because I was being so forward with my reads? 
Town's just dumb, plus I (scum) planted seeds of you being scum early which probably didn't help you much
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
badger destroys town with FACTS and LOGIC
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
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@Greyparrot
Have to say this is probably the worst I have EVER seen Danielle play as town.
She was best townie so far lol she got everyone except badger

WF was also doing very well
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
Badger HARD scumslipped when he got onto the Earth lynch DP2, it's astonishing he wasn't insta-lynched for that. The only person who sussed it was Danielle and she said she still townread him after it lol
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
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@SirAnonymous
This type of setup put me at a huge disadvantage. I'm terrible at reads in any game, so with no investigative roles, I just didn't know what to do.
I think it's kinda helpful so that you can build the intuition ya know?

Also it's really nice to see you again! Been a while
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
We were supposed to RB and Strongman Danielle DP2 because I was certain she was hider but badger convinced me to RB WF instead b/c he was scared WF was an investigative role

All's well that ends well though
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
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@whiteflame
Yeah, I definitely fucked that up. Shocked that there was absolutely no investigative role in town. The moment Badger claimed an investigative role, it gave him the perfect cover. Ballsy claim since you probably didn’t know there were no investigative roles on town.
We kinda did, I read you as vanilla and Danielle as Commuter (I thought she was hider but same difference) for quite a bit
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Posted in:
Mafia Mod Sign-Up List

Current Mafia:

Mharman - NFL Mafia (DP4)

Signups:

Wylted - World Series of Poker Mafia

Speedrace- MCU Disney+ Shows Mafia

In the Hopper:

None

On Hold:

Earth - Not another weebshit mafia game/Skyrim(Player choice)



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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
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@Mharman
Yeah I'm just joking lol I believe you
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
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@ILikePie5
Shhhhhhhhh

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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
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@Mharman
I think it was a good game overall, not having investigative roles wasn't necessarily a bad choice and it made for a unique game

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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
I swear you guys purposefully make me scum whenever I come back but I'm never gonna be able to prove it
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
Ngl I kinda played badly and got carried by Badger
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [Endgame]
I still got it after a year lol
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP4]
VTL WF
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP3]
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@MisterChris
Also can someone mention anything about Seahawks like MC touched on because I don't know sports at all
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP3]
Ok so, MC is not scum, how much better could his claim get? Same for SirAnon and Badger, I think lean for Wylted as well because he advocated for lynching himself (and note that we absolutely should not lynch him when we could just lynch the person he would shoot)

VTL GP like I said literally from day 1. Also for people confused why I went from gp to earth, no one wanted to lynch GP yesterday and I behaviorally scum read Earth more than GP (and Danielle acknowledged that)

This leaves That and WF as scum; I think it honestly could be Danielle instead of WF and she waived the kill to support the role that she has breadcrumbed since last DP, WF is just behaviorally much more towny given his reads have been more consistent
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP3]
Hi, sorry I just started a new job yesterday and Mharman didn't ping me so I forgot

I'll go ahead and claim, I'm Cincinnati Bengals, vanilla, justification being that I've never won a super bowl and that I'm notorious for my lack of offensive positions and for being too defensive
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP3]
Oh and VTL MC
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP3]
Two things

I don't have a role that could've caused this, so someone else likely does (given the only reason mafia would've waived the NK is to help SirAnon's claim but clearly that isn't the case), but that person doesn't need to give up their role

Secondly, I didn't lead the lynch on Earth...? WF was the first person to sus Earth and I think he even gave his reasoning for Earth's doctor claim being bad for I did; just because I was the first vote on him doesn't mean anything
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@That2User
If we mislynch today do we get to LYLO/MYLO?
Assuming there are 3 scum, we get to MYLO
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@SirAnonymous
They are null to me because none of them seem to be deviating from their usual scripts. I don't know if I can pick one that I would be most willing to lynch. A Danielle lynch is obviously not happening, so not her. I would be okay with GP, Speed, or Whiteflame.
I'm ok with GP, I'd need a lot more convincing for WF

Why not Earth?
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
Pretty much takes out any credibility I might've previously had about badger's reads though lol
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@badger
I don't know how you lot see me say Earth is doc, then Earth claim doc, then he's FOS but nothing said about me. Basically. 
Earth's ability to claim doc is completely independent of you (plus he can hint he's doc as scum...? it's unclear to me why you guessing his role means anything)

That said, I'm hard townreading this; scum has no reason to try to link themselves to someone who is on the chopping block
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
The latter is more forgivable but FOS'ing Earth should always be to FOS me by
How so?
Was about to ask the same thing
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@badger
Can you explain the justification for your reads more, particularly WF
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@whiteflame
@badger
What do y'all think
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@SirAnonymous
I don't know whether to be happy or nervous that one of the best scum players on the site is agreeing with me.
lol
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
We have like 1.5 days left to do this (also I'm going to be traveling tomorrow so excuse my lack of activity then)

I was already town leaning SirAnon and I 100% buy this claim; particularly not immediately giving his character I find to be VERY town telling (the way mafia reveal their roles is in a kinda all-encompassing way since they spend such a long time thinking about it, so it doesn't make much sense that they wouldn't immediately reveal their character)

On Earth; I already mentioned that I think he's behaviorally scum, and doctor is an easily made fake claim for mafia; I think it could be the case that mafia doesn't have a strongman and then babysitter balances itself out, but two protective roles (especially one that could literally function as a bomb) seems quite overpowered to me, even if it has the potential downside of killing two town

I think this is a good enough reason to VTL Earth since behaviorally he is more scummy than GP and GP's role at least does check out with MC's
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@SirAnonymous
His claims are certainly plausible. But if he were scum, then he could avoid being called out by a possible tracker by just honestly saying that he visited Pie. Since mafia strongmen and roleblockers are so common, no one would think twice about it. Thus, this point doesn't provide much indication about his affiliation.
+11111
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@MisterChris
1. Whiteflame - lean town
2. Earth - null (behaviorally scum but role = town)
3. Badger - lean town
4. Greyparrot - lean scum (role + MC = town??)
5. That2 - lean town
6. SirAnon - lean town
7. Wylted (subbing in for Barney) - lean town
8. MisterChris - strong lean town (slight behavioral lean for scum but strong role)
10. Danielle - lean town

Ok so I see the contention that GP is town b/c his role is combines with MC's in a balancing way, my problem is there isn't enough on anyone else to lynch them. Particularly my #2 would be Earth but since he's doctor, it's probably not the smartest idea to lynch him (even though I share reserves with WF over the validity of his claim)

That2 and Siranon have been proposed but both have seemed to genuinely scumhunt to me. I'd lean siranon because he's been more inactive but that's the general gist of why I prefer GP

What's your read on siranon?
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@Wylted
What is this shit. I mean I understand GP as a last resort but he should not be the first option. 
Why? WF has done nothing to indicate being scum
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
VTL GP
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@Earth
The reason I don't want to lynch GP is because he's playing according to his town meta from what I remember. I haven't been convinced by the reasons to lynch him, and rather go after someone else.
Who would you rather go after then
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@Danielle
If MisterChris doesn't die what are next steps? Lynch Greyparrot, lynch someone else, vote NL or pressure for another claim? It's boring me to be the only one to move the game along today so I'll probs just wait to see what everyone says and check the thread once more later before I leave for the evening.  Wylted, SirAnon and that2user should post more. 
I see no reason not to continue with a GP lynch, nothing has changed besides the fact that we've basically town-confirmed one player (I know some people think it's "not town-confirming him" but I really can't see this going any other way with the exception of if he ends up being loved scum, which we will soon discover if so)
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@whiteflame
Based on the vote count, he clearly wasn't lynched by having 6 votes. That being said, I don't think we should end the test here. He could be Loved, which we could test with one more vote on him. At base, I think we should test that before we start peeling off.
Actually that's a good point
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@Danielle
I'm obviously gonna vtl MisterChris to test his theory (no reason not to) but just wanted to post a little more first for funsies in case anyone had any other thoughts. Plus I still want Earth to answer my questions. 
It doesn't end the DP
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
My biggest question here is, why didn't MC immediately claim this, since it immediately town confirms him?
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@MisterChris
Hammer yourself
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
VTL Chris there's literally no reason not to do this
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@Danielle
Lol why would you need to test Wylted's reaction? His whole existence is reactive.
loll
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@MisterChris
No. That's a more insignificant part of it actually. The primary reason is the rationale I gave to Danielle:
I don't think theme analysis is a compelling reason to lynch someone, it's just too much of a shot in the dark and unless we can confirm the theme with a flip or two (which we haven't yet), it's too much of a risk

The fact that they have been so quick to push for a Barney lynch/OMGUS me, and the fact that their role as vanilla is suspect balance-wise doesn't help. 
These are better reasons I think (I did notice what seemed to be a bit of an OMGUS), so I won't take them off the table but I still think they're town, for now I think GP is just a much better suspect
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@That2User
I'm down to lynch GP but don't mind hearing from MisterChris first.
Let's pressure MisterChris to full claim
Given GP seems to be the lynch, I don't think this is a good idea if MC ends up having a PR
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
If we don't lynch GP the options are to lynch that2user (claimed vanilla)
Also I still don't get the behavioral reads on That, they seem lean townie to me if anything. I've never found claiming vanilla to be a compelling reason to lynch someone, especially since scum have big incentives to never claim vanilla
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
I don't like Earth claiming with 2 votes though as DOCTOR like ??
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@Danielle
@MisterChris
If I had to vote someone else for a claim it would either be Earth or MisterChris. @Speed you mentioned being a little sus of Earth as well. MC is kinda null but one thing he posted last DP did rub me the wrong way. Do you think it's worth pressuring Earth or MC instead of just lynching GP right now? 
Ok so tbh it's been a while and GP is one of the few players I remember crystal clearly, I don't think he's generally this passive as town (hence me raging when he goes on the stupidest bandwagons months ago)

I still behaviorally read Earth as scum but I like the doc claim/justification, and for MC I only lightly sus him as scum based on the games I read up on him for; based on those I think GP is the correct choice; plus as we both mentioned, worst case scenario we lynch the hated townie, big deal

But I would like more thoughts from MC particularly sense with the Earth reveal I think I'll be pressuring you next DP
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@MisterChris
If my posts above don't answer, I can elaborate. What in particular do you want an explanation on?
Is your only reason for voting them that they claimed vanilla?
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@MisterChris
By the way, what do you mean, "reply-based random town behavior?"
The large majority of your activity seemed premised on you always responding to other people, including reads. You seem to be doing much more independent analysis now, and even within your replies you're talking about other things. Feel free to show me other examples
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@That2User
expressed I think GP and Earth are my top scum reads, + I'm leaning scum for MC (he hasn't responded to my post either?)
What post?
#44, why'd you vote Chris
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Posted in:
NFL Mafia [DP2]
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@That2User
didn't expect you guys to end the DP like 2 hours later lol
We ended the DP?
By hammering Oro
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